2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumGravis sucks, but ... Obama (+2) in Colorado
Last edited Sun Oct 14, 2012, 07:21 PM - Edit history (1)
Nevertheless, looks like Obama is back on top in Colorado.
The recent results give Obama a 48.4% to 46.0% lead, with 5.6% of likely voters still undecided or voting for another candidate. The 2.6% Obama lead is a 2.1% decline from where it stood in September. Gravis Marketing conducted a previous poll this month right after the first debate, which gave Romney a 49.4% to 45.9% advantage.
http://gravismarketing.blogspot.com/
ProudToBeBlueInRhody
(16,399 posts)....Obama 51% to Rmoney 44%
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Let's not get carried away.
But let's be glad that it may be a good sign that Obama is coming back in COLORADO.
If Obama wins COLORADO, he will probably win the Presidency. In recent history it usually goes to the person who becomes President. (eg. Clinton won Colorado, Bush won Colorado, Obama won Colorado etc.)
ProudToBeBlueInRhody
(16,399 posts)So either they are lying about the spread, or just trying to seem legit. Whatever.
bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)Nonetheless, Gravis could be messing with us. So let's wait and see.
True that will bring it closer to 50 50 on his machine
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)if it's good news. Gravis is a complete fraud. Does not deserve any notice whatsoever.
tarheelsunc
(2,117 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)Here's a direct link to the poll:
http://gravismarketing.blogspot.ca/2012/10/gravis-marketing-colorado-presidential.html
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)Ive seen a lot of evidence that Gravis is made up of outright fraudsters. I've also seen Gravis paying attention to what is said about them on liberal boards. I can only conclude that this is yet another fake ass Gravis poll meant to confuse their critics. They're con artists.
woolldog
(8,791 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)Well, the positive thing from this poll is that it will help Obama's average in Colorado. That can be good for the narrative and for Obama's chances in Nate Silver's model.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Another important point is the date of this poll.
A lot of it was conducted in the days after the first debate and before the second debate.
Theoretically, the numbers for Obama could be higher in the next poll.
zach1845
(30 posts)Heard that was the closest battleground state.
last two reliable polls had romney +1
Quinnipiac
Survey USA
Gravis changes there mind alll the time and is quite the hack This is the same polling company who usually shows romney +1 in ohio
TroyD
(4,551 posts)- Has a Democratic Governor
- Has 2 Democratic Senators
- Obama won by 9 points in 2008
- Romney lost the primary to Santorum by 5 points
fujiyama
(15,185 posts)one of the worst years for Dems in years. So there is indeed hope in CO.
If the Obama campaign can maximize turnout in the Denver/Boulder areas, as well as among Latinos, then they'll win the state.