2016 Postmortem

ashtonelijah

(340 posts) Wed Mar 16, 2016, 12:54 AM Mar 2016

Bernie needs to win 72% of all remaining delegates to win the nod

Last edited Wed Mar 16, 2016, 01:25 AM - Edit history (1)

He needs to win 72% of all remaining pledged delegates and Superdelegates.

That in mind, how many of you really see a realistic scenario in which that happens? He get literally have Michigan sized wins in every state from here on out and lose the pledged delegate race without even considering Superdelegates.

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Bernie needs to win 72% of all remaining delegates to win the nod (Original Post) ashtonelijah Mar 2016 OP

You know, we like who we like. That's who we like. Could say it's even more than like. I would. highprincipleswork Mar 2016 #1

Uh... he needs to win 61% of the delegates going forward Recursion Mar 2016 #2

2026 is a plurality. 2383 is needed to clinch the nom. -nt- Happenstance24 Mar 2016 #4

2026 pledged wins the nom. Period Recursion Mar 2016 #6

No, I meant that was probably where the 72% came from. BUT Happenstance24 Mar 2016 #8

Doubtful; that's what Obama did too in '08 Recursion Mar 2016 #9

Wait so is it 61% or 57% Cheese Sandwich Mar 2016 #11

The numbers are soft so far, but that's the neighborhood AFAICT (nt) Recursion Mar 2016 #12

You may wish to correct your mathematical error. nt silvershadow Mar 2016 #3

I am supporting Bernie all the way til the convention. I am not switching my vote. liberal_at_heart Mar 2016 #5

Consider other options? JaneyVee Mar 2016 #7

show your math? Cheese Sandwich Mar 2016 #10

We have to wait till the morning to get exact numbers Renew Deal Mar 2016 #13

highprincipleswork

(3,111 posts)

1. You know, we like who we like. That's who we like. Could say it's even more than like. I would.

Reply to ashtonelijah (Original post)

Wed Mar 16, 2016, 01:00 AM

Mar 2016

Recursion

(56,582 posts)

2. Uh... he needs to win 61% of the delegates going forward

Reply to ashtonelijah (Original post)

Wed Mar 16, 2016, 01:10 AM

Mar 2016

1834 delegates out of 4051 have been pledged. 2217 remain.

Clinton needs to win 945 more to win 2026, which is 43% of the remaining delegates.

Sanders needs to win 1273 more to win 2026, which is 57% of the remaining delegates.

Happenstance24

(193 posts)

4. 2026 is a plurality. 2383 is needed to clinch the nom. -nt-

Reply to Recursion (Reply #2)

Wed Mar 16, 2016, 01:20 AM

Mar 2016

Recursion

(56,582 posts)

6. 2026 pledged wins the nom. Period

Reply to Happenstance24 (Reply #4)

Wed Mar 16, 2016, 01:23 AM

Mar 2016

Whoever goes in to the convention with 2026 delegates will be the nominee, and it's ludicrous to think otherwise.

Happenstance24

(193 posts)

8. No, I meant that was probably where the 72% came from. BUT

Reply to Recursion (Reply #6)

Wed Mar 16, 2016, 01:40 AM

Mar 2016

do you think Sanders fans will go nuts if Hillary hits 2026 and then uses super delegates to get over the 2383 nom number?

Recursion

(56,582 posts)

9. Doubtful; that's what Obama did too in '08

Reply to Happenstance24 (Reply #8)

Wed Mar 16, 2016, 01:44 AM

Mar 2016

Well, I'm sure there will be gnashing of teeth no matter how Clinton wins, but I don't think that will particularly bother people any more than her victory itself.

Cheese Sandwich

(9,086 posts)

11. Wait so is it 61% or 57%

Reply to Recursion (Reply #2)

Wed Mar 16, 2016, 01:51 AM

Mar 2016

This guy seems optimistic:

Recursion

(56,582 posts)

12. The numbers are soft so far, but that's the neighborhood AFAICT (nt)

Reply to Cheese Sandwich (Reply #11)

Wed Mar 16, 2016, 02:06 AM

Mar 2016

silvershadow

(10,336 posts)

3. You may wish to correct your mathematical error. nt

Reply to ashtonelijah (Original post)

Wed Mar 16, 2016, 01:17 AM

Mar 2016

liberal_at_heart

(12,081 posts)

5. I am supporting Bernie all the way til the convention. I am not switching my vote.

Reply to ashtonelijah (Original post)

Wed Mar 16, 2016, 01:20 AM

Mar 2016

I don't even get to vote until March 26 and you better believe I am going to let my voice be heard. I don't care what the so called math is. My vote is my voice and my vote is for Bernie. If he doesn't win the nomination then I will consider other options which I will not discuss here on DU.