2016 Postmortem

bigtree

(85,996 posts) Wed Mar 23, 2016, 09:05 AM Mar 2016

So, Sanders gained maybe one delegate over Hillary last night?

Cultured State ?@culturedstate 3h3 hours ago

Delegate pickup, going by AP estimates: Sanders 51 (18+17+16), Clinton 50 (40 + 5 + 5).

Robert Sandy ?@frodofied 4h4 hours ago
For the record, not even 100,000 Dems voted in the #IdahoCaucus and #UtahCaucus tonight, combined. That's fewer than #MaricopaCounty in AZ.

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So, Sanders gained maybe one delegate over Hillary last night? (Original Post) bigtree Mar 2016 OP

Hey it's a start rjsquirrel Mar 2016 #1

he could invest more in these states bigtree Mar 2016 #2

You or AP are reading from incomplete numbers. Sanders nets about 15 delegates from last night. Peace Patriot Mar 2016 #3

rjsquirrel

(4,762 posts)

1. Hey it's a start

Reply to bigtree (Original post)

Wed Mar 23, 2016, 09:06 AM

Mar 2016

Plus democrats abroad!

At this rate he should catch up by 2018. D'oh.

bigtree

(85,996 posts)

2. he could invest more in these states

Reply to rjsquirrel (Reply #1)

Wed Mar 23, 2016, 09:19 AM

Mar 2016

Michael Beckel ?@mjbeckel 15h15 hours ago

Portion of TV ads in Dem #AZPrimary sponsored by @BernieSanders: ~70%

By @HillaryClinton: ~30%

https://twitter.com/CMAGAdFacts

Peace Patriot

(24,010 posts)

3. You or AP are reading from incomplete numbers. Sanders nets about 15 delegates from last night.

Reply to bigtree (Original post)

Wed Mar 23, 2016, 09:42 AM

Mar 2016

Do the math.

51 + 50 = 101

Total delegates at issue in the 3 states: 131 (AZ 75 + Idaho 23 + Utah 33)

See: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results

131 - 101 = 30.

30 delegates are yet to be awarded, probably because total vote counts from AZ and Utah are not complete. (My calculation is based on % of votes = delegates. I don't know if there is some kind of funny math or other rules for awarding delegates in these 3 states.)

My calculation, based on vote %'s, results in Sanders net gain of about 15 delegates.

See my calculations here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511556922

Do feel it.

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