Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:02 PM Oct 2012

PPP: Obama, Romney tied nationally

October 18, 2012

Today PPP is releasing the first results from the daily tracking poll it will be running for the rest of the election, sponsored by Americans United for Change. It will be based on a three day rolling average, with 400 interviews conducted each day.

Based on interviews completed between Monday and Wednesday Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are all tied up at 48%. This represents some improvement for Obama compared to PPP's last national survey, conducted last weekend for Daily Kos and SEIU, which found Romney up 50/46.

Obama is up 51/45 with women, 62/34 with Hispanics, 87/8 with African Americans, and 57/38 with young voters. Romney is ahead 50/45 with men, 46/41 with independents, 58/38 with whites, and 53/43 with seniors.

Voters narrowly disapprove of Obama's job performance, with 46% of voters giving him good marks to 50% unhappy with how he's doing. That's actually up a little bit from a 44/53 spread over the weekend though. Americans are split right down the middle in their assessments of Romney- 47% see him favorably and 47% unfavorably. That's down from a 49/45 spread on last weekend's survey.

With less than three weeks to go until election day, this race couldn't be much more of a toss up nationally. We'll keep you apprised of the daily movement.


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-romney-tied-nationally.html

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_TrackingPoll_1018.pdf
10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
5. Latino Decisions usually shows Obama's numbers higher than this
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:07 PM
Oct 2012

So his actual numbers may be a bit higher.

 

Politicalboi

(15,189 posts)
3. Impossible
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:07 PM
Oct 2012

Rmoney lost A LOT of Indies on Tuesday night. And the crowd size at rallies are another tell sign, and Rmoney needs to bus people in for his.

Mutiny In Heaven

(550 posts)
6. Hold on, women vote more than men.
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:07 PM
Oct 2012

Ergo, this is good news in reality and would likely translate to a slim Obama win of 1 - 3%, should the 51/45 and 50/45 split be reflected in the final returns.

stopbush

(24,396 posts)
8. Translation: Rmoney is going to lose.
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:10 PM
Oct 2012

Rmoney needs to be ahead significantly in the national polls to stave off defeat in the swing states where President Obama still leads.

The national polls don't matter, because this is no longer a national election. They are now running for president of Ohio, and he who carries Ohio, wins.

Blaukraut

(5,693 posts)
9. They also said that Wednesday (day after debate) was Obama's best polling day in tracker
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:11 PM
Oct 2012

If that trend holds, he should move ahead in a few days.

 
10. Obama's best day was Wednesday
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:12 PM
Oct 2012

"There was not a ton of day to day movement in the first 3 days of the national tracker, but Wednseday after the debate was Obama's best."

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»PPP: Obama, Romney tied ...