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PPP: Our Iowa poll tomorrow is going to be a whole lot better for Romney than the NBC one tonight (Original Post) JRLeft Oct 2012 OP
PPP trolling for Republican love, how sad. nt geek tragedy Oct 2012 #1
A Bad Poll Is A Bad Poll But I Suspect The NBC Poll Is Going To Ger More Play Than A Robocaller DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #3
Actually, the PPP will get more play because it feeds the "toss up" narrative. geek tragedy Oct 2012 #8
It Got More Play Here DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #12
Do you think teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #46
Is it sampling underthematrix Oct 2012 #2
PPP does likely voters only... regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #16
That doesn't necessarily mean it will show Romney ahead TroyD Oct 2012 #4
Dont you just love how these polls seem to love throwing cold water on each other? davidn3600 Oct 2012 #5
That can mean many things, of course, it could mean that Obama is up by 2 points WI_DEM Oct 2012 #6
The IOWA number from NBC is a little generous TroyD Oct 2012 #7
Either that, or NBC/WSJ is a real poll instead of a robopoll. nt geek tragedy Oct 2012 #10
Who knows, but Obama is kicking ass in early voting. WI_DEM Oct 2012 #11
Yeah Baby! Fringe Oct 2012 #22
We are a dem family abumbyanyothername Oct 2012 #23
Definitely lower - a point or a Romney lead. Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #21
The strangest thing IrishSean723 Oct 2012 #9
I find that strange too. woolldog Oct 2012 #14
Has there been a change of ownership there? regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #19
I wish Marist would Poll North Carolina. John2 Oct 2012 #13
NOOO!!! thatsrightimirish Oct 2012 #15
I don't take this to mean anything bad. Fringe Oct 2012 #17
PPP uses a likely voter model, as the rest do, and it's not accurate at all. nt progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #20
I think they did well in 2008. Fringe Oct 2012 #33
I doubt Obama is up 5-7 in their poll if they say theirs is 'a whole lot better'... Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #29
Possible. Fringe Oct 2012 #35
Please.. Likely voter bullshit again?? PPP has become a joke. progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #18
The fact that they felt compelled to tweet this moments after NBC polls came out Blaukraut Oct 2012 #24
I'm not understanding the point of these tweets. ProSense Oct 2012 #26
To fuck with people's minds and increase traffic to their site? It makes them look unprofessional nt Blaukraut Oct 2012 #30
I agree with that! Fringe Oct 2012 #37
PPP is losing it's respectability. Dawson Leery Oct 2012 #45
LOL Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #25
What does that even mean? That Obama is up by 4? Who knows. Mass Oct 2012 #27
Question Mojo2 Oct 2012 #28
Likely the SOS in each state mzmolly Oct 2012 #32
Polling and also knowing whether people voting are registered as D,R, or I. Mass Oct 2012 #36
Here you go. Fringe Oct 2012 #39
NBC has an 8 point lead for Obama. mzmolly Oct 2012 #31
PPP John2 Oct 2012 #34
It's A Robocaller So The Questions Are Pre-recorded And You Press A Button To Indicate Your Response DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #38
probably the kids answer it and press any button Rosa Luxemburg Oct 2012 #43
Not surprising.. I didnt expect a 8 point lead. DCBob Oct 2012 #40
They really do seem to take delight... S_E_Fudd Oct 2012 #41
So are they still polling tonight? fugop Oct 2012 #42
PPP seems to be gloating about Romney's "good numbers". Dawson Leery Oct 2012 #44
It's a tease to build traffic ProudToBeBlueInRhody Oct 2012 #47
I still like PPP .but i hate how they are trying to pander to wingers outsideworld Oct 2012 #48
OK, I was wrong, but I call BS on this poll. Fringe Oct 2012 #49
 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
8. Actually, the PPP will get more play because it feeds the "toss up" narrative.
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:57 PM
Oct 2012

Just like the Marquette University one got more play than this NBC WI poll will.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
12. It Got More Play Here
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:59 PM
Oct 2012

I watch CNN and MSNBC I never see a PPP poll reference. For that matter I don't see Rass polls referenced either. All media outlets have lists of approved pollsters they are allowed to cite.

