Obama up 52/45 in RAS poll of Michigan
consistent with the latest Detroit News Poll.
Friday, October 12, 2012
President Obama continues to earn over 50% of the vote in Michigan, but his lead over Mitt Romney has narrowed a bit this month.
The latest Ramussen Reports national telephone survey finds 52% of Likely Voters in Michigan support the president, while 45% give their vote to Romney. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/michigan/election_2012_michigan_president
If the president holds onto (as polling so far indictates) Michigan, Wisconsin and Iowa in the Midwest plus wins Ohio and one other swing state he wins. Note, too, this is prior to the VP debate and I think a lot of Dems who saw Biden last night will be refocused on the campaign.
= new reply since forum marked as read
A 7 point Ras lead is really 12-14 points. 
by kos
The current numbers are from the TPM polling composite. The four-year-ago numbers are from exactly four years ago, or Oct. 3, 2008. The final '08 margin—a new column on this chart—is the final vote results.
As some of you might quickly notice, Missouri is back on the chart! That 4.7-point Romney advantage feels big and difficult to overcome, right? Well, Romney faces equally daunting or bigger deficits in five of the remaining contested states. No one really thinks Missouri will turn Blue this year, and no one is spending money on the presidential race. So the fact that it is closer than states that Romney is spending millions in is pretty darn hilarious.
It also gives Romney another state in which he's above the 45s—one of just two in this list of 10 states plus the national composite.
North Carolina, by the way, was a slight Obama lead yesterday in the composite, until a new Rasmussen poll this morning turned it Red again. As it's pretty obvious at this point, the state will come down to GOTV.
Every time I plug new numbers into this chart for this feature, I think, "Lookit that, Romney is going backwards again!" I decided to see if my perception was reality, so I compared Romney's level of support in the polling composite to what he was receiving a little over a month ago:
- more -
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/03/1139351/-Battleground-polling-snapshot-Romney-regresses
