2016 Postmortem

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts) Wed Oct 17, 2012, 12:41 PM Oct 2012

Second Poll of the day gives Obama a 3-point lead in Nevada

Earlier it was Survey USA (48-45) and now it's Rasmussen:

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

President Obama has now hit the 50% mark again in Nevada for the first time since July.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Nevada Voters shows Obama with 50% support to Mitt Romney's 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/nevada/election_2012_nevada_president

The last Ras Poll of Nevada had it tied 47-47, so Obama has gained 3 points while Romney has stayed still.

7 replies

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Second Poll of the day gives Obama a 3-point lead in Nevada (Original Post) WI_DEM Oct 2012 OP

great news! hrmjustin Oct 2012 #1

Obama has already won. Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #2

If Obama has Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin and Nevada it is game over. Jennicut Oct 2012 #3

A win is not necessarily a win. You've got to keep all those various types of election fraud Cal33 Oct 2012 #5

I meant in the electoral college. Jennicut Oct 2012 #7

Nevada is very likely to go to Obama unless something changes in the next 3 weeks TroyD Oct 2012 #4

We may be close to locking NV up Azathoth Oct 2012 #6

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)

1. great news!

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Wed Oct 17, 2012, 12:42 PM

Oct 2012

Maximumnegro

(1,134 posts)

2. Obama has already won.

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Wed Oct 17, 2012, 12:47 PM

Oct 2012

I am sure of it. Romney began the debate without confidence. He did not act like someone who had the momentum. And at the end he and his family were in bad spirits. If he was really in a good position there would have been more confidence all around. On the other hand Obama's confidence was through the roof.

I firmly believe the ground game is bigger than we know and given the early votes we know so far in OH and IA, I am positive he has both states and Nevada, which means game over for Romney. Those states have defied the Rmoney 'momentum' and without OH or NV Romney has no way to win.

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)

3. If Obama has Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin and Nevada it is game over.

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Wed Oct 17, 2012, 12:51 PM

Oct 2012

Waiting to see a Wisconsin poll now as that is key. With those 4 states Obama would win 277 to 261. With NH it would be 281 to 257. I would love for it to be not so close but a win is a win.

Cal33

(7,018 posts)

5. A win is not necessarily a win. You've got to keep all those various types of election fraud

Reply to Jennicut (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 17, 2012, 02:03 PM

Oct 2012

in mind. And the Repubs. are going to go all out this time. The fraud will be massive.

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)

7. I meant in the electoral college.

Reply to Cal33 (Reply #5)

Wed Oct 17, 2012, 02:24 PM

Oct 2012

I would love to see the electoral college be less close to give Obama more of a mandate but I will take anything over 270 and be very, very pleased.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

4. Nevada is very likely to go to Obama unless something changes in the next 3 weeks

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Wed Oct 17, 2012, 01:54 PM

Oct 2012

Obama has led consistently in the polls in Nevada all year.

And early voting reports from the ground in Nevada already favor the Democrats.

Ralston Reports has already reported that the numbers are looking bad there for the Republicans.

Azathoth

(4,611 posts)

6. We may be close to locking NV up

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Wed Oct 17, 2012, 02:23 PM

Oct 2012

Ohio + NV + WI = win.

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