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TroyD

(4,551 posts)
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 07:14 AM Oct 2012

Schweitzer: 'Lights out' if Clinton runs in '16

10/15/12 6:37 AM EDT

In an AP story on Montana Gov. Brian Schweitzer's political shtick, the ambitious Democrat sounds open to a 2016 presidential run, and also less than optimistic about his viability if Hillary Clinton jumps into the race:

Democratic-leaning pollster Public Policy Polling has included Schweitzer in several early 2016 takes in presidential primary states, where the governor generally finishes toward the back of the pack.

It's clear Schweitzer is considering a run, though he quickly discusses things that could get in the way.

"If Hillary runs, she walks away with the nomination and then beats whichever Republican," Schweitzer said of Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. "It's lights out."

It's the most plainly stated version of what most 2016-minded Democrats are thinking privately. and another reminder that whatever happens on Nov. 6, the next big question in presidential politics will be: What will Hillary Clinton do?

http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/10/schweitzer-lights-out-if-clinton-runs-in-138432.html

42 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Schweitzer: 'Lights out' if Clinton runs in '16 (Original Post) TroyD Oct 2012 OP
Her work as Secretary of State is penance for the IWR...eom Kolesar Oct 2012 #1
biden 2016 leftyohiolib Oct 2012 #2
After that phenomenal debate performance, I say Biden all the way. InAbLuEsTaTe Oct 2012 #7
Too old pscot Oct 2012 #21
unfortunately, I agree demwing Oct 2012 #30
Biden would make an awesome President. Whisp Oct 2012 #33
2016, Biden's too old. Bake Oct 2012 #37
He will be 73 then, and while he's probably got a good four years Warpy Oct 2012 #38
There is no doubt she'd be a formidable candidate davidpdx Oct 2012 #3
Hillary 2016, Biden at State NYC Liberal Oct 2012 #4
Our Bench Is Friggin' AWESOME! Skraxx Oct 2012 #5
What about Jullian Casto? Id say put him into the mix for running for nomination MassedPole Oct 2012 #6
Sure, My List Wasn't Even Close to Exhustive! Why Not Add Warren? Skraxx Oct 2012 #11
Also add Martin O'Malley, Governor of Maryland. avebury Oct 2012 #39
What are his qualifications, other than giving a good speech? brooklynite Oct 2012 #12
He's Extraordinarily Charismatic But He's Trapped By Texas Politics DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #14
Undersecretary in State or Defense for two exboyfil Oct 2012 #26
Warren, O'Malley, Castro Doctor_J Oct 2012 #10
mmmm rtracey Oct 2012 #19
What about Duvall Patrick.... skeewee08 Oct 2012 #8
It's Deval, and he will not run. Mass Oct 2012 #9
I dispute your conjecture... brooklynite Oct 2012 #13
His wife is totally opposed to him running. Mass Oct 2012 #16
No thanks. I'd prefer an actual progressive next time. Dawgs Oct 2012 #15
+1 a2liberal Oct 2012 #20
Only in your dreams pscot Oct 2012 #22
Exactly. Dawgs Oct 2012 #32
Yes, please. n/t Chan790 Oct 2012 #23
He's right! I do like Biden, though. Always have. Liberal_Stalwart71 Oct 2012 #17
Note- I support James48 Oct 2012 #18
You thought Obama was exboyfil Oct 2012 #27
i'd totally vote for her. barbtries Oct 2012 #24
Why would she run ? Myrina Oct 2012 #25
I am 36 and think Biden and Hillary have more energy then I do. Jennicut Oct 2012 #36
Brian Schweitzer is my choice for Prez in 2016 Larkspur Oct 2012 #28
I just hope he stops trying to get me to chant "This dog won't hunt" soleft Oct 2012 #29
No, I was thinking of a woman VP. Gillibrand? Larkspur Oct 2012 #31
Whichever party has a woman candidate wins Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #34
Hillary will be 69 by the time of the 2016 election DFW Oct 2012 #35
The name that worries me the most hasn't even been mentioned in this thread. Jim Lane Oct 2012 #40
SO, what's wrong with Clinton/Schweitzer 2016? Rosco T. Oct 2012 #41
I doubt Biden will run. Give less than 50% that HRC will. Warren DeMontague Oct 2012 #42
 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
30. unfortunately, I agree
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 11:39 AM
Oct 2012

I love Joe, but 4 years from now will be too long. Joe Biden will be the best VP of my lifetime (Sorry Al G.), but his Top of the Ticket moment has passed.

 

Whisp

(24,096 posts)
33. Biden would make an awesome President.
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 12:27 PM
Oct 2012

Bill has already had his terms. and yah, it will be Bill calling the shots, not Hillary.

She lets her men walk all over her. And that's a damn shame.

