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madfloridian

(88,117 posts)
Sat Mar 5, 2016, 10:07 AM Mar 2016

Primaries after March 15. Lots of them. Diary from Daily Kos.

Do the Democratic Primaries conclude on March 15th? No they conclude on June 14th

Just a list of the primaries after the date of transition to general election mode at Daily Kos.

Idaho March 22nd

Alaska March 26th

Hawaii March 26th

Washington March 26th

Wisconsin April 5th

Wyoming April 9th

New York April 19th

Connecticut April 26th

Delaware April 26th

Maryland April 26th

Pennsylvania April 26th

Rhode Island April 26th

Indiana May 3rd

Nebraska May 10th

West Virginia May 10th

Oregon May 17th

California June 7th

Montana June 7th

New Jersey June 7th

New Mexico June 7th

North Dakota June 7th

South Dakota June 7th

District of Columbia June 14th
34 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Primaries after March 15. Lots of them. Diary from Daily Kos. (Original Post) madfloridian Mar 2016 OP
Clearly-Our votes don't matter n/t fredamae Mar 2016 #1
Looks good for Hillary. DCBob Mar 2016 #2
Hillary's always led in the polls. madfloridian Mar 2016 #5
I hope Bernie hangs on until the convention. DCBob Mar 2016 #7
Re your sig: Hillary "SCARES" me. senz Mar 2016 #24
These states/territories will decide 49.9% of all pledged delegates demwing Mar 2016 #3
The math is simple hack89 Mar 2016 #8
And we are not there yet, are we? eom noiretextatique Mar 2016 #27
For all practical purposes hack89 Mar 2016 #28
Today is not 3/15 noiretextatique Mar 2016 #30
Save this link hack89 Mar 2016 #31
I will save it until June noiretextatique Mar 2016 #33
Bernie is no Obama judging by the results so far. hack89 Mar 2016 #34
DWS elected our nominee, months ago - It's Rigged! Orange Butterfly Mar 2016 #12
Exactly!!! marew Mar 2016 #17
It get's worse... Orange Butterfly Mar 2016 #20
Feeling the Bern, let everyone have a chance to vote for nom. The primary isn't over on 3/15 peacebird Mar 2016 #4
DU has been saying those voters just don't matter for weeks now. Bluenorthwest Mar 2016 #6
because math.. mkay? jcgoldie Mar 2016 #9
The game can, should and will be played to the end, even if the outcome is not in doubt. LonePirate Mar 2016 #29
Gaius Publius @ DK fredamae Mar 2016 #10
Yes, that was an excellent post. Quote about possible date for Bernie win says it all. madfloridian Mar 2016 #14
Bernie's win depends on your not buying the lie that the contest is over. senz Mar 2016 #26
Hey - Kos has convinced me - to completely disregard Daily Kos. djean111 Mar 2016 #11
they don't think primary voters matter regardless of date: they say so openly MisterP Mar 2016 #13
..... madfloridian Mar 2016 #15
Beware, beware the Ides of March suffragette Mar 2016 #16
Amazingly Bernie is ahead here in NY. I had off our state as the party made sabrina 1 Mar 2016 #18
The last NYS poll had Clinton up by 21 pts brooklynite Mar 2016 #32
Also Kentucky May 17th n/t A Little Weird Mar 2016 #19
But Markos said the primaries were over March 15 KelleyKramer Mar 2016 #21
Let these votes count. Don't declare a winner to discourage voters. madfloridian Mar 2016 #22
They missed KY. Tuesday May 17th blackspade Mar 2016 #23
K & R AzDar Mar 2016 #25
 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
3. These states/territories will decide 49.9% of all pledged delegates
Sat Mar 5, 2016, 10:11 AM
Mar 2016

and 53.1% of all Super delegates.

DK wants us to unite behind a candidate when we're only 1/2 done voting?

