2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumOct. 18th Wee hrs. of the morning Nate Silver has Obama Up
slightly. No analysis posted yet though. 65.7 Chance of Obama winning. 287.2 Electoral Vote for Obama!
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
Floyd_Gondolli
(1,277 posts)Book it.
speedoo
(11,229 posts)Now missing only Florida and Virginia. I think both are very winnable. But probably not NC.
ffr
(22,670 posts)And I'm still voting for every candidate that comes out saying he's a Democrat.
I want a landslide election.
abumbyanyothername
(2,711 posts)It's GOTV and, really, nothing else.
abumbyanyothername
(2,711 posts)that you will see the model move strongly toward Obama over the next 3-5 days.
regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)...but Nate is predicting a 2-point boost for Obama. Of course, he also predicted that the first debate would only give Romney, at most, a 2.2-point bounce, which turned out to not even be close.
davidn3600
(6,342 posts)I dont think you will see much shifting around now. The battle lines are drawn. It's now all about turnout.