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fugop

(1,828 posts)
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 05:10 PM Oct 2012

Gravis sucks, but ... Obama (+2) in Colorado

Last edited Sun Oct 14, 2012, 07:21 PM - Edit history (1)

Nevertheless, looks like Obama is back on top in Colorado.

Following the debates, Gravis Marketing, a non-partisan research firm conducted a survey of 2,089 likely voters in Colorado on October 5th– October 11th regarding their likely vote for a given presidential candidate. The poll carries a margin of error of 2.2%.

The recent results give Obama a 48.4% to 46.0% lead, with 5.6% of likely voters still undecided or voting for another candidate. The 2.6% Obama lead is a 2.1% decline from where it stood in September. Gravis Marketing conducted a previous poll this month right after the first debate, which gave Romney a 49.4% to 45.9% advantage.


http://gravismarketing.blogspot.com/
15 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Gravis sucks, but ... Obama (+2) in Colorado (Original Post) fugop Oct 2012 OP
That must mean.... ProudToBeBlueInRhody Oct 2012 #1
No, it doesn't mean that TroyD Oct 2012 #5
They are pro GOP frauds ProudToBeBlueInRhody Oct 2012 #8
At least Silver will plug that in to his machine bluestateguy Oct 2012 #2
ha zach1845 Oct 2012 #14
Ignore it. Doens't matter Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #3
This is the one poll they put out every week to try to look legitimate tarheelsunc Oct 2012 #4
Not posted at RCP yet TroyD Oct 2012 #6
I've seen no evidence that Gravis actually conducts polls alcibiades_mystery Oct 2012 #7
+1 woolldog Oct 2012 #11
You should put Obama (+2) in Colorado in the title of your post TroyD Oct 2012 #9
Poll was conducted October 5th– October 11th TroyD Oct 2012 #10
who knows with gravis last I zach1845 Oct 2012 #12
Some good signs about COLORADO for Obama TroyD Oct 2012 #13
Another important point is that a Democrat was elected to the Senate in '10 fujiyama Oct 2012 #15

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
5. No, it doesn't mean that
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 05:48 PM
Oct 2012

Let's not get carried away.

But let's be glad that it may be a good sign that Obama is coming back in COLORADO.

If Obama wins COLORADO, he will probably win the Presidency. In recent history it usually goes to the person who becomes President. (eg. Clinton won Colorado, Bush won Colorado, Obama won Colorado etc.)

ProudToBeBlueInRhody

(16,399 posts)
8. They are pro GOP frauds
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 05:55 PM
Oct 2012

So either they are lying about the spread, or just trying to seem legit. Whatever.

bluestateguy

(44,173 posts)
2. At least Silver will plug that in to his machine
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 05:18 PM
Oct 2012

Nonetheless, Gravis could be messing with us. So let's wait and see.

Maximumnegro

(1,134 posts)
3. Ignore it. Doens't matter
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 05:18 PM
Oct 2012

if it's good news. Gravis is a complete fraud. Does not deserve any notice whatsoever.

 

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)
7. I've seen no evidence that Gravis actually conducts polls
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 05:51 PM
Oct 2012

Ive seen a lot of evidence that Gravis is made up of outright fraudsters. I've also seen Gravis paying attention to what is said about them on liberal boards. I can only conclude that this is yet another fake ass Gravis poll meant to confuse their critics. They're con artists.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
9. You should put Obama (+2) in Colorado in the title of your post
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 05:57 PM
Oct 2012
Following the debates, Gravis Marketing, a non-partisan research firm conducted a survey of 2,089 likely voters in Colorado on October 5th– October 11th regarding their likely vote for a given presidential candidate. The poll carries a margin of error of 2.2%.




Well, the positive thing from this poll is that it will help Obama's average in Colorado. That can be good for the narrative and for Obama's chances in Nate Silver's model.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
10. Poll was conducted October 5th– October 11th
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 06:00 PM
Oct 2012

Another important point is the date of this poll.

A lot of it was conducted in the days after the first debate and before the second debate.

Theoretically, the numbers for Obama could be higher in the next poll.

 

zach1845

(30 posts)
12. who knows with gravis last I
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 07:23 PM
Oct 2012

Heard that was the closest battleground state.
last two reliable polls had romney +1
Quinnipiac
Survey USA


Gravis changes there mind alll the time and is quite the hack This is the same polling company who usually shows romney +1 in ohio

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
13. Some good signs about COLORADO for Obama
Sun Oct 14, 2012, 07:26 PM
Oct 2012

- Has a Democratic Governor

- Has 2 Democratic Senators

- Obama won by 9 points in 2008

- Romney lost the primary to Santorum by 5 points

fujiyama

(15,185 posts)
15. Another important point is that a Democrat was elected to the Senate in '10
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 12:47 AM
Oct 2012

one of the worst years for Dems in years. So there is indeed hope in CO.

If the Obama campaign can maximize turnout in the Denver/Boulder areas, as well as among Latinos, then they'll win the state.

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