 
46. Do you think
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 10:35 PM
Oct 2012

The MSNBC polls use better methodologies? I'm worried about the ppp Iowa poll since they said yesterday that Colorado's poll was more favorable for Obama than NH and IA. PPP Colorado poll only has Obama up by 3, so what does that mean? That NH and IA or tied or a small Romney lead even? Urggghhhh

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
4. That doesn't necessarily mean it will show Romney ahead
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:54 PM
Oct 2012

It may just mean that the lead for Obama is smaller.

PPP likes sending out these teasing Tweets.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
6. That can mean many things, of course, it could mean that Obama is up by 2 points
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:56 PM
Oct 2012

I'm getting just a bit frustrated with these PPP teasers.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
7. The IOWA number from NBC is a little generous
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:56 PM
Oct 2012

The other polls have shown Obama around (+3) in Iowa on average, so that's probably what PPP will find too.

Fringe

(175 posts)
22. Yeah Baby!
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:10 PM
Oct 2012

This is why, I am cautiously confident regardless of what the MSM says. With early voting, Obama is doing quite well in Ohio and Iowa.

abumbyanyothername

(2,711 posts)
23. We are a dem family
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:13 PM
Oct 2012

Dad was President of his Local of the Communications Workers of America. Mom, Dad, Daughter, Niece, Niece's fiancee all libs. 4 of 5 have early voted. (Get with it, bumette jr.!)

Brother (right leaning ind.), Son (security right, also blames O for more regulation around mortgage loan origination business), daughter-in-law (bankers daughter R) all lean right. So far none have voted.

FWIW.

edit to add: Even though I moved to CA, they all live in IA.

Mutiny In Heaven

(550 posts)
21. Definitely lower - a point or a Romney lead.
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:10 PM
Oct 2012

PPP made it quite clear that they found Obama to be performing better in Colorado than IA or NH.

IrishSean723

(26 posts)
9. The strangest thing
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 06:57 PM
Oct 2012

is how there is almost a sense of gloating about the good Romney numbers. They're pretty much not even trying to hide the fact that they want to dictate the narrative anymore.

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)
19. Has there been a change of ownership there?
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:09 PM
Oct 2012

You're right -- it seems like they're trying to drive the right-wing narrative recently.

 

John2

(2,730 posts)
13. I wish Marist would Poll North Carolina.
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:03 PM
Oct 2012

I wish Marist would Poll North Carolina because I'm getting tired of these Republican Pollsters. I haven't voted yet and haven't seen a Romney supporter yet. All I see are Obama signs. I heard Rick Santorum was in North Carolina today begging for votes. He needs to go back to Pennsylvania.

Fringe

(175 posts)
17. I don't take this to mean anything bad.
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:07 PM
Oct 2012

Last edited Thu Oct 18, 2012, 08:20 PM - Edit history (1)

PPP is a democratic leaning poll. I'm fond of PPP. I despise Rasmussen.

PPP was fairly accurate in a lot of their state polls in 2008, unlike Rasmussen. They usually add those that have already voted in their poll which is something I love about them.

The NBC/WSJ/Marist has Obama with an 8 point lead; I'm thinking PPP will have Obama with a 5-7 point lead.

Fringe

(175 posts)
33. I think they did well in 2008.
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:22 PM
Oct 2012

I can't compare Iowa for 2008 because PPP didn't poll in Iowa in 2008 at least I couldn't find it, but I did find Indiana, Florida and North Carolina.

PPP was dead on in Indiana and that was outstanding because even the RCP average screwed up Indiana.


PPP was insanely close in Florida and North Carolina.



http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/in/indiana_mccain_vs_obama-604.html#polls

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_mccain_vs_obama-418.html#polls

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nc/north_carolina_mccain_vs_obama-334.html#polls

 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
29. I doubt Obama is up 5-7 in their poll if they say theirs is 'a whole lot better'...
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:20 PM
Oct 2012

A one or two point swing ain't 'a whole lot better'. My guess is they have either Romney and Obama tied or Romney with a slight lead.

