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LiberalElite

(14,691 posts)
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:12 PM Feb 2016

Newsweek: The Bad News for Clinton Out of South Carolina

http://www.newsweek.com/black-turnout-test-clinton-south-carolina-and-beyond-430914?google_editors_picks=true

snip

There’s some bad news for Hillary Clinton amidst her dominating victory in South Carolina’s “first in the South” primary Saturday. Clinton’s pummeling of rival Bernie Sanders by 50 points overshadowed a worrisome data point for her campaign and the party come November: turnout among the state’s heavily black electorate was down by nearly one-third compared to 2008.

Nobody expected the race between the white former secretary of state and white senator of Vermont to attract the same number of Democratic voters in the Palmetto state as the race between Clinton and Barack Obama eight years ago, when voters had the chance to make history by nominating the first black man for president. That year, more than 530,000 people voted in the Democratic primary, more than half of them African Americans.

But the 2016 Democratic nominee also cannot afford to see the kind of drop off in black votes that occurred in the 2010 and 2014 midterms, which saw Republicans surge into control of Congress. South Carolina was the first real test of how African American voters respond to the post-Obama era. And for Democrats, the outcome should come as a warning sign.

snip

32 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Newsweek: The Bad News for Clinton Out of South Carolina (Original Post) LiberalElite Feb 2016 OP
What were 2012 numbers? NWCorona Feb 2016 #1
K&R kgnu_fan Feb 2016 #2
that's not just bad news for Clinton, it's bad news for everybody renate Feb 2016 #3
I thought Bernie was supposed to drive turnout to historic levels redstateblues Feb 2016 #4
The voters in SC ignored the vote RobertEarl Feb 2016 #9
Are you aware that this is a bullshit meme? kristopher Feb 2016 #17
SC doesn't believe in democracy RobertEarl Mar 2016 #27
Sometimes the candidates do not excite in the same amount. Thinkingabout Feb 2016 #5
As KOS said today... wyldwolf Feb 2016 #6
Yeah, but that's reality. onehandle Feb 2016 #10
Then I guess we better stick with Clinton Onlooker Feb 2016 #7
Bad news for... Mike Nelson Feb 2016 #8
Yep... WillyT Feb 2016 #11
Thank DWS... designed to hand the Nomination to sHillary, and the GE to Trump... AzDar Feb 2016 #12
+1 liberal_at_heart Feb 2016 #13
dws has her faults but bernie being unable to get a higher turnout for himself is not one nt msongs Feb 2016 #14
I know you know better... AzDar Feb 2016 #15
You really think black people won't turn out to vote against Trump? vdogg Feb 2016 #16
Black folks will show up ... Women will show up ... 1StrongBlackMan Mar 2016 #23
That is a good question. Many won't so you will have to live with that risk. Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #25
Yes ... Democrats will have to live with that risk ... 1StrongBlackMan Mar 2016 #30
So who thought a big nasty primary fight was a great idea? ucrdem Feb 2016 #18
We get it ucr, we get it RobertEarl Mar 2016 #28
Hey! RobertEarl Mar 2016 #32
Get Barack and Michelle out there GOTVing on behalf of the nominee, and you'll see those MADem Feb 2016 #19
We are looking at a bloodbath in November. And not in a good way. yourout Feb 2016 #20
Isn't it bad news for Bernie, too, since he did so poorly overall with black voters? book_worm Feb 2016 #21
The more people learn about Bernie, the better they like him. senz Feb 2016 #22
Nevada and SC are clear evidence of that. eom. 1StrongBlackMan Mar 2016 #24
Bernie has done awesome considering where he started. Any other year he'd be at 3% Bread and Circus Mar 2016 #26
I have to agree with that. eom. 1StrongBlackMan Mar 2016 #29
But everybody keeps ignoring..... Adrahil Mar 2016 #31

renate

(13,776 posts)
3. that's not just bad news for Clinton, it's bad news for everybody
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:18 PM
Feb 2016

But I think Democratic voters are more likely to turn out for a contest between ___ and Trump than for the primary.

I hope so, anyway.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
9. The voters in SC ignored the vote
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:28 PM
Feb 2016

And that is another reason we should ignore that state's vote. They don't deserve any recognition. 87% of the Dem voters flat out ignored democracy and their chance to participate..

Gee, I wonder what might be wrong in SC?

kristopher

(29,798 posts)
17. Are you aware that this is a bullshit meme?
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:40 PM
Feb 2016

If you are actually interested in improving our nation, wouldn't it be helpful to understand the goals and policy proposals of the candidate you are rejecting?

