2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPPP: Montana poll for @LCVoters finds (D)Jon Tester leading (R)Denny Rehberg 46-44
PublicPolicyPolling ?@ppppolls
Our new Montana poll for @LCVoters finds Jon Tester leading Denny Rehberg 46-44: http://images.politico.com/global/2012/10/121017_montanapollingmemo.pdf
DURHAM D
(32,610 posts)Looks like Tester might be making a comeback and have a shot at winning afterall.
Nate Silver has had Rehberg winning in his model up until now (Tester 38%, Rehber 62%) so we'll see if this changes Nate's calculations.
I'd also recommend Tester asking Bill Clinton to come to Montana one day for him before the election. Clinton is the last Democrat to win Montana.
LiberalLoner
(9,761 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)Why is PPP putting its latest polls in Memos rather than in its usual reports?
Because by doing that it appears to be giving RCP the excuse not to put them on its website.
The PPP poll from yesterday showing Warren well ahead of Brown is still not on RCP.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Are you suggesting the data is less reliable if put in a memo??
TroyD
(4,551 posts)The PPP poll from yesterday showing Warren well ahead of Brown is still not on RCP.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Any idiot can look at a series of state polls and make an informed conclusion about what is happening without the RCP poll logic filter.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)These polls basically don't exist if they aren't listed on RCP or in the averages. They are distorting the information that less-informed people will get who read RCP.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)right?
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Montana is a funny state with basically one "liberal" region -- Missoula.
victor larkin
(1 post)The Silver Bow/Deer Lodge area is by far more Democratic.