...even GOP pollsters aren't buying Gallups numbers right now.

https://twitter.com/JohnJHarwood/status/259005121642516480

...the remaining average shifts from O+0.3 to R+0.3

If there's any cause for "concern," it's that Ras (along with Gallup, of course) showed a one-point move toward Romney after the first full day of post-debate polling. However, if I recall correctly, Ras reweights their results to reflect their already-decided-upon model of partisan voter turnout, so any Obama gains from increased voter enthusiasm on our side would essentially be filtered out of the Ras results.

...that it's not just a matter of "the largest from each side".

The Rand poll didn't all of a sudden go insane and start showing wildly swinging numbers in directions no other poll is moving in the absence of any event that could have caused it... and in fact in the presence of multiple events (2nd debate, recent almost universally positive economic news even in Gallup's own surveys) that would contra-indicate it.

There's no reason to throw Rand out just because it's on one side of the spectrum of numbers.. It isn't suddenly showing implausibly outlying behavior that defies all explanation.

If you drop the largest from each side, you get O +.375.

...in their latest report from 1 1/2 hours ago.

Also, Nate Silver has re-elect odds at 65.7%, although, in the Silververse, that seems to translate to a "modest" or "narrow" lead.

Who cares if Romney wins Utah by 45%? We care more about winning Ohio by 2%.

Otherwise, it's back to +4 or so, which is where it was before the first debate. So chill, yourself.