So this is an improvement of 2 points. Baldwin went up 1, and Thompson went down 1, for a total of a (+2) increase.

Baldwin has led in every recent poll except the Marquette poll showing (+1) Thompson yesterday. I assume that's an outlier. Nate Silver gives Baldwin about an 80% chance of winning right now.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/wi/wisconsin_senate_thompson_vs_baldwin-2711.html

and am listening to Ed at the same time, but I think I heard Thompson getting booed for holding stock in a company that is doing business with Iran. He said he sold the shares in the company TODAY, which elicited more howls from the audience, but he claims he only found out about the issue today. (Again, I was only half listening, but believe this was what transpired)

Tommy Thompson is an asshole and his son is a racist asshole.

Most people don't begin their Senate careers in their 70's.

Just another opportunity to live off the public trough?

Marquette & NBC Polls Paint Very Different Pictures of WI Races: Which is Right?
Submitted by Jud Lounsbury on Fri, 10/19/2012 - 2:33pm

According to the Marquette Poll, the races for President and Senate are essentially tied with Tammy Baldwin down by a point and the President up by a point among likely voters.
Meanwhile the NBC-Marist Poll shows the President up by six (51-45) and Baldwin up by four (49-45) among likely voters.
Why the difference? Since both polls of registered voters are nearly identical-- Marist has the presidential race at 50-44 and Marquette has the race 50 to 45-- something happened significantly different in each poll's likely voter screen.
Marquette says their screen for likely voters is based on poll respondents likelyhood of voting: If they answered "absolutely certain" they are considered a likely voter, while if they answered "very likely," "50-50" or "not voting" they didn't make the cut. Meanwhile, Marist bases their likely voter designation on three things: likelyhood of voting, interest in the election, and past election participation.
Marist's likely voter universe consists of 77% of registered voters, while Marquette's likely voter universe consists of 87% or registered voters.
So, Marquette cut-out fewer voters, but the voters they did cut out were overwhealmingly Democratic voters: Of the 13% they cut-out, Obama leads by a 59% to 27% margin.

http://www.uppitywis.org/blogarticle/marquette-nbc-polls-paint-very-different-pictures-wi-races-which