Fringe

(175 posts)
35. Possible.
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:25 PM
Oct 2012

Last edited Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:56 PM - Edit history (1)

However, their last teaser said about the same thing, and that poll turned out to be way better than most expected.

progressivebydesign

(19,458 posts)
18. Please.. Likely voter bullshit again?? PPP has become a joke.
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:08 PM
Oct 2012

The folks that are crowding the early voting in Iowa and other places are NOT considering "likely voters" by people like PPP and others.

They are really getting ridiculous. Romney fucking TANKED in the debates.

Blaukraut

(5,693 posts)
24. The fact that they felt compelled to tweet this moments after NBC polls came out
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:14 PM
Oct 2012

is really unprofessional. Their nasty little teaser tweets lately have been pathetic.

Blaukraut

(5,693 posts)
30. To fuck with people's minds and increase traffic to their site? It makes them look unprofessional nt
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:21 PM
Oct 2012

Fringe

(175 posts)
37. I agree with that!
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:30 PM
Oct 2012

They are f**king with people! They have bills to pay and more traffic means more money.

However, I still like PPP polls.

Dawson Leery

(19,348 posts)
45. PPP is losing it's respectability.
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 08:49 PM
Oct 2012

They are trying to gain attention by sensationalizing their findings.

 

Mojo2

(332 posts)
28. Question
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:19 PM
Oct 2012

Just curious, but someone said O is kicking butt in early voting in Ohio and Iowa, but how does anyone know this? Is there some type of list of what party has submitted the most votes?

Fringe

(175 posts)
39. Here you go.
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:49 PM
Oct 2012

Survey USA has a poll out today and they show what % of Democrats that have already voted.


http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9fe706c7-86ef-4698-b0d3-15ec2d79d203


PPP does the same thing:


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_OH_1013.pdf


As for Iowa:
I first went here where I saw that more democrats than republicans have already voted in Iowa, and other places too, but I can't remember where.

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html
 

John2

(2,730 posts)
34. PPP
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:22 PM
Oct 2012

PPP has been pretty good, but I have noticed their percentage for Black voters are unusually higher than other Polls for Romney. I'm an African American in North Carolina. I have not met one for Romney? Where do they live?

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
38. It's A Robocaller So The Questions Are Pre-recorded And You Press A Button To Indicate Your Response
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 07:37 PM
Oct 2012

I suspect some whites are pretending to be African American so it will appear the president is doing worse among African Americans. I noticed the same thing in some Survey USA polls, who are also robocallers. I think this affects the subsamples more than the entire sample.

How messed up and childish are Republicans.

S_E_Fudd

(1,295 posts)
41. They really do seem to take delight...
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 08:13 PM
Oct 2012

In pissing in people's Wheaties...

Seems unprofessional to me...and they are prejudging the results of a poll still being conducted...

fugop

(1,828 posts)
42. So are they still polling tonight?
Thu Oct 18, 2012, 08:32 PM
Oct 2012

Is this a three-day poll? Night of the debate, night after and then tonight? If so, what if tonight is better for O? Will they backtrack like with their Ohio that they teased too early?

I've liked PPP but yea, the tweets are just annoying.

Fringe

(175 posts)
49. OK, I was wrong, but I call BS on this poll.
Fri Oct 19, 2012, 07:11 PM
Oct 2012


I know I said that I really like PPP and I do for the most part, but I have to wonder about some of these numbers in their newest poll.

First, according to the last registered voter totals in Iowa as of Oct 2012:

http://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/VRStatsArchive/2012/CoOct12.pdf

Democrats make up 32% of the vote
Republicans make up 33% of the vote

A 1% difference.



Yet PPP used 34% for democrats, and 38% for republicans for this recent poll.

A 4% difference.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IANH_1019.pdf


However,


PPP, used 37% democrats and 33% republicans for their Sept 26 poll. (4% more democrats)

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IA_926.pdf


So, I not sure what to think, but 4% more republicans seems like too much.

Also, (likely or enthusiastic voters) Democrats are winning early ballot return by 18% so aren't we enthusiastic?

http://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2012/general/absenteestats.pdf
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