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2016 Postmortem

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts) Sat Oct 13, 2012, 10:09 PM Oct 2012

14

Obama Retakes the Lead in the Polling Averages

It is a small lead but according to pollster.com:

Obama 47.1%

Romney 46.9%

Romney has lead since October 5th by about 0.3 points, with is total bounce being about 5 points.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2012-general-election-romney-vs-obama

10 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Obama Retakes the Lead in the Polling Averages (Original Post) Doctor Jack Oct 2012 OP

Have we hit the bottom? Lone_Star_Dem Oct 2012 #1

Yep. As I said on Thursday night, the Mitt bounce was over. morningfog Oct 2012 #5

All but one the polls they list have Romney in the lead BainsBane Oct 2012 #2

'a Behavior Research Center poll has Obama up by 3 in AZ' TroyD Oct 2012 #9

Biden started the momentum again and Obama needs to keep it going on Tuesday. I believe he will. WI_DEM Oct 2012 #3

It's a real lead. Rmoney is a paper robot. onehandle Oct 2012 #4

Irrelevant -- that average was from Thursday... regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #6

"Updated about 8 hours ago" Doctor Jack Oct 2012 #7

now they're tied at 47% but LiberalElite Oct 2012 #8

Up to a 0.3 point lead Doctor Jack Oct 2012 #10

Lone_Star_Dem

(28,158 posts)

1. Have we hit the bottom?

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 10:11 PM

Oct 2012

If so, up, up, and away!

morningfog

(18,115 posts)

5. Yep. As I said on Thursday night, the Mitt bounce was over.

Reply to Lone_Star_Dem (Reply #1)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 10:19 PM

Oct 2012

It was a bounce, it was small and short-lived. He got a free week of positive press. And, now it is over.

BainsBane

(53,032 posts)

2. All but one the polls they list have Romney in the lead

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 10:13 PM

Oct 2012

So how does that give Obama a lead in the average?

But a Behavior Research Center poll has Obama up by 3 in AZ.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

9. 'a Behavior Research Center poll has Obama up by 3 in AZ'

Reply to BainsBane (Reply #2)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 11:39 PM

Oct 2012

By 2 to be precise, but Carmona is up 4.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)

3. Biden started the momentum again and Obama needs to keep it going on Tuesday. I believe he will.

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 10:13 PM

Oct 2012

onehandle

(51,122 posts)

4. It's a real lead. Rmoney is a paper robot.

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 10:15 PM

Oct 2012

He will take the blame from the Tearacists' anger.

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)

6. Irrelevant -- that average was from Thursday...

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 10:20 PM

Oct 2012

...and most of the polls they've included since then have Romney in the lead.

This one is just too good to be true.

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)

7. "Updated about 8 hours ago"

Reply to regnaD kciN (Reply #6)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 10:26 PM

Oct 2012

"Currently tracking 507 polls"

LiberalElite

(14,691 posts)

8. now they're tied at 47% but

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 11:30 PM

Oct 2012

Obama's favorable rating is 5 points above his unfavorable:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/obama-favorable-rating

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)

10. Up to a 0.3 point lead

Reply to Doctor Jack (Original post)

Sun Oct 14, 2012, 05:55 PM

Oct 2012

Obama 47.1%

Romney 46.8%

Largest lead in 9 days

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