FUCK THAT NOISE.

hack89

(39,171 posts)
8. The math is simple
Sat Mar 5, 2016, 10:46 AM
Mar 2016

when you reach the point where Bernie has to win states by impossible margins to overcome Hillary's lead then it is over regardless of how many states are left.

hack89

(39,171 posts)
28. For all practical purposes
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 02:32 PM
Mar 2016

after March 15th it will be very hard for Bernie to articulate a reasonable path to the nomination.

hack89

(39,171 posts)
31. Save this link
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 02:54 PM
Mar 2016

538 has estimated how many delegates each candidate would need in each primary contest to win the nomination. It then tracks how successful each is in reaching their target goals. It is simple math. If Bernie doesn't make his targets in each state then he can't mathematically win. The problem for him is that Hillary has piled up some blow out wins in states with a lot of delegates. Since delegates are awarded proportionally, roughly splitting the delegates with Hillary going forward doesn't help Bernie. That is why people make such a big deal about Super Tuesday and the March 15th primaries - it puts him in a big hole and requires even bigger victories in subsequent states just to pull even.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/democrats/

Right now he is under performing.

hack89

(39,171 posts)
34. Bernie is no Obama judging by the results so far.
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 03:28 PM
Mar 2016

she has reassembled the Obama coalition. That should scare the hell out of Bernie.

 

Orange Butterfly

(205 posts)
20. It get's worse...
Sat Mar 5, 2016, 09:04 PM
Mar 2016

Lee Fang of The Intercept uncovered that x15 super-delegates are not elected officials! They are lobbyists!!! Each delegate, btw, represents many individual vote-voices. It is an outrage.

I now believe DWS is actually a republican plant. She is co-author of a banking bill that de-regulates predator payday lending loans on a national scale. Her list of transgressions against the DFL party is long and cuts deep into its soul.

I am watching the race with Tim Canova as he primary's DWS for her seat. Go Tim!!!

I really dislike injustice. Thanks for listening!

jcgoldie

(11,646 posts)
9. because math.. mkay?
Sat Mar 5, 2016, 10:51 AM
Mar 2016

When one team leads a ballgame by 40 points or pick your insurmountable number at halftime... they still play the 2nd half... doesn't mean many people will be watching.

madfloridian

(88,117 posts)
14. Yes, that was an excellent post. Quote about possible date for Bernie win says it all.
Sat Mar 5, 2016, 02:31 PM
Mar 2016
In most scenarios where Sanders wins, he doesn’t retake the lead until June 7, when five states including California cast their ballots.


Hey such an advantage in that case to make sure we don't have a place to post negative stuff against Hillary.

 

senz

(11,945 posts)
26. Bernie's win depends on your not buying the lie that the contest is over.
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 02:19 PM
Mar 2016

Most important take-away from your excellent link.

 

djean111

(14,255 posts)
11. Hey - Kos has convinced me - to completely disregard Daily Kos.
Sat Mar 5, 2016, 11:22 AM
Mar 2016

Done!!!!!!!! Not a hit from me, any more, and unsubscribed from the mailing list. Easy peasy.

As I learned from Celine Dion - my heart, and my life - will go on.

MisterP

(23,730 posts)
13. they don't think primary voters matter regardless of date: they say so openly
Sat Mar 5, 2016, 01:44 PM
Mar 2016

and that it's the best way to run the party

suffragette

(12,232 posts)
16. Beware, beware the Ides of March
Sat Mar 5, 2016, 04:32 PM
Mar 2016

Interesting date they've picked to push for the end of Bernie's campaign.

I'm one of the many whose caucus is after that, and yes, I want the opportunity to be heard.

sabrina 1

(62,325 posts)
18. Amazingly Bernie is ahead here in NY. I had off our state as the party made
Sat Mar 5, 2016, 05:31 PM
Mar 2016

it necessary for people who are not registered Dems to register on Oct 9th of last year BEFORE the first debate. I got some people registered as I knew about that date.

But people who are getting to know Bernie now will not be allowed to switch parties.

So I knew the fix was in.

They have a candidate they know can't win unless they do stuff like this or like what Markos is doing.

And they cant stop Bernie or his supporters with all the negative campaigning and dirty tricks and media blackouts.


He's going to win and maybe BECAUSE of what they are doing their candidate will not get the support she needs.

KelleyKramer

(8,982 posts)
21. But Markos said the primaries were over March 15
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 02:14 AM
Mar 2016

He posted it yesterday, that's his new rule for Dailykos.. on March 15 the primaries are effectively over.

You get one guess what candidate he supports


madfloridian

(88,117 posts)
22. Let these votes count. Don't declare a winner to discourage voters.
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 11:18 AM
Mar 2016

It's been worse this time...more than I remember. Everyone's declaring a winner as though there were never any mitigating circumstances.

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