2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary Clinton Rated Most Truthful Candidate
Link: http://www.startribune.com/assessing-the-candidates-overall-truthfulness/372603041/?from-mobile=true
insta8er
(960 posts)Electric Monk
(13,869 posts)Agschmid
(28,749 posts)CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)Next up, on rare poll anomalies! Our latest polls--results you'll NEVER see anywhere else, in the history of polling!
***Who has the best manners?***
Charles Manson: 78%
Mike Ditka: 20%
Emily Post: 2%
***Most Admired US Scientist***
Super Grover: 44%
Ryan Gosling: 21%
The drummer from Depeche Mode: 20%
Kathie Lee Gifford: 14%
Neil Degrasse Tyson: 1%
noretreatnosurrender
(1,890 posts)better fact check the fact checkers.
Chan790
(20,176 posts)Literally, "who guards the guards?" or as it's more frequently cited (and incorrectly translated) "Who watches the watchmen?"
Great, we have someone ranking the truthfulness of the candidates...but that ranker of truthfulness has their own inherent and inescapable biases. So do I, so do you, and so does JaneyVee (the OP above)...everybody does. Bias is inescapable in assessment of "truths" subjective upon worldview. There are very few objective factual truths in the world...virtually none of them reside in the arena of politics.
Looking at many of the truths they've rated as "true" for Clinton, they tend to be no more-or-less conditionally-true that those rated "mostly true" for Sanders...several of Sanders "mostly-true" statements are more objectively true than Clinton's "true" statements. Bias is skewing results because the arbiter is permitted to self-assess degrees of truthfulness. It's only when we look at the GOP candidates that we see anybody stating unconditional lies.
This would be more useful or functional as a metric assigned in imposed dichotomy...assign things as {true, false, or undetermined} and you'd get a purer and more-useful metric, but one that is flawed as it rests on the biases of the author.
noretreatnosurrender
(1,890 posts)And during a presidential campaign that bias is magnified times 10!
reformist2
(9,841 posts)Chasstev365
(5,191 posts)Well, it's got to be true!
LAS14
(13,783 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)dragonfly301
(399 posts)pangaia
(24,324 posts)On second thought..'
IN FACT, this is so stupid, I will even REC it, just to keep the laughter going.
LAS14
(13,783 posts)snowy owl
(2,145 posts)LAS14
(13,783 posts)It means it fits my perception of what we've been seeing in the debates. Both candidates are basically factual, but I'm not surprised that Hillary gets a higher "true" score compared to Bernie's high "mostly true," because Hillary is in much greater command of details over a broad range of issues than Bernie is.
redstateblues
(10,565 posts)snowy owl
(2,145 posts)Perceptions are often wrong. As I said, I'll wait for the proof.
monmouth4
(9,709 posts)snowy owl
(2,145 posts)Nobody gives more verbose answers than Hillary so perhaps she can be considered most accurate since each answer seems to please as many people as she can muster. I'm laughing. Not sure I trust this but then Clinton supporters will all think I'm just biased so be it.
I think I'm analytical. Now, if they would show the facts they checked, I'd be interested in seeing them. I've a friend who teaches students how to critically analyze documentaries which most people take as fact and he cautioned me about taking at face value such things as fact checkers, polls, and points-of-view in documentaries. Everything can be nuanced. So, give me more.
Also, is a higher rating on MOSTLY TRUE better than a high rating on TRUE? How many facts were checked? As a Bernie supporter who has seen and heard Bernie be very carefully about his answers and facts, I'll wait for the answers to my questions above.
KingFlorez
(12,689 posts)It's not the Republicans, it's not the Liberty Union/Independent/Democrat/Independent, but the Democratic candidate.
redstateblues
(10,565 posts)count as dishonesty or just typical politician stuff like Cruz promising to abolish the IRS?
w4rma
(31,700 posts)reformist2
(9,841 posts)uponit7771
(90,348 posts)... enough
Politicalboi
(15,189 posts)To us she's a liar and a cheater. Sniper Fire anyone? Lying for no reason except to boost oneself. Then getting caught, and we're not supposed to bring it up.
uponit7771
(90,348 posts)John Poet
(2,510 posts)for the people who are now being murdered in Honduras by a right-wing coup government whom she helped to legitimize.
