2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumIf Hillary wins NY by the expected margins
If Hillary wins NY by 25-50 points as polla show is Bernie mathematically eliminated? Even if he wins the next 6 primaries?
bravenak
(34,648 posts)In my opinion, it is already over.
DemocracyDirect
(708 posts)When she reaches half the pledged delegates then it will be mathematically over.
Viva_La_Revolution
(28,791 posts)He definitely can win enough that we go to an open convention for the first time since the 70's. That will be huuuge :
Solid Snake1
(95 posts)He is badly losing in delegates. Down by over 300 is nearly impossibly to overcome. You do realize if he does not get 60% in every single remaing state he cannot win. Even if just one state votes in favor of Hillary or he fails to reach that margin its over. Basically hes playing sudden death overtime while Hillary is running out the clock.
Viva_La_Revolution
(28,791 posts)Then we go to the convention floor and vote and argue and vote again. There will cameras there to catch all but the backroom dealing. And america and the world will be watching.
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)And Clinton could easily reach 2200 pledged delegates.
RandySF
(60,452 posts)His target for tomorrow is 81 out of 142. Hillary needs 61.
msongs
(67,596 posts)Solid Snake1
(95 posts)How Clinton is "stealing" NY. She is very popular there and was a good senator for NY. I don't understand how some can think NY is all Bernie territory?
NowSam
(1,252 posts)is trying to snooker the people into thinking she is actually well liked. Then when they pull shenanigans they point to the million followers as proof of popularity.
Solid Snake1
(95 posts)lunamagica
(9,967 posts)Mike__M
(1,052 posts)How many times has Clinton won by the margin that was expected three weeks out?
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That is irrelevant to each state.
Viva_La_Revolution
(28,791 posts)Did i win?
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)Sanders won't technically be eliminated until Clinton reaches 2026 pledged delegates.
Practically speaking, I felt the race ended on March 15th, as I had long expected it would.
I expect Sanders to be down by ~400 pledged delegates by the end of April. At that point, everyone really ought to accept that Clinton will be the nominee.