Bake

(21,977 posts)
37. 2016, Biden's too old.
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 02:12 PM
Oct 2012

Plus, some of us haven't forgiven his MBNA baggage. My guess is that's quickly forgotten here.

Bake

Warpy

(111,267 posts)
38. He will be 73 then, and while he's probably got a good four years
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 04:47 PM
Oct 2012

it's unlikely that his health will hold up for eight. Sadly, the job is such a difficult one that it requires a younger man.

I would have loved to see a President Biden in 2008 but that was not to be. I am delighted to have him as Vice President and hope he's one of the people Mr. Obama listens to most.

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)
3. There is no doubt she'd be a formidable candidate
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 08:02 AM
Oct 2012

And she already has campaign experience from the first run. I'm not convinced she'd run though.

Skraxx

(2,977 posts)
5. Our Bench Is Friggin' AWESOME!
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 08:07 AM
Oct 2012

Think about it, Clinton, Biden, Schweitzer...

GOP? Not so much. Christie? Ryan? Jeb Bush? ROFL!

avebury

(10,952 posts)
39. Also add Martin O'Malley, Governor of Maryland.
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 05:08 PM
Oct 2012

The Democratic Party has a lot of potential viable candidates. Republicans have more nut jobs in the wings.

brooklynite

(94,584 posts)
12. What are his qualifications, other than giving a good speech?
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 09:15 AM
Oct 2012

Mayor's with no Statewide or Federal Office experience don't tend to do well.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
14. He's Extraordinarily Charismatic But He's Trapped By Texas Politics
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 09:18 AM
Oct 2012

He could easily win a House race but it's much harder to see him win a senate or gubernatorial race which would be the platform for a national campaign.

exboyfil

(17,863 posts)
26. Undersecretary in State or Defense for two
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 11:04 AM
Oct 2012

years and step up to Secretary of State or Defense for 1 1/2 years. Resign in time to join the top of the ticket as VP. He is really kind of young for the top of the ticket, and he needs foreign policy experience. In 2024 he would only be 50 (Obama was 47 when elected and Clinton was 46).

Top of the ticket. I will vote for Hillary Clinton in the primaries if she runs.

Of course we should be having this discussion on Nov. 7th.

 

rtracey

(2,062 posts)
19. mmmm
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 10:09 AM
Oct 2012

Warren, only if she gets elected in MA, and serves the full six years first. O'Malley, I think needs to replace Barbara McCulsky in the Senate for a full term, Castro perhaps.....I would like to see the following for 2016.... Clinton / Alan Grayson or Clinton / Sanders. with Joe Biden as state,

Mass

(27,315 posts)
16. His wife is totally opposed to him running.
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 09:24 AM
Oct 2012

She had a nervous breakdown when he was first elected governor and I sincerely doubt that he will run for president. I would love him too, though.

I suspect he is campaigning for Obama because he wants to see him win (and may be get a position in a second Obama organization), and because, as he does not want to run again, he feels free to do it even if the stupid MA media complain.

a2liberal

(1,524 posts)
20. +1
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 10:14 AM
Oct 2012

Enough with the DLC/Third Way corporatists already! We need an unapologetic progressive candidate who will actually stay that way (kind of like how 2008-candidate-Obama acted...). To those that say progressives don't win, again look at the 2008 campaign with the biggest wins in years because of the progressive message. They then went on to fritter away those wins (no I'm not getting into any debates about 60 votes right now) acting all centrist, leading to the results of the 2010 election. If that isn't clear evidence that progressive policy wins campaigns and centrism doesn't, I don't know what is...

 

Dawgs

(14,755 posts)
32. Exactly.
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 11:52 AM
Oct 2012

My dream is to one day get a Democratic front-runner for President that doesn't support any war for any reason, or...

one that will suggest we strengthen Social Security instead of talking about compromise, or...

one that will never vote for another free trade agreement, or...

one that will fight for single-payer healthcare, or...

one that will actually mention global warming during a debate,...

Do I really need to continue?

James48

(4,436 posts)
18. Note- I support
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 09:39 AM
Oct 2012

I want you to know that in 2008, I did NOT support Hillary- because I thought she was not yet ready.

I supported Obama. (Prior to 2000 I generally supported republicans. I did not vote for Bill Clinton.)

But in 2016- I will tell you this- I can think of no other candidate from either party who would make a better President than her. I will work very, very hard for her.

I think her time is ahead, IF she wants to. All she has to do is say that is what she wants, and there are a LOT of folks like me who will step up and help her get there.


exboyfil

(17,863 posts)
27. You thought Obama was
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 11:09 AM
Oct 2012

more ready than Clinton? Obviously now, with the possible exception of Biden, she has the most impressive resume of the potential candidates to run. She had served as Senator for four more years than Obama in 2008. Obama ran the better primary campaign and got the nomination. I think Hillary Clinton would have been a better president (but either were much better than the alternative).

