I think NC is more Democratic than it was in 2008, so the lean should be significantly less this time. The Democratic party registered a ton of new voters here and the OFA ground game is great. I don't expect an Obama win here but it's definitely in play.

Kerry and Obama not so much but obviously won the pop vote by seven percent so he had a much bigger cushion.

... for Romney and the conservative PACs. That would be victory enough.

I agree. These are tough for us. But we need Ohio and that is where a theft may occur.

Ohio won't be close enough to steal.

I disagree on Ohio.

With O currently leading 76-24 among early voters who constitute 20% of the sample so far, it's almost impossible to see how R can win Ohio.

Defending states where he's barely ahead instead of fighting in states where he's behind.

GOTV effort.

It was truly awe-inspiring in 2008. Throughout.

Then it is another ball game.

Ohio and Colorado are the states you need to watch if this stays close as it is now.