Nor for me. I prefer a US foreign policy that doesn't splash blood upon my hands.
http://www.salon.com/2016/03/18/hillary_must_answer_for_honduras_partner/
http://readersupportednews.org/opinion2/277-75/35818-why-is-hillary-ok-with-honduran-death-squads
http://www.workers.org/articles/2016/03/19/hillary-clinton-has-hondurans-blood-on-her-hands/
noiretextatique
(27,275 posts)Style more than substance separates Trump from Hillary Clinton. After all, Trump was a generous donor to Clinton's senate campaigns, and also to the Clinton Foundation. Hillary is nevertheless disingenuously promoting herself as the centrist between an extreme right-winger (Trump) and an 'extreme left-winger' (Sanders). Abortion and gay marriage place her on a more liberal position on the social scale than all of the Republicans but, when it comes to economics, Clinton's unswerving attachment to neoliberalism and big money is a mutual love affair.
http://www.politicalcompass.org/uselection2016
840high
(17,196 posts)basselope
(2,565 posts)Here are some of the items that they used to give Bernie "false"
http://www.politifact.com/personalities/bernie-s/statements/byruling/false/
"When you're white ... you don't know what it's like to be poor."
"Not one Republican has the guts to recognize that climate change is real."
Neither of those are "false" statements.
They take the newspaper ad controversy and split it into 2.
"Almost all of the polls that have come out suggest that I am a much stronger candidate against the Republicans than is Hillary Clinton." - This one actually proved to be true.
However, when you look at Clinton's false statements, they actually have some substance to them.
"The Clean Power Plan is something that Sen. Sanders has said he would delay implementing." A lie
"We now have more jobs in solar than we do in oil." Simply not true. Maybe she meant coal???
"I am the only candidate on either side who has laid out a specific plan about what I would do to defeat ISIS." - Que???
dsc
(52,166 posts)on what planet are there no poor whites? The majority of people who are on welfare are white, the majority of people on food stamps are white. Appalacia is full of poor whites. The majority of white may have no idea what it is like to be poor but that isn't what Sanders said.
basselope
(2,565 posts)And one in which ANYONE who heard it live knew exactly what was meant.
That statement, would be, at best considered a gaffe, but to consider it a lie you would have to believe that Sanders was ACTUALLY trying to convince people that there were no poor white people, which is nonsensical.
However, you can draw a very sharp distinction between the poor white experience and the poor black experience, which is what he was doing.
Calling this line a lie is the same as calling Chelsea's Clinton statement calling Bernie "President Sanders" a lie.
Armstead
(47,803 posts)Bernie really does want a violent Socialist Revolution and bring Communist repression to the United States.
Dang Clinton is so frickin honest.
72DejaVu
(1,545 posts)and I will PayPal you $1000.
hollysmom
(5,946 posts)google is my friend if it works, ha ha
Armstead
(47,803 posts)I can't recall where in the debste it occurred, but I was about to throw my shoe at the television when I heard it.
Since I'm lying on the couch, I'm too lazy to seek out the link, so you only owe me $500 if you do the work.
72DejaVu
(1,545 posts)Armstead
(47,803 posts)As you will inevitably knitpick it to say "That's not what she REALLY said" I won't bother to go through that exercise.
However I will provide you with my original suggestion...Look up a transcript of the Florida debate. You find a dandy litttle smear on the subject.
truedelphi
(32,324 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Downwinder
(12,869 posts)everything I read on the Internet.
Persondem
(1,936 posts)Karmadillo
(9,253 posts)Politicalboi
(15,189 posts)Persondem
(1,936 posts)Renew Deal
(81,868 posts)And it's hilarious.
ThePhilosopher04
(1,732 posts)Black is white, red is blue, up is down ... wet is dry.
Smarmie Doofus
(14,498 posts)Girl, listen to me: STAND-UP.
ETA: I mean as in "Stand-up Comedy".
You should be doing it.
colsohlibgal
(5,275 posts)I am puzzled as to what Bernie has said that is close to false and I would be interested in who owns the Tampa Bay Times.
Oh and only 15% of what Bernie says is true....I don't believe that at all and I have been listening to him for years.
In the end it comes down to this...do you want a Third Way president or a real progressive?
Lots of winners with Third Way but lots more losers.
Response to JaneyVee (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
cui bono
(19,926 posts)Politifact's findings have been dubunked and ridiculed over and over again.
All you have to do is pay attention to what Hillary says to know this is far from accurate.
.
cherokeeprogressive
(24,853 posts)Eye-crossingly snickerful. Chokingly chortle-licious.
Not to mention idiotic on an industrial-strength scale.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Politifact is well respected. This is valuable information.
840high
(17,196 posts)Chan790
(20,176 posts)I've never been able to see past the flaws in their methodology resultant from their refusal to use imposed-dichotomy as a decisioning tool and to identify better ways to screen for arbiter-bias.
Beacool
(30,250 posts)sofa king
(10,857 posts)The Backfire Effect is one of the most infuriating new developments in politics and one of the major differences between liberal and conservative voters.
