2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumOK, Michigan Predictions!
Here's mine: I think Sanders has closed any gap considerably. It probably won't be enough, but it also won't be the delegate blowout that will really kill the week.
The Sanders campaign made a devastating error in abandoning the South. Sure, he wasn't going to win there, but he could have kept the delegate net losses lower. Ironically, it mirrors the mistake the Clinton team made in 2008. Watching Sanders campaign in Michigan, I can only imagine what might have been had he had the resources and strategy to push for better splits in, say, Georgia.
Prediction
Clinton: 52.5%
Sanders: 47.5%
This will be read (maybe even properly) as a moral victory for the Sanders team. But the Clinton people are grinders, and they'll happily take the delegates and the headlines.
metroins
(2,550 posts)She had a large lead, the debate and ads helped her. It is spring break.