2016 Postmortem

TheZug

(966 posts) Thu Oct 18, 2012, 04:22 PM Oct 2012

If you're freaking, give YouGov a look

Very accurate polling outfit in 2008.

http://today.yougov.com/

From what I can tell about their data, the battleground states have been VERY stable from September till now, with Obama holding a small but consistent lead in most of them.

Everyone said all year this one was going to be close, folks. It looks to me like after Obama's 47% bump and then rMoney's 1st debate bump, things are settling down to exactly what was predicted. I think a solid 3rd debate performance plus improving economic numbers should give our guy a narrow win. But we have to help bring it home.

4 replies

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Highlight:

If you're freaking, give YouGov a look (Original Post) TheZug Oct 2012 OP

I guess they're the type of people Warpy Oct 2012 #1

Polls v Intrade SCliberal091294 Oct 2012 #2

My kid, who's smarter than I am, follows Intrade... hunter Oct 2012 #4

I've been doing their polls circa 2007 Xyzse Oct 2012 #3

Warpy

(111,267 posts)

1. I guess they're the type of people

Reply to TheZug (Original post)

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 04:26 PM

Oct 2012

who don't know New Mexico is a state and certainly don't know what's happening here.

Someone needs to explain to them what that box between Texas and Arizona is and that it should be dark blue, not yellow.