2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSix of the next eight states are caucus states, which favor Bernie.
These states -- Idaho, Utah, Alaska, Hawaii, Washington, Wyoming -- carry a total of 212 pledged delegates.
One of Tuesday's states, Florida, carried a total of 214 pledged delegates. Hillary won Florida by a landslide.
So if Bernie landslides all six caucus states, he will have canceled out one of Hillary's states. After that he will have 19 states and 5 territories remaining. Only four of these contests are caucuses; of the twenty primaries that remain, nine of them are closed, including New York and Pennsylvania.
Time for unity.
MineralMan
(146,324 posts)I expect him to lose both Utah and Hawaii, as a start. Washington will be close, leading to an almost even split of its delegates. I can't predict who will win, though.
I don't expect any further landslides for Senator Sanders, but we'll see.
cemaphonic
(4,138 posts)Most of the Democratic voters are in the Seattle-Tacoma-Olympia corridor, and in a few other college towns. Good fit for Bernie both demographically and ideologically. Plus, the caucus structure favors a candidate with a highly motivated activist base. His biggest pitfall here is that trade is a huge part of our economy, so his standard stump speech doesn't really carry the weight that it does in say, Michigan. (And more generally, with brief and mild exceptions, the Puget Sound area has been booming since the late 80s. Clinton's status quo on economic matters isn't much of a hard sell here).
Since there doesn't seem to be a whole lot of reliable polling data for WA, I'm guessing he'll pull a solid win in the 55-60% range.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)Looking around, you'd think that there were a LOT of people who had the exact OPPOSITE impression of how things actually worked!
Politicalboi
(15,189 posts)It's time for fighting till the end not unity. FBI and e-mails may have more say than any votes. Let's hope so.
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)Chichiri
(4,667 posts)WhiteTara
(29,721 posts)all contests are divided proportionately, so he won't pick up all the delegates unless Clinton receives less than 15% of the vote.
Smarmie Doofus
(14,498 posts)Kissinger? (That means: USA-as-Empire.)
More, ( i.e *ENDLESS* ) "perpetual war for perpetual" (*unattainable*) peace".
Goldman Sachs?
Nancy Reagan? AIDS inaction? Premature, largely avoidable, * death* for Millions of Americans? ( Including countless, culturally irreplaceable , G I A N T S AND G E NI U S E S ?)
Honduras?
I'm not sure your idea of "unity" is going to be readily available here.
>>Time for unity.>>>
"UNITY":
YEAH. RIGHT.
NOT IF *I * CAN HELP IT.
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)Said echo chamber will soon be jettisoned from DU.
artislife
(9,497 posts)something about unity and my ass.
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)cherokeeprogressive
(24,853 posts)Chichiri
(4,667 posts)artislife
(9,497 posts)Milktoast.