2016 Postmortem

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts) Fri Oct 12, 2012, 09:26 AM Oct 2012

David Plouffe on that bogus Mason/Dixon Florida Poll

Quote of the Day
"It's impossible for us to be at 44 in Florida."

-- Obama adviser David Plouffe, quoted by the Tampa Bay Times, on a new Mason-Dixon poll shows Mitt Romney leading in Florida, 51% to 44%.

http://politicalwire.com/

No other poll of Florida even comes close to that. Some have Obama up and a few have Romney up, but by no more than a point or two.

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David Plouffe on that bogus Mason/Dixon Florida Poll (Original Post) WI_DEM Oct 2012 OP

agree neverland_pirate Oct 2012 #1

Now of course sometimes things like this can be spin . . . TroyD Oct 2012 #2

The O campiagn is straightforward to a fault Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #6

I'm hoping Joe moved some more seniors to the Obama side fugop Oct 2012 #3

Mason/Dixon..is a horse shit poll.they poll only people who vote Republican Tippy Oct 2012 #4

Confirmed! New ARG poll in Florida today shows Romney is NOT ahead by 7% neverland_pirate Oct 2012 #5

It was definitely an outlier. bushisanidiot Oct 2012 #7

The margin of error is outside the spread ejbr Oct 2012 #8

neverland_pirate

(44 posts)

1. agree

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Fri Oct 12, 2012, 09:54 AM

Oct 2012

in most polls they're tied.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

2. Now of course sometimes things like this can be spin . . .

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Fri Oct 12, 2012, 10:23 AM

Oct 2012

That's a campaign's job afterall, BUT, Plouffe appears to be right.

The day before, Obama was (+4) and (+1) in 2 other Florida polls.

And this poll showed Romney winning Latinos over Obama by 7 points - also at odds with polling by Latino Decisions giving Obama a large lead with Latinos.

While Republicans do better with the Cuban-American vote, this poll appears to have some problems with its demographic sampling according to other reports I've seen.