2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHeileman and Halperin: Bernie likely to sweep next ten states!
And....they say....if he does that, Hillary will no longer have the BIG MO, and super delegates may start thinking they'd better represent the voters of their states.
May it be so (as my Unitarian friends like to say).
dchill
(38,516 posts)switched to Bernie. Good choice!
OKNancy
(41,832 posts)Sanders will win some, but not New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Connecticut, Delaware and those 5 are in the next ten.
cosmicone
(11,014 posts)China will start being fair and start paying workers the prevailing American wages.
ISIS will disavow violence and join Dalai Lama's monastery.
Global warming will reverse itself and there will be a build-up of glaciers around the planet.
Donald Trump will be able to hold a polite and intellectual conversation.
and
Putin will give back Crimea to Ukraine.
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)cosmicone
(11,014 posts)go
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)hellofromreddit
(1,182 posts)cosmicone
(11,014 posts)sadoldgirl
(3,431 posts)have very little sense of humor,
Irony is humor, satire is,but silly efforts
at sarcasm is not.
frylock
(34,825 posts)pkdu
(3,977 posts)What they said.
They did say he I favored in the next 5. ....and that could magically (my word) give him mo to win NY and that would then give him extraspecialsauce mo to sweep the northeastern states a week later on April 26.
On other words. " we want a horserace dammit"
It was complete fairytale garbage.
haikugal
(6,476 posts)Go Bernie!!
Zira
(1,054 posts)alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)He's going to clean up in the northeast - complete demolition. If he doesn't win 65%-35% in Philadelphia, the only explanation will be voter fraud and suppression. I predict he wins every precinct in Baltimore. He'l also carry Bedford-Stuyvesant 70-30!
Bern, baby, Bern!
libdem4life
(13,877 posts)FSogol
(45,514 posts)alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)The Rigged Election Unicorn!
FSogol
(45,514 posts)blue neen
(12,327 posts)Here ya go:
"Former U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton holds a comfortable lead, 53 percent to 28 percent, over U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont."
"Clinton also leads in hypothetical general election matchups for president in Pennsylvania over Trump (46 percent to 33 percent) and Cruz (45 percent to 35 percent)."
Polling conducted March 14-20.
http://www.philly.com/philly/news/politics/20160324_Poll_finds_Kasich_gaining_ground_on_Trump_in_Pa_.html
FlatBaroque
(3,160 posts)May all her leads remain comfortable until she loses.
blue neen
(12,327 posts)?
BernieforPres2016
(3,017 posts)I would love to be wrong, but I don't see it. Bernie does much better in open primaries because he dominates Hillary with independents. New York is the home of Hillary and Bill and Wall Street. The last poll I saw in NY had Bernie down by about 35 points. Somebody else posted a poll that has him down significantly in Pennsylvania.
Do they offer any rationale for their prediction?
kenn3d
(486 posts)Neither the OP nor the pro-Hillary response posts portray this "analysis" impartially. Watch it for yourself here:
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/videos/2016-03-24/with-all-due-respect-03-24-16
The pertinent segment is from 11:30 to 14:30
We'll soon see.
marions ghost
(19,841 posts)---in this short clip
Beacool
(30,250 posts)The next ten states are: Alaska, Hawaii, and Washington on March 26. Wisconsin on April 5th. Wyoming on April 9th. New York on April 19th. Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island on April 26.
He may do well in the first five, although in WI she's up by 6%. Hillary will win NY, PA and MD. There are no recent polls in CT, DE and RI.
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)I saw the segment. They said that it was possible but in no way did they say it was likely.
They are talking heads for geez sake. They know no more than anyone else. But they would like a horse race.
But even so, they said possible, not likely.
ThePhilosopher04
(1,732 posts)they won't get him at all. Bernie will prevail. Good will triumph.
Major Hogwash
(17,656 posts)Who knows what other news will come out about between then and now.
Happenstance24
(193 posts)They said it was possible and that he had good conditions to take all the states up to NY but then he had to win NY then hope that translates into momentum for the Apr 26 states. Even then they said it was a tall order. You are VASTLY overstating their opinion of his success at this. They weren't even sure he'd take WI next week.