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Ira

(51 posts)
Mon Oct 15, 2012, 09:57 AM Oct 2012

Electoral college opinion maps still show Obama well positioned

Electoral College opinion map weekly update

The average of 30 online Electoral College opinion maps (with tossups) is currently:

Obama 240
Romney 194
Tossups 104


There are 13 online Electoral College opinion maps that assign all electoral votes to either Obama or Romney, disregarding the margin of error in the polls. The current average (without tossups) is:

Obama 298
Romney 240
Tossups 0


The average of three online Electoral College odds makers (Intrade, Iowa Electronic Markets and Betfair) currently show Obama with a 64% probability of winning and Romney with a 36% probability of winning.


http://peanutgallerypolitical.blogspot.com/

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