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AzDar

(14,023 posts)
Wed Mar 16, 2016, 01:58 AM Mar 2016

I Predicted That Bernie's Chances For These States Today Were Being Inflated To Give HRC The ...

APPEARANCE Of Momentum...http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511468791#post13

I was right. And it was CLOSE. But Hillary has no MOMENTUM... and the map from here on out favors "The Real Deal" - Bernie!
So, get out and canvass, phonebank, volunteer and DONATE!

This is just halftime... Bern, Baby...BERN!!

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I Predicted That Bernie's Chances For These States Today Were Being Inflated To Give HRC The ... (Original Post) AzDar Mar 2016 OP
K & R RepubliCON-Watch Mar 2016 #1
Yup. She gets to be the comeback kid. Ed Suspicious Mar 2016 #2
She won 6 states in a row after the virtual tie in Michigan. Renew Deal Mar 2016 #3
I'll grant you that Michigan was a virtual tie... thesquanderer Mar 2016 #11
Bernie's internal polling showed him winning in Ohio by 5 points Samantha Mar 2016 #4
and in doing so Robbins Mar 2016 #5
So the Hillary camp doesn't have its own internal polling???? Samantha Mar 2016 #9
The evening news mentioned something about Democrats in Ohio . . . Petrushka Mar 2016 #7
Bernie Sanders hasn't won a major urban area yet alcibiades_mystery Mar 2016 #6
As I've been saying for weeks... Garrett78 Mar 2016 #8
and I, contrariwise, don't think they're nearly that smart MisterP Mar 2016 #10

Samantha

(9,314 posts)
4. Bernie's internal polling showed him winning in Ohio by 5 points
Wed Mar 16, 2016, 02:08 AM
Mar 2016

so I don't think that was it. I do think Dems voted for Kasick in an effort to stop Trump. Very early this morning, my Republican brother who lives in Florida called to tell me Dems were going to vote for Kasick to thwart Trump. He got a phone call from someone who was working for FOX News in Ohio who saw what was going on. However, I assumed it would be Hillary supporters taking this risk because I didn't think Bernie supporters would be willing to do so. I should have thinking about the Independents doing it, but I was just focused on the Dems because of my brother's call.

Sam

Petrushka

(3,709 posts)
7. The evening news mentioned something about Democrats in Ohio . . .
Wed Mar 16, 2016, 02:19 AM
Mar 2016

. . . voting a Republican primary ticket so they could vote for Kasich. There was also speculation
that college students on Spring Break might have forgotten to vote an absentee ballot before leaving.

 

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)
6. Bernie Sanders hasn't won a major urban area yet
Wed Mar 16, 2016, 02:17 AM
Mar 2016

Any state where the Dem vote is decided by major urban areas is a big problem for him, especially with proportional delegate allocation. He's going to win Pennsylvania? How? He just got shellacked in Ohio. He can't carry Philadelphia. You must know that. Maybe he'll make up enough in the rest of the state to offset his losses there, but probably not. Maryland? Come on. New Jersey? Where's Bernie going to win: in north Jersey, where everybody's dad, mom, cousin, or uncle works for one of the evil Big Banks? Trenton? Bernie's going to win Trenton? Oh, California, right? New York? New York City will be the first big city Bernie wins? How does the map favor Bernie? He'll win Washington and Oregon, maybe. Fine, Seattle. Yes, Portland. Some Western states. He'll win Wisconsin, though it will be closer than you think.

But this notion that the map favors Bernie strikes me as very odd. He would have to start actually winning Democratic stronghold cities. he's lost nearly every major city thus far.

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
8. As I've been saying for weeks...
Wed Mar 16, 2016, 02:25 AM
Mar 2016

...it's actually Sanders who is more reliant on "red" areas, contrary to the popular meme.

And the 2 most important states in terms of the electoral college were won by Clinton. If the Democratic nominee wins *either* Florida or Ohio, it is very likely that she will reach 270+. Most states are a given. There simply aren't very many swing states, and the 2 most important - by far - are FL and OH.

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