2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMarist and SurveyUSA Polls: Clinton Leads FL 61% - 34%, IL 51% - 45%, OH 58% - 38%, NC 58% - 34%.
http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/3/13/1500622/-Marist-and-SurveyUSA-Polls-Clinton-Leads-FL-61-34-IL-51-45-OH-58-38-NC-58-34By First Amendment
Clintons leads in these four states are once again powered by her large advantage among African American voters.
It appears Sanders is making a big play for Illinois, Missouri and to a lesser extent Ohio. I think Clinton has Florida and North Carolina locked up. I think she can win Ohio as well.
www.nbcnews.com/...
In the Democratic race, Clinton is ahead of Sanders among likely primary voters by 27 points in Florida, 61 percent to 34 percent; by 20 points in Ohio, 58 percent to 38 percent; but by just six points in Illinois, 51 percent to 45 percent.
The size of Clinton's lead in all three states directly correlates to her advantage with African-American Democratic voters - 57 points in Florida (77 percent to 20 percent), 48 points in Ohio (72 percent to 24 percent) and 39 points in Illinois (67 percent to 28 percent).
www.highpoint.edu/
(More in link)
boomer55
(592 posts)MrWendel
(1,881 posts)as much as she's leading in delegates.
litlbilly
(2,227 posts)cyberpj
(10,794 posts)MrWendel
(1,881 posts)are the right ones? Because I seem to remember both sides having no problem using them.
cyberpj
(10,794 posts)http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511481764
These are useless too right?
cyberpj
(10,794 posts)litlbilly
(2,227 posts)stay home. Wow, are you all gonna be in for a big surprise. So, is it a 99% chance she's gonna win?
MrWendel
(1,881 posts)Those stupid unreliable polls...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511484340
bunnies
(15,859 posts)Laughable.
Attorney in Texas
(3,373 posts)MrWendel
(1,881 posts)Polls are useless RIGHT? You guys are great. NEVER CHANGE.
9999dmg
(18 posts)It's just that, barring the south, Bernie has outperformed whatever the polls have indicated. I think that's one of the primary reasons his supporters, myself included, take them with a grain of salt. Either way, we will find out Tuesday!
angrychair
(8,733 posts)Not a single poll outside of the Deep South has been accurate. He has outperformed in every state so the polling is skewed. In the couple I have looked at sometimes it was robo-polls or POC sample sets were to small to make an actual model of potential voting behavior from the type of data collection method being used.
So far it has held that he over performs polling by 10-25 points. That holds true on the 15th than IL and OH are in play and doesn't account for last minute pushes and switching at polls so FL is not out of the question.
RoccoR5955
(12,471 posts)After all, it is a right wing school, in a right wing area.
I know, I live near by, and work very close to Marist.