2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBTRTN March 8 Post-Mortem: Bernie's Dilemma
Bernie Sanders' math problem was never clearer than last night. The headlines will rightly tout a huge upset win in Michigan over Hillary Clinton that no one saw coming, but the fact is the delegate gap only widened:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2016/03/march-8-post-mortem-bernies-dilemmaa.html
tgards79
(1,415 posts)He needs to win 60/40...
Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)Let Bernie suporters have their fun.
libtodeath
(2,888 posts)Let Hillary supporters hand us a repuke Presidency.
tgards79
(1,415 posts)I'm just the messenger. It's all about the math.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)morningfog
(18,115 posts)pat_k
(9,313 posts)Here's a look at how it's going relative to targets. From http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/democrats/
Delegate targets for yesterday:
MI 67. He got 69
MS 13. He got 4
Total Target 80. He got 73. That's 91% of target. Pretty damn good.
The future positive effect of the win in MI far outweighs missing overall target for the day.
With every primary, he's getting closer.
March 1 -- 83% of cumulative target for that day
March 5 -- 85%
March 8 -- 86%
That's movement is a big deal. He is going in the right direction big time.
And the better he does, the better he'll do. It's one of those virtuous cycles.