2016 Postmortem

flpoljunkie

(26,184 posts) Thu Oct 18, 2012, 03:35 PM Oct 2012

TPM: PPP releases new 3-day presidential LV tracking poll. Tied at 48%.

10.18.2012 — 02:56 PM
PPP: Tied Up at 48%

PPP just debuted a new daily presidential tracking poll. Day one is all tied up at 48%.

Josh Marshall

POLLS: US PRESIDENT '12

Conducted by PPP (D) from 10/15/2012 to 10/17/2012.
1 Barack Obama (D) 48.0
2 Mitt Romney (R) 48.0

Release information available from PPP (D).
±2.8 margin of error.
1200 Likely Voters were polled by automatic survey.

http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/polls/50805066ebcabf7aca000001

5 replies

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TPM: PPP releases new 3-day presidential LV tracking poll. Tied at 48%. (Original Post) flpoljunkie Oct 2012 OP

Ok, so this is a tracking poll, interesting. not all of it is from first debate WI_DEM Oct 2012 #1

Trends were moving in our direction before the debate happened. Gallup is obivously lagging behind. Geedorah Oct 2012 #2

Screw the "likely voters" models. they're ridiculous and outdated. progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #3

Better than the one two days ago where Mitt was up 4 budkin Oct 2012 #4

Obama was down 4 in their previous poll, so this is good news. mzmolly Oct 2012 #5

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)

1. Ok, so this is a tracking poll, interesting. not all of it is from first debate

Reply to flpoljunkie (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 03:37 PM

Oct 2012

Geedorah

(21 posts)

2. Trends were moving in our direction before the debate happened. Gallup is obivously lagging behind.

Reply to flpoljunkie (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 03:40 PM

Oct 2012

progressivebydesign

(19,458 posts)

3. Screw the "likely voters" models. they're ridiculous and outdated.

Reply to flpoljunkie (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 03:49 PM

Oct 2012

THIS woman in 2008, would NOT be considered a "likely voter."

http://www.newschannel5.com/global/story.asp?s=9176858

(100 year old woman votes for the first time in her life, and votes for Barack Obama.)

budkin

(6,703 posts)

4. Better than the one two days ago where Mitt was up 4

Reply to flpoljunkie (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 04:23 PM

Oct 2012

mzmolly

(50,993 posts)

5. Obama was down 4 in their previous poll, so this is good news.

Reply to flpoljunkie (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 04:24 PM

Oct 2012

Thanks for sharing.

This represents some improvement for Obama compared to PPP's last national survey, conducted last weekend for Daily Kos and SEIU, which found Romney up 50/46.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/national/

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