Myrina

(12,296 posts)
25. Why would she run ?
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 10:48 AM
Oct 2012

She'll be close to 70 years old. When I'm 70, I'm sleeping in, walking on the beach with my dogs & gardening.

And personally, I think we need a younger generation of leaders to start steeping forward ... Us old farts need to move off the stage.

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)
36. I am 36 and think Biden and Hillary have more energy then I do.
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 01:05 PM
Oct 2012

Whatever happens, we have tons of good people, younger and older.

 

Larkspur

(12,804 posts)
28. Brian Schweitzer is my choice for Prez in 2016
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 11:16 AM
Oct 2012

I don't think Hillary will run. She turns 65 on Oct. 26 which will make her 67-68 when she starts running for Prez. Also, I don't think she's paid off Mark Penn for her last run. In my opinion she shouldn't because Penn didn't read the rules of the Dem primary process and should be charged with campaign malpractice. But if she decides to run in 2016 and doesn't pay off Penn, would that become an issue?

As far as Joe Biden. He's 69 now and turns 70 on Nov. 20. He would be 72-73 when he would need to start prepping for a Prez run.

If either Hillary or Joe do decide to run, who will be their VP choice will be critical, sense the odds of them dying in office would be greater than a 40-60 year old President.

Brian Schweitzer is 57 now and would be 59 when he would start running for Prez. He's at a prime age to run for Prez.
It will be interesting to see what he does after he is term limited out of Montana's governorship. Hopefully, he gets a decent job in the Obama Admin. He may run for Senate in 2014 if Max Baucus's popularity stays below 50, which would be good too.

But Schweitzer is smart to say what he did about Hillary. He'll need the Clinton era big donors to help him get started.
If Chris Christie ends up as the Rethug nominee in 2016, Schweitzer is the best person to rhetorically fight him. Schweitzer knows how to turn the Reich wing rhetoric against them. That's why he won the governorship in deep red Montana.

soleft

(18,537 posts)
29. I just hope he stops trying to get me to chant "This dog won't hunt"
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 11:24 AM
Oct 2012

How about Corey book as VP?

 

Larkspur

(12,804 posts)
31. No, I was thinking of a woman VP. Gillibrand?
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 11:40 AM
Oct 2012

That would also give you a West-East ticket.

If the women aren't ready for VP, i would also consider former NM Gov. Richardson to put a Hispanic on the ticket who also has strong foreign policy creds.

Maximumnegro

(1,134 posts)
34. Whichever party has a woman candidate wins
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 12:30 PM
Oct 2012

It is the century of women. Personally I think Clinton fatigue would set in very, very quickly. We need to move on, forward not back. I say Gillibrand. If she runs and survives the primaries, she wins.

DFW

(54,397 posts)
35. Hillary will be 69 by the time of the 2016 election
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 12:43 PM
Oct 2012

I just don't see it, and I'm betting she doesn't either.

Although speculation at this point is sort of silly, my money at this point would be on O'Malley.

 

Jim Lane

(11,175 posts)
40. The name that worries me the most hasn't even been mentioned in this thread.
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 05:15 PM
Oct 2012

If Biden and Clinton both decide against running, then the likely front-runner will be Andrew Cuomo. He has a veneer of progressivism (based on part on memories of his father). He has big-state governing experience. To the Democrats who think that Obama's problem is that he's been too liberal (yes, there are such people), Cuomo will point to his slashing of social programs in New York, and his attacks on public employe unions (attacks that he'll spin as "standing up to the special interests&quot . To the progressives who don't want a candidate who's to the right of Obama, Cuomo will point to his support of marriage equality and try to make us forget about all his neocon actions on other issues.

My prediction: If Biden and Clinton both opt out, then Cuomo will run, will be the best-funded candidate, and will be perceived as the early front-runner. Barring any major stumbles, by March 2016 the race will have come down to a two-person contest between Cuomo and the progressive standard-bearer, who might be any of several people mentioned upthread (but with Sherrod Brown and Sheldon Whitehouse added to the list of possibles).

A further prediction: In the summer of 2016, a common topic on DU will be posts complaining about how we're stuck with a neocon as the nominee. A further further prediction: I will be one of those complaining.

If Clinton runs, Cuomo won't. I don't know what he'll do if Biden runs. There's no one else whose entry into the race would keep Cuomo out.

Warren DeMontague

(80,708 posts)
42. I doubt Biden will run. Give less than 50% that HRC will.
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 05:22 PM
Oct 2012

I would like to see Schweitzer, or Liz Warren.

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