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Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:17 PM Oct 2012

Michigan Poll: Romney 48% Obama 46%

Oh god, what the hell is going on!? How can people be falling for Romney? Romney of all people?! Jesus Christ this is a disaster!


Ok, I made that up. No such poll exists. But I do wonder if I gave anyone a panic attack. Honestly I don't know what is up with this place today. Why has all of the poll anxiety returned? All I see is one completely ridiculous Gallup poll that is so laughable that it probably doesn't even deserve mentioning, and a bunch of other polls that show Obama slightly ahead or the race tied. In the past week, we have gone from polls showing Romney up by 2-3 points, to Obama by 1-3 points. Why are we still freaking out? My god, the debate was less than 2 days ago, the one that all reputable sources (i.e. not CNN) showed was a pretty big Obama win and one where Romney fucked up horribly at points. That is 1 day of post debate polling that we have seen so far. What did we expect? To wake up yesterday morning and find Obama ahead by 15 points? These things take time to sink in. It took nearly a week for Romney's bounce to really show up in the polls. It took a few days for Biden's performance to have any impact. We are moving in the right direction. Despite what Fox and Wolf Blitzer will tell you, things are shifting back to Obama. However, it will take time for the dust to settle. Don't expect polling results that violate the space-time continuum to show up because Romney said he has binders full of women.

Give it a few days and chill the fuck out. The constant meltdowns over every poll that comes out is getting tiresome.

40 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Michigan Poll: Romney 48% Obama 46% (Original Post) Doctor Jack Oct 2012 OP
LOL. Almost had me dude! Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #1
people are nervous. your thread doesnt help scheming daemons Oct 2012 #2
It does help. People need Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #11
No shit...a cyanide cocktail with a Drano chaser! Surya Gayatri Oct 2012 #25
That's my point Doctor Jack Oct 2012 #14
your point is to be a dick toward nervous democrats? scheming daemons Oct 2012 #18
Sure seems like that to me. LisaL Oct 2012 #21
My goal is to give them a gentle slap on the cheek Doctor Jack Oct 2012 #23
OP's point is to get a stupid rant off his/her chest. speedoo Oct 2012 #24
+1 woolldog Oct 2012 #27
You are bad! LisaL Oct 2012 #3
I'd like very much to unrec your OP. nt grasswire Oct 2012 #4
Interesting to see who rec'ed it, though Sugarcoated Oct 2012 #13
Must Be A Really New Poll. Last MI Poll Was A Rass Poll With O +7 DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #5
There is no poll. OP made it all up for kicks. LisaL Oct 2012 #10
Last MI Poll is LE&A/Denno Research (Obama +3) TroyD Oct 2012 #16
Wow JiminyJominy Oct 2012 #6
... Lost-in-FL Oct 2012 #7
Not another one Sugarcoated Oct 2012 #8
The nice thing about your headline abumbyanyothername Oct 2012 #9
Yes, you almost gave me a heart attack lunamagica Oct 2012 #12
Good Doctor, I disapprove of the thread title, but... Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #15
I literally shouted "WHAT THE F***" when I saw that, good joke though! You got me. tarheelsunc Oct 2012 #17
F U man!!! You had me going!!! LOL smorkingapple Oct 2012 #19
I do wonder if people would have believed this 4 years ago Doctor Jack Oct 2012 #20
I knew it was Waaaay Wrong before I clicked Cha Oct 2012 #22
Sorry, but that's not funny Impious Oct 2012 #26
Yes, going to look for my meds now! shayes51 Oct 2012 #28
Damn..... looking for my Nitro..... nt ProudProgressiveNow Oct 2012 #29
I actually believed the headline, Michigan tends to poll strangely Ell09 Oct 2012 #30
Yea we're Doomed.... MassedPole Oct 2012 #31
Well, there WERE a few Republican-leaning pollsters that had Romney ahead in MI during the Summer TroyD Oct 2012 #32
Stupid post!! center rising Oct 2012 #33
I just read on TPM O is up 6 pts in Michigan. AtomicKitten Oct 2012 #34
Hilarious, I agree with you. People need to chill out when it comes to just reading a number. politicaljack78 Oct 2012 #35
nice try, troll. MjolnirTime Oct 2012 #36
If needed, Obama can consolidate Michigan with four words. Rochester Oct 2012 #37
Won't be necessary Doctor Jack Oct 2012 #38
Nice one Blueprogress Oct 2012 #39
You should be flogged davidpdx Oct 2012 #40

Maximumnegro

(1,134 posts)
11. It does help. People need
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:22 PM
Oct 2012

to be positive. If Jim Jones was handing out kool-aid folks'd be asking him to make it a double.

