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2016 Postmortem

PyaarRevolution

(814 posts) Tue Mar 8, 2016, 11:41 PM Mar 2016

0

Michigan numbers: When it's this close....

How many delegates go to the winner since it's proportional? I'm not giant wonks like some of you here so please help me out.

5 replies

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Michigan numbers: When it's this close.... (Original Post) PyaarRevolution Mar 2016 OP

This is pretty close to 50/50 split. Agschmid Mar 2016 #1

Even if Hillary got 0%, she would be winning the nomination by a mile. nt onehandle Mar 2016 #2

The Green Papers has a pretty good explanation of how delegate math works: Massacure Mar 2016 #3

If they each win about 50% (half) of the vote... thesquanderer Mar 2016 #4

Thanks. PyaarRevolution Mar 2016 #5

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)

1. This is pretty close to 50/50 split.

Reply to PyaarRevolution (Original post)

Tue Mar 8, 2016, 11:42 PM

Mar 2016

Sanders +4 is my guess.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)

2. Even if Hillary got 0%, she would be winning the nomination by a mile. nt

Reply to PyaarRevolution (Original post)

Tue Mar 8, 2016, 11:42 PM

Mar 2016

Massacure

(7,521 posts)

3. The Green Papers has a pretty good explanation of how delegate math works:

Reply to PyaarRevolution (Original post)

Tue Mar 8, 2016, 11:45 PM

Mar 2016

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/D-Math.phtml

thesquanderer

(11,986 posts)

4. If they each win about 50% (half) of the vote...

Reply to PyaarRevolution (Original post)

Tue Mar 8, 2016, 11:46 PM

Mar 2016

...they should each get about 50% of the delegates. Don't let "proportional" be a scary word. Michigan has 130 delegates, so with each getting about half, it should end up being in the neighborhood of 65 for each of them

For Bernie to win, he's going to have to start doing more than tie, he has to have some decisive wins to make up for being as far behind as he is. But there's still time, and I don't want to take anything away from what looks like a great come-from-behind showing.

PyaarRevolution

(814 posts)

5. Thanks.

Reply to thesquanderer (Reply #4)

Wed Mar 9, 2016, 12:12 AM

Mar 2016

Mississippi is over 15% too which I hoped so at least that won't be a shutout on delegates.

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