2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumA quick thought about Bernie's win tonight, before I go to sleep.
538's graph showing Hillary's chance of winning Michigan at 99%, next to a pic of Bernie holding his hands up in victory - - quite a visual, and it's all over social media tonight.
When people try to logically explain how this could have happened - how THE Nate Silver got it so wrong, it just can't be done.
We have witnessed one of those rare delicious moments that will inevitably change things forever and completely defies explanation. The revolutionary impact of this moment will be seen in the days to come as people start to believe that anything is possible.
ALBliberal
(2,340 posts)Yep! Those words say it all!
nadinbrzezinski
(154,021 posts)and the new talking point (old) but she got more delegates (which she did), but most voters are not that sophisticated, so the perception will mean voters will start looking at the race anew. I say this as a reporter not a partisan.
I also expect my fellow members of the media to push the delegates (adding supers) hard.
Jarqui
(10,123 posts)North Carolina 21.5% Black
Florida 16% Black
Illinois 14.5% Black
Ohio 12.2% Black
Missouri 11.6% Black
Three of those states have a higher % of blacks than Michigan.
Florida is probably impossible - aged population along with above average % of blacks in the south. North Carolina is going to be tough.
After that, only New York, Maryland, Delaware & DC are left and they're in the north - where the split among the blacks seems less severe.
25 states with less black population than Michigan remain.
After the 15th, the playing field in terms of the black vote is going to level off some.
Bernie can close the gap after the 15th. With Michigan falling, this isn't over.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)Or is Kos still completely biased, and going ahead with doing the coronation committee's bidding?
Jarqui
(10,123 posts)mhatrw
(10,786 posts)pat_k
(9,313 posts)It always seems impossible until its done.
Nelson Mandela
There is only one thing that makes a dream impossible to achieve: the fear of failure.
Paulo Coelho
Its kind of fun to do the impossible.
Walt Disney
Cheese Sandwich
(9,086 posts)Nobody thought he would make it this far.
Don't listen to the pundits.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)- the ignominious way - of Rassmussen: becoming less and less relevant for being unreliable.
Stevepol
(4,234 posts)The voting machines nowadays are regularly tilted against the anti-corporate candidate, and I don't think this contest was any different. Because of the polls, the tilt was just not big enough this time. Exactly how it's being done is not clear of course, but the statistics are undeniable. Jonathan Simon's CODE RED details the statistics pretty clearly it seems to me, and there are many others around the country like Beth Clarkson who have caught on. If the MA result were to be audited or recounted by hand using the actual paper ballots, I feel certain that lo and behold Bernie won MA as well.
marions ghost
(19,841 posts)--the cheat factor was operational in MA. Just a little, just enough.
litlbilly
(2,227 posts)to be fair, I will hit retirement age this year I don't feel old tho. I dumped my landline 10 years ago and my laptop is my tv now too. Couldn't be happier
PufPuf23
(8,774 posts)Now all things are possible.
Good.