JiminyJominy

(340 posts)
6. Wow
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:20 PM
Oct 2012

I seriously woulda jumped off a cliff if this had been true. Please don't do that.

Now I need to go find the Malox.

abumbyanyothername

(2,711 posts)
9. The nice thing about your headline
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:22 PM
Oct 2012

is that we can all go home and start drinking.

Cause if Obama can't beat "Let Detroit Go Bankrupt" in MI, there is really nothing to fight for.

lunamagica

(9,967 posts)
12. Yes, you almost gave me a heart attack
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:26 PM
Oct 2012

Sorry, I'm an anxious person and a worrier by nature. But I try not to post too much so as no to bring others down with me.

However you deserve this

Mutiny In Heaven

(550 posts)
15. Good Doctor, I disapprove of the thread title, but...
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:30 PM
Oct 2012

I do believe that we retain an advantage in this race, and must avoid the temptation to panic. Panic if you cannot get to the polls or Gallup-esque numbers become the norm, but until then, save it. Panic if Romney is taking the oath of office instead of wistfully dreaming of what could've been over a bowl of oatmeal on January 21st, 2013.

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
20. I do wonder if people would have believed this 4 years ago
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:37 PM
Oct 2012

If in mid-october of 2008, i said that McCain was ahead in Michigan by 2. I think most would have laughed it off without going through the momentary panic. Sure things are closer now but have we really freaked ourselves out to the point where we would believe such things? Does anyone here actually think Romney has the advantage, especially to the point where Michigan would be in play?

Things are not that bad. And not only are they not that bad, but it seems Obama is rather good shape going into the next few weeks. The prediction markets think he is going to win, most polls show him leading nationally, and the state polls show he has a large advantage in the electoral vote. I understand the concern. President Romney would be a gut wrenching disaster. I would rather have Bush for 4 more years than this sociopath. But must we act like we are 10 points behind and all hope is lost, when everything seems to be pointing to an Obama victory?

Cha

(297,275 posts)
22. I knew it was Waaaay Wrong before I clicked
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:40 PM
Oct 2012

on because I had just seen a viable Michigan poll that has Pres Obama with a healthy lead in MI and mitt's twits have pulled out of the beautiful state of Michigan.

I thought you got a hold of a bad poll, Doctor Jack, and I was going to help you out.

Impious

(42 posts)
26. Sorry, but that's not funny
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:49 PM
Oct 2012

I agree with the point of your post, but deliberately misleading titles shouldn't be allowed.

Ell09

(100 posts)
30. I actually believed the headline, Michigan tends to poll strangely
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:57 PM
Oct 2012

Every once in awhile a poll in Michigan will show a D candidate behind, or only slightly ahead, only for the race to be called quickly after the polls close for the Democratic candidate.

As for the poll anxiety you are describing, I admit I have it. I haven't been posting, but I am checking every poll (and Intrade) hoping for signs that the President is opening up a comfortable lead. It doesn't seem that long ago that we seemed to be in very good shape in Florida and another wave election was much more likely than a loss.

I probably watch too much CNN, but they have really been spinning HARD for Romney post-debate as if it is there goal to prevent any sort of 2nd debate bounce for the President. It's the exact opposite of what they were doing post the first debate where they were kissing the feet of the winner of the debate.

I am a little worried about the Obama campaign going to the "binders full of women" card as I don't think that's a strong attack and a much better one (on the same issue) would be to attack Romney for saying that women needed flexible schedules to be home to cook dinner! I would think that would be a much better route to widening the gender gap, but that's just my armchair analysis.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
32. Well, there WERE a few Republican-leaning pollsters that had Romney ahead in MI during the Summer
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:00 PM
Oct 2012

So the headline could have been true. . .

politicaljack78

(312 posts)
35. Hilarious, I agree with you. People need to chill out when it comes to just reading a number.
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 08:04 PM
Oct 2012

Don't be a Romney, read everything through. If you want to be predictive, get out there and work the phones, get people to vote, drive people to vote, make sure everyone you know is registered, spread the word on social media and let's rock this thing !

Doctor Jack

(3,072 posts)
38. Won't be necessary
Fri Oct 19, 2012, 01:19 AM
Oct 2012

Obama is up by close to 9 points on average. I think 538 has Obama around a 95% chance if winning

Blueprogress

(64 posts)
39. Nice one
Fri Oct 19, 2012, 04:38 AM
Oct 2012

I was shocked when I saw the title and 7 recs. I thought why the heck would people on du rec a poll where Obama is losing Michigan? I agree Doc, the poll panic on du has gotten out of hand.

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