Simply put, conservatives are too stupid to evaluate between truth and falsehood. They rely upon the "authority" of the speaker and if a speaker they trust lies, and that lie is refuted by a liberal, they automatically gravitate toward the lie because they are not capable of evaluating the truth and instead default to the (totally untrustworthy) authority they trust.
This is why Republican candidates at the debates have adamantly stood by their lies even when stone-cold busted by facts and figures. By sticking to their guns when refuted with actual facts they are actually making stupid Republicans believe the lie they told.
Journalists help the Backfire Effect along quite a lot by 1) pretending it doesn't exist, and 2) pretending it works equally among all people. It does not. Some of all people default to the first thing they learned, true or not, but only conservatives become more likely to believe the lie when it is refuted.
You can see the Backfire Effect at work in the statistics above. Democratic candidates, playing to their own audience, have no incentive to lie and can suffer greatly for being deceptive (see Gary Hart, John Edwards). Conversely, Republican candidates are rewarded for lying, and you can see it in the stratification of the candidates from most dishonest (Trump) at the top to least dishonest at the bottom (Kasich).
Depending on who wins which nomination, some candidates may have an incentive to adjust their delivery by lying more or less, but at this point neither can do much adjusting. Trump must try his hand at telling the truth but his prior statements will always be used against him. Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton, on the other hand, would benefit from not refuting false statements by Trump, which is its own form of dishonesty.
Thus we are all the victims of the use of fear and dishonesty in political statements. Nobody wins, except the most evil ones who can successfully wiggle like a catfish in the hippo-poop-mud of a drought-stricken African pond. Great.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021469106
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11109-010-9112-2
http://youarenotsosmart.com/2011/06/10/the-backfire-effect/
http://www.cjr.org/behind_the_news/the_backfire_effect.php?page=all
frylock
(34,825 posts)FIFY
snowy owl
(2,145 posts)Democrats shouldn't fall for this stuff.
Jamaal510
(10,893 posts)how some people consider HC dishonest (and they usually don't specifically state what she supposedly lied about), but people like "Caterpillar Head" Trump are considered straight talkers and "tell it like it is". I guess in order for a candidate to be considered trustworthy, s/he has to shout, be angry all the time, and invent CTs.
Waiting For Everyman
(9,385 posts)And yet another foul shot from across the room, and bang! into the Trash Can.
JackInGreen
(2,975 posts)On Mon Mar 21, 2016, 02:41 AM an alert was sent on the following post:
Where on planet Bullshit?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1540661
REASON FOR ALERT
This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.
ALERTER'S COMMENTS
This rude and divisive rhetoric is what Skinner has asked us to avoid.
You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Mon Mar 21, 2016, 02:46 AM, and the Jury voted 1-6 to LEAVE IT.
Juror #1 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Bwaha!
Juror #2 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #3 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #4 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: I usually vote for 'almost anything goes' in GD-P but I'm making an exception in this case. If the poster has nothing more substantial than 'Bullshit' to offer, perhaps the 'Trash Can' is where this post belongs.
Juror #5 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #6 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #7 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Foul, Flag Is Down. Improper Appeal To Authority. 10 Yard penalty.
Thank you very much for participating in our Jury system, and we hope you will be able to participate again in the future.
I was #1, carry on WFE.
Waiting For Everyman
(9,385 posts)And 2, 3, 5, 6, & 7. LOL!
"Now we see the violence inherent in the system... "
Lil Missy
(17,865 posts)stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)stonecutter357
(12,697 posts)seabeyond
(110,159 posts)Chan790
(20,176 posts)I think I made a very strong argument in my two posts in this thread about why I reject the truth of this argument.
I'd feel the same way about it if they'd declared Sanders more-truthful...since neither knowingly tells outright lies, the determination of truthfulness between them comes down to the biases of the arbiter as to what is true or mostly-true...a lot of the things determined as one or the other for both of them could be easily argued to to determined the other way.
The methodology is only really useful when determining honesty on an imposed dichotomy (i.e. everything has to be declared to be true or false; else, indeterminate)...which in-turn is only really determinable when one or both parties tells outright lies.
We can easily declare them both more-honest than the GOP candidates; all of whom hold only the most tenuous connection to honesty...beyond that, bias and noise.
This isn't new...I've always had issues with Politifact's methodology.
hellofromreddit
(1,182 posts)Politifact does not rate 100% of statements from candidates, nor does it take care to select a representative sample. So this comparison may or may not be accurate--there is no way to know based on politifact's information.
Politifact ratings are only meaningful individually.