In this case Bernie has never claimed he was going to make this some sort of wave election.

He has repeatedly stated that he will not match the 2008 turnout.

So what is he saying and what is his goal?

Take a look at this table:

http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/05/06/u-s-voter-turnout-trails-most-developed-countries/

Note the consistency of turnout as percentage of registered voters vs turnout as percentage of all eligible voters. Central to the Sander's platform is expanding the electorate by enacting, automatic registration of all people when they reach voting age. He may not get it all but the goal is universal democracy. Is that wrong?

That is what will enable the overthrow of oligarchy and the restoration of democracy - it must happen before anything else can go forward.

Do you happen to know Hillary's plan for our citizen's lack of access to voting? Look at how low our registration numbers are; do you think that is an accident or that it isn't a known feature of our election system?

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
27. SC doesn't believe in democracy
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 01:37 AM
Mar 2016

They proved it.

I am beginning to wonder if Hillary people believe in democracy.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
5. Sometimes the candidates do not excite in the same amount.
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:21 PM
Feb 2016

In 2008 Obama and Clinton was running, in 2016 Clinton and Sanders ran, the two candidates are not getting the turnout Obama received.

wyldwolf

(43,867 posts)
6. As KOS said today...
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:21 PM
Feb 2016

There is no correlation between primary turnout and general election performance. Fact is, Democrats have long assumed (correctly) that Clinton would be the nominee, so there has been less impetus to vote than in the GOP civil war. In fact, the lower-than-expected turnout is an indictment on the Sanders campaign, because despite all the talk of revolution, fact is, he hasn’t inspired casual Democrats to turn out in any real numbers.

http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/2/29/1492734/-Democrats-South-Carolina-and-wrapping-up-our-primary-season

 

Onlooker

(5,636 posts)
7. Then I guess we better stick with Clinton
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:22 PM
Feb 2016

Bad news for Clinton is even worse news for Sanders because at least she gets a hell of a lot more of the black vote than Sanders.

Mike Nelson

(9,958 posts)
8. Bad news for...
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:27 PM
Feb 2016

...Hillary, Bernie and the Democratic Party. Turnout for Democrats has been down in every state, not just South Carolina. Hopefully, the presence of Trump on the other side will draw Democrats to the polls. Also, prominent Republicans will be staying home in disgust.

vdogg

(1,384 posts)
16. You really think black people won't turn out to vote against Trump?
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:38 PM
Feb 2016

Surely you jest.Trump is an existential threat to PoC. Don't make the mistake of comparing primary turn out to the general.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
23. Black folks will show up ... Women will show up ...
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 12:07 AM
Mar 2016

The LGBTQ community will show up ... Latinos will show up ... the entire (President) Obama coalition will show up ... The question is, as I asked before, will Bernie supporters?

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
30. Yes ... Democrats will have to live with that risk ...
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 07:59 AM
Mar 2016

and "progressives", whether staying home Bernie fans, or those that come out to vote, will forever, have sealed their fate within organized partisan politics.

My bet is there will be far fewer Bernie-PUMAS/Bernie:Tantrums than DU represents.

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
28. We get it ucr, we get it
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 01:41 AM
Mar 2016

You don't believe in the democratic process?

You think Hillary should have just been crowned?

 

RobertEarl

(13,685 posts)
32. Hey!
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 05:24 PM
Mar 2016

Where'd you go? Not like you to slink away from a question. Come back and lets discuss democracy.

MADem

(135,425 posts)
19. Get Barack and Michelle out there GOTVing on behalf of the nominee, and you'll see those
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:50 PM
Feb 2016

numbers jump up.

Bill Clinton did that "Secretary of Explaining Stuff" speech at the convention in 2012, and then went out on the stump drumming up enthusiasm for Obama in the run up to the election.

Once POTUS doesn't have to mind his tongue and we have a nominee, he'll be able to help generate some voter excitement.

yourout

(7,528 posts)
20. We are looking at a bloodbath in November. And not in a good way.
Mon Feb 29, 2016, 09:51 PM
Feb 2016

This has down ticket disaster written all over it.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
31. But everybody keeps ignoring.....
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 08:05 AM
Mar 2016

That turnout is way up over 2000 and 2004.

And despite the massive primary numbers in 2008, it didn't affect the generals nearly as much.

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