538 has Ted Cruz at an 85% probabilty to win the Republican Texas Primary.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/texas-republican/

Clinton has a higher probability of winning Massechusetts than Ted Cruz does of winning Texas.

Sid

ismnotwasm

(42,014 posts)

6. Whoa

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 12:19 AM

Feb 2016

JaneyVee

(19,877 posts)

7. 538 has been 100% accurate so far.

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 12:22 AM

Feb 2016

Though its still early.

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)

8. If Bernie can't even win MA he's bernt toast

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 12:23 AM

Feb 2016

That will be the nail in the coffin regardless of whether he drops out or not. She's got a 25 delegate lead. She expands that to at least 150 on Super Tuesday (possibly as high as 200 delegate lead).

There's just no catching up from that. But if he can't get MA he's just going to look foolish sticking around just to attack her and bleed his donors.

Geronimoe

(1,539 posts)

16. Obama lost Mass and became President

Reply to MaggieD (Reply #8)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 02:32 AM

Feb 2016

Either candidate could make up alot of close losses by winning CA.

72DejaVu

(1,545 posts)

29. By the time we get to CA

Reply to Geronimoe (Reply #16)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 06:23 AM

Feb 2016

The voters will be going "Whatever happened to that Barney guy that used to come on the TV and yell at everybody?"

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,714 posts)

30. California is not a winner take all state so the loser will get a ton of delegates.

Reply to Geronimoe (Reply #16)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 07:27 AM

Feb 2016

Also, if she beat PBO here in 08 she certainly can beat Bernie.

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)

32. Obama had the black vote

Reply to Geronimoe (Reply #16)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 10:31 AM

Feb 2016

If Bernie can't win MA he may as well hang it up.

Response to SidDithers (Original post)

Name removed Message auto-removed

oasis

(49,408 posts)

10. Thanks and welcome to DU.

Reply to Name removed (Reply #9)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 12:49 AM

Feb 2016

DesertRat

(27,995 posts)

11. k&r

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 12:51 AM

Feb 2016

onehandle

(51,122 posts)

12. Tuesday is going to be another bad day for the 'Not Hillary' Party. nt

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 01:06 AM

Feb 2016

lunamagica

(9,967 posts)

13. K&R. Sounds good!

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 01:14 AM

Feb 2016

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)

14. Great news Sid!

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 01:16 AM

Feb 2016

Thanks.

SunSeeker

(51,709 posts)

15. K & R

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 02:31 AM

Feb 2016

MisterP

(23,730 posts)

17. Coakley 2016!

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 02:32 AM

Feb 2016

Ned_Devine

(3,146 posts)

18. Awesome! As a MA native, we got stuck with her in two ridiculous losses

Reply to MisterP (Reply #17)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 02:37 AM

Feb 2016

Scott Brown should NEVER have won in 2010 and Baker should NEVER have won the governorship in 2014. This is what happens when the party picks your nominee for you.

Fearless

(18,421 posts)

28. Amen!

Reply to Ned_Devine (Reply #18)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 06:01 AM

Feb 2016

No one showed up to vote... Which seems to be the trend so far as well.

fun n serious

(4,451 posts)

19. woohooo!!

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 02:55 AM

Feb 2016

Number23

(24,544 posts)

20. Massachusetts? Wonder if it's enough brown folks to catch the blame for everything there like

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 03:09 AM

Feb 2016

everywhere else??

Oh well, not that it really matters! Some folks have always been able to blame black folks for ANYTHING.

McCamy Taylor

(19,240 posts)

21. Does this mean that Mass. Dems are inbred idiots who want to become slaves again like they

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 03:16 AM

Feb 2016

were before the War? The Revolutionary War, I mean?

Just kidding. Congrats, Mass.

Tortmaster

(382 posts)

22. If he loses Massachusetts, then ...

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 03:18 AM

Feb 2016

... Senator Sanders is on his way to becoming the McGovern of the Democratic Primary.

The sooner this is over the better. Sanders' supporters want only to burn the party down now.

MelSC

(256 posts)

23. Can we start celebrating now?

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 05:24 AM

Feb 2016

Hillary will be our nominee

riversedge

(70,305 posts)

24. nah. Tues evening at 8:02 pm ET is a good time ...

Reply to MelSC (Reply #23)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 05:36 AM

Feb 2016

bigtree

(86,005 posts)

25. k&r

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 05:37 AM

Feb 2016

still_one

(92,404 posts)

26. Here are more odds from Nate Silver for March using his polls plus

Reply to SidDithers (Original post)

Mon Feb 29, 2016, 05:47 AM

Feb 2016

Just select the drop down to see the results

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/massachusetts-democratic/

Arkansas

Hillary 98
Sanders 2

Georgia

Hillary 99
Sanders 1

Mass

Hillary 88
Sanders 12

Oaklahoma

Hillary 75
Sanders 25

Tennessee

Hillary 99
Sanders 1

Texas

Hillary 99
Sanders 1

Vermont

Hillary 1
Sanders 99

Virginia

Hillary 99
Sanders 1

March 8

Michigan

Hillary 97
Sanders 3

March 15

Florida

Hillary 99
Sanders 1

Illinois

Hillary 99
Sanders 1

North Carolina

Hillary 96
Sanders 4

Ohio

Hillary 95
Sanders 5