2016 Postmortem

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts) Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:11 PM Oct 2012

IBD/TIPP Poll It's Obama (D) 46.2% Romney ($) 45.7%

http://www.tipponline.com/home/tracking-poll/todays-daily-tracking-poll

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IBD/TIPP Poll It's Obama (D) 46.2% Romney ($) 45.7% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 OP

Obama doesn't seem to be going up TroyD Oct 2012 #1

Why so worried?? DCBob Oct 2012 #3

I think it's very accurate. Jennicut Oct 2012 #4

Romney Doesn't Seem To Be Going Up Either DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #5

It is sickening that the comments are so skewed to the right, but I Mass Oct 2012 #2

Since Women Comprise A Larger Share Of The Electorate Even If The Gap Was Even In Both Directions DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #6

Poll is from 10/12-17 so we need to know how the last two days WI_DEM Oct 2012 #7

They fluctuate a couple of decimal points up and down each day. Really no movement at all. Blaukraut Oct 2012 #8

You Are Supposed To Round As I Didn't, Because No Pollster Can Achieve That Level Of Specificity DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #9

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

1. Obama doesn't seem to be going up

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:12 PM

Oct 2012

In the TIPP poll. He's been stuck at this level of support for several days now.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

3. Why so worried??

Reply to TroyD (Reply #1)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:15 PM

Oct 2012

A one point lead in a national poll most likely equates to a massive EV vote win.

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)

4. I think it's very accurate.

Reply to TroyD (Reply #1)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:16 PM

Oct 2012

Obama may go up by about two points by the end of the week. Remember, Romney did not go up in the polls initially after the first debate.
This will be a close election and will be decided by just a few states. I don't think that is going to change. There is such a small # of undecideds out there. It comes down to turnout in certain states. Early voting may be the biggest thing for Dems.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

5. Romney Doesn't Seem To Be Going Up Either

Reply to TroyD (Reply #1)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:17 PM

Oct 2012

And Romney was as high as 49%-44% on their tracker last week

Mass

(27,315 posts)

2. It is sickening that the comments are so skewed to the right, but I

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:14 PM

Oct 2012

should not be surprised given the source.

Note that Romney's lead on men is even smaller than Obama's lead on women. Uhm. I wonder why they do not say that?

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

6. Since Women Comprise A Larger Share Of The Electorate Even If The Gap Was Even In Both Directions

Reply to Mass (Reply #2)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:18 PM

Oct 2012

Romney is losing.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)

7. Poll is from 10/12-17 so we need to know how the last two days

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:18 PM

Oct 2012

went.

Blaukraut

(5,693 posts)

8. They fluctuate a couple of decimal points up and down each day. Really no movement at all.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 02:20 PM

Oct 2012

We may really be looking at a nationally tied race at this point in time. I'm thinking that Obama will gain a couple of points until election day and win the popular vote by that much, too.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

9. You Are Supposed To Round As I Didn't, Because No Pollster Can Achieve That Level Of Specificity