just because.

He's down nearly 50 points in NY.

They believe everything he says, even when evidence points to the contrary

I am asking a legitimate question.

The Bears suck this season! Their offense is for shit!! No way they're making the playoffs!! Just give it up! You shit kittens are only embarrassing yourselves!

Dolphins all the way!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Drop out!! Drop out!!!! You ain't gonna win!!

Reality will soon hit them like a 2x4 square in the head.

We're quite aware of the reality.

I don't think anyone is in denial here.

We know the political Mt. Everest we're facing.

I've read post after post from people in denial. Posts that take reality and flip it on its head. Along with false memes, contradictions, terribly misleading maps, fallacious reasoning, and so on.

I do think however, that given this likely Mt. Everest reality, and then couple that with the incessant Hillary bashing, there appears to be some cog diss. It's one of the reason Hillary supporters are constantly providing stats....assuming the reality of the situation isn't honed yet. It sure feels like those who have this visceral hate for Hillary, want to damage her anyway, even if she does become the Dem nominee....doing the job for the RNC.

And the reality is starting to set in.
Disappointment is the natural order of things for them for a while.

Then all but a very few will put it behind them and we'll carry on from there.

He'll get a few delegates if he makes it out here but June is a long way away. At the moment RCP has Clinton up 13.5:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ca/california_democratic_presidential_primary-5321.html#polls

wise cracks in 2010. Bill Clinton has a very special friendship with him.

I heard it last year on NPR one early January morning as I was driving up Highway 99.

Brown has not endorsed anyone, yet. I think he's going to wait. Jerry may have a difficult past with The Clintons, but he's a stone Democrat. All other things being as is, if Jerry were 20 years younger, we'd have seen him in the race and leading.

Jerry is what Bernie could have been, had he pushed himself out of his zone. His supporters say look how far he's gotten in less than a year. But that's the point. Riding the coattails of discontent can only get you so far if you haven't got a well developed network of longtime allies. You have to rely upon right-wing crossover in open primaries to get you over the top.

done just a bit of campaigning for Bernie. The reception is unbelievably positive. I've done a lot of campaigning for other presidential candidates including Obama, and I have never seen anything like the enthusiasm and the numbers of people who are enthusiastic for Bernie.

It's quite amazing. Could just be my area of town, but I think judging from the strength of the enthusiasm that Bernie is way ahead already. And we have not officially started organizing and talking to voters yet.

One thing I notice is that the quality and the information level of Bernie supporters if very high.

Lots of lawyers, civics teachers, union leaders and young people, also writers -- people who are good with language, follow politics and are very articulate. Bernie has a strong, enthusiastic bunch of volunteers on his side.

Even on DU, you will note the high information level, thoughtfulness and verbal ability of Bernie supporters is often higher than that of Hillary supporters. Bernie supporters can tell you why they support Bernie. Hillary supporters -- less so. I think Bernie supporters in general are better informed than Hillary supporters. Hillary supporters seem to rely a lot on network news. That is my impression. I could be wrong and do not say this to offend but because I notice that it is the truth in my area and even on DU.

Bernie supporters tend to know more about, for example, history, than the Hillary supporters. There are exceptions, but in general this seems true to me.

Boxer goes to bat for her on national TV. And if she needs them to, they'll all hit the airwaves / wires / cables / twitterverse in June to close the deal. But I honestly don't think they'll need to do much.

p.s. it is great to hear about all that political activity in LA! I think you mentioned once that you're in Echo Park and that's my favorite part of town.

Idiocy.

So far all I have seen is Bernie supporters crying foul at every turn. For once adress the topic.

Bernie is God. Bernie is great. He does not wrong.

#feelthebern

You have seen the light!

Asking a legit question is shit stirring? But I guess thats asking too much for some who think Hillary leading 2.5 million votes and over 200 delegates is simply irrelevant because.....?

Sue me.

Well, you did ask WHERE.

You do realize Michigan was only a slight win, and a loss delegate wise.

And a virtual tie in NY, AZ and CA wouldn't do Sanders much good. Clinton will likely win those states easily anyway.

Only the OP should answer.

You don't want an answer, you want Bernie supporters to feel dispirited. Fuck that noise.

so don't waste time preaching to me about reality, when your reality is rooted in the opinion that a corrupt liar is fit to be president.

You have no credibility.

I'll repeat - "don't waste time preaching to me about reality, when your reality is rooted in the opinion that a corrupt liar is fit to be president. You have no credibility."

Sanders only path to the nomination runs through Fantasyland. It's over, he lost.

That's how...

We aren't officially campaigning here yet, but I have been out a few times, and the reception is overwhelming. I am a very experienced volunteer campaigner, and I have never seen anything like the enthusiasm for Bernie. Rich and poor -- for Bernie. I am just amazed by it.

But thats just heresay. CA is expected to go heavily for Clinton.

The states that Sanders has done well in have been open primaries

I live in Southern California and honestly most everyone I know supports Bernie. Of course California is a huge and diverse state and my circle of friends have similar values to my own.

I suspect he will have a strong showing in CA.

Remember he needs to win every single remaining state from now until then by 60% margins.

That said, I think Hillary's campaign, her positions, and some of her alliances (read: DWS) are positioned to play poorly on the West Coast, for several reasons.

My hope is that Arizona will end up very close, and that all seven other states leading up to New York will be wins for Bernie. Most will be large wins. I hope that by mid April, the media will begin to realize this thing is not over. I hope that with the momentum 2 weeks worth of Bernie wins will bring, he will be able to pull off an upset in New York. Not a huge win, but a substantial one. With that win under his belt, the other Atlantic states will catch fire. By the time we get to June 7th, Bernie's momentum will be unstoppable, and he cleans up on that day. That is my hope.

Go ahead and call me naïve or delusional. I knew this campaign was a long shot from the beginning. Frankly, we've done far better than I thought possible at the onset. Nothing so far has led me to believe that it's impossible that we will continue to beat the odds. The chance we were given of winning Michigan was less than one percent! As long as there is the slimmest chance of victory, I will keep on believing it can happen.

Momentum shifts have been dramatic throughout this entire process. When Sanders gets written off it suppresses his national poll numbers, when he pulls off either an unexpected victory or one far larger than expected, his star starts rising again. New Hampshire almost set up an unexpected victory in Nevada, and doubts were being raised about Clinton that would have increased had Bernie won Nevada. Then South Carolina seemed to bury Bernie in the eye of the media - but he crept back in by winning four states during the first Super Tuesday - and then he pulled off a really dramatic upset in Michigan. Suddenly the national narrative changed again when it looked like Bernie might also do well in upcoming rust belt states. He outperformed polling averages there but came up short, and again his stock dived.

The scenario you sketch out explores what might happen if Bernie gets on an unbroken momentum roll, something that as of yet has not happened to date. I agree that it would start by exceeding expectations in Arizona and then building from there. Look at how far, how fast the polls moved in states like Michigan, and even states like Nevada and Illinois where Sanders still lost. It shows that the same could theoretically happen in a State like New York. Upsets bring excitement and excitement brings momentum and momentum brings upsets etc.

Simple as that. Positive mood -> excitement -> votes.

Really, there are reasons to run and work for a run other than how Vegas or Gallup judge the chances. Imagine it!