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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPPP: Obama (up by 7) and Casey (up by 11) lead in Pennsylvania
Obama and Casey lead in Pennsylvania
PPP's newest Pennsylvania poll finds Barack Obama's lead in the state declining by 5 points over the last month, but he still has a 7 point advantage at 51-44. He led 52-40 in mid-September.
Pennsylvania voters narrowly approve of the job Obama is doing, with 49% giving him good marks to 47% who disapprove. Romney continues to have trouble connecting with voters in the Keystone State, as 44% express a favorable opinion of him to 49% who see him negatively.
Here are some of the keys for Obama in Pennsylvania:
-He's competitive with white voters, trailing Romney only 49/46. Add in Obama's 86/7 lead with African Americans and it gives him his overall advantage.
-Obama leads with both women (53/42) and men (48/46).
-Obama has a 51/41 advantage with independents.
The Pennsylvania Senate race isn't looking terribly competitive. Bob Casey leads Republican challenger Tom Smith 50-39, an 11 point lead that's pretty similar to the 10 point one we found for Casey at 46-36 in July. Casey has a 44-36 advantage with independents and he continues to enjoy greater than normal crossover support for a Democrat, taking 17% of the GOP vote. He's winning white voters 47-43 and is at 50% with both women (50-35) and men (50-43).
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-and-casey-lead-in-pennsylvania.html
PPP's newest Pennsylvania poll finds Barack Obama's lead in the state declining by 5 points over the last month, but he still has a 7 point advantage at 51-44. He led 52-40 in mid-September.
Pennsylvania voters narrowly approve of the job Obama is doing, with 49% giving him good marks to 47% who disapprove. Romney continues to have trouble connecting with voters in the Keystone State, as 44% express a favorable opinion of him to 49% who see him negatively.
Here are some of the keys for Obama in Pennsylvania:
-He's competitive with white voters, trailing Romney only 49/46. Add in Obama's 86/7 lead with African Americans and it gives him his overall advantage.
-Obama leads with both women (53/42) and men (48/46).
-Obama has a 51/41 advantage with independents.
The Pennsylvania Senate race isn't looking terribly competitive. Bob Casey leads Republican challenger Tom Smith 50-39, an 11 point lead that's pretty similar to the 10 point one we found for Casey at 46-36 in July. Casey has a 44-36 advantage with independents and he continues to enjoy greater than normal crossover support for a Democrat, taking 17% of the GOP vote. He's winning white voters 47-43 and is at 50% with both women (50-35) and men (50-43).
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-and-casey-lead-in-pennsylvania.html
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PPP: Obama (up by 7) and Casey (up by 11) lead in Pennsylvania (Original Post)
ProSense
Oct 2012
OP
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)1. Obama should get close to his percentage of the vote from 2008.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)2. This is very good news and much better than the Morning Call PA poll
from this morning which has Obama +4 and Casey only +2
Better than the Morning Call poll today showing a closer race.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)4. Doesn't seem to be on RCP yet
Guess they're taking their time . . .