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NC\IA\OH\NV ON TRACK FOR OBAMA (NC UPDATE)!!!
Last edited Mon Oct 22, 2012, 12:02 PM - Edit history (2)
For those whining, crying, ledge-walking, Depends wearing doomsayers take note:
Those 'unikely voters' are voting...
NORTH CAROLINA
10/22
NC Early Voting Day 4: African American Turnout Doubles White GOP Turnout Sunday
More HERE
10/21
Turnout so far in 2012 early voting can only be described as epic. Yesterday's diary reported that turnout was up 26.6% above 2008. Now with updated data, turnout is 36.6% above 2008. And that number will only go up even further if there are still some counties lagging behind.
Overall, Obama appears to be building up an early vote margin right in line with the early vote margin he built up in 2008. In fact, Saturday was even better than the same Saturday in 2008. But because early turnout is higher, it could be harder for Romney to make up the difference on election day than it was for McCain in 2008, because there may not be as many Romney voters left over for election day. More of the Obama early voters are new voters who would not be able to vote on election day if they did not vote right now, whereas most of the Romney early voters would otherwise just vote on election day.
In sum, 2008 is happening again in North Carolina, only the turnout is even higher.
More on that later; now let's take a look at those 42,709 new voters.
Overall, Obama appears to be building up an early vote margin right in line with the early vote margin he built up in 2008. In fact, Saturday was even better than the same Saturday in 2008. But because early turnout is higher, it could be harder for Romney to make up the difference on election day than it was for McCain in 2008, because there may not be as many Romney voters left over for election day. More of the Obama early voters are new voters who would not be able to vote on election day if they did not vote right now, whereas most of the Romney early voters would otherwise just vote on election day.
In sum, 2008 is happening again in North Carolina, only the turnout is even higher.
More on that later; now let's take a look at those 42,709 new voters.
Well, new voter registration statistics have been released, and so now we have the evidence to back up that speculation. This is an over-generalization, but broadly Obama is indeed turning out new voters, whereas Romney is turning out the same old voters.
In total, 324,780 people voted in One-Stop Early Voting on Thursday and Friday. Of those, 42,709 were brand new previously unregistered voters. They did not pass any poll's "likely voter" screen, nor did they even pass any poll's registered voter screen. And yet, they voted. And it is clear that they voted overwhelmingly for Obama (probably by about 2 to 1).
In total, 324,780 people voted in One-Stop Early Voting on Thursday and Friday. Of those, 42,709 were brand new previously unregistered voters. They did not pass any poll's "likely voter" screen, nor did they even pass any poll's registered voter screen. And yet, they voted. And it is clear that they voted overwhelmingly for Obama (probably by about 2 to 1).
Read the rest w/ graphs and stats HERE
Why waste time pulling hair out over polls when the Obama Campaign tells you straight from the horse's mouth?:
IOWA:
Jeremy Bird/OFA
IOWA Dems currently have a 55,100 votes cast advantage - 53% higher than the advantage at this point in 2008
OHIO:
It turns out Republicans’ mangled math isn’t limited to a mystery tax cut plan that doesn’t add
up
Before we address Republicans’ claims, here are some numbers reflecting Democrats’ strong
position in the critical state of Ohio:
1. All public polling shows that the President has a double-digit lead among those who
have voted:
Survey USA found that Obama leads by 19 points (57/38) among those who have
voted already.
Rasmussen, a Republican pollster, found that Obama leads by 29 points (63/34)
among those who have voted already.
The Wall Street Journal/NBC poll found that Obama leads by 26 points (63/37)
among those who have voted already.
PPP found that Obama leads by 52 points (76/24) among those who have voted
already.
2. Registration numbers strongly favor President Obama:
Four in five Ohioans (81 percent) who have registered to vote in 2012 are either
female, younger than 30, or African-American or Latino – all demographics that
strongly favor President Obama.
Nearly two-thirds (64 percent) of Ohioans who have registered to vote in 2012 – and
the same percentage among those who have already voted – live in counties that
President Obama won in 2008.
3. Early vote numbers strongly favor President Obama:
More than half (55 percent) of the early-vote ballots requested so far this year have
been requested by women, 3 percentage points greater than 2008 early voters.
582,402 ballots have been requested this year from precincts that Obama won in
2008, 33,414 more than in from precincts that McCain won.
The total number of votes already cast this year (both by mail and in-person) from
precincts Obama won in 2008 is 261,304 – 55,636 more than from precincts McCain
won. D
up
Before we address Republicans’ claims, here are some numbers reflecting Democrats’ strong
position in the critical state of Ohio:
1. All public polling shows that the President has a double-digit lead among those who
have voted:
Survey USA found that Obama leads by 19 points (57/38) among those who have
voted already.
Rasmussen, a Republican pollster, found that Obama leads by 29 points (63/34)
among those who have voted already.
The Wall Street Journal/NBC poll found that Obama leads by 26 points (63/37)
among those who have voted already.
PPP found that Obama leads by 52 points (76/24) among those who have voted
already.
2. Registration numbers strongly favor President Obama:
Four in five Ohioans (81 percent) who have registered to vote in 2012 are either
female, younger than 30, or African-American or Latino – all demographics that
strongly favor President Obama.
Nearly two-thirds (64 percent) of Ohioans who have registered to vote in 2012 – and
the same percentage among those who have already voted – live in counties that
President Obama won in 2008.
3. Early vote numbers strongly favor President Obama:
More than half (55 percent) of the early-vote ballots requested so far this year have
been requested by women, 3 percentage points greater than 2008 early voters.
582,402 ballots have been requested this year from precincts that Obama won in
2008, 33,414 more than in from precincts that McCain won.
The total number of votes already cast this year (both by mail and in-person) from
precincts Obama won in 2008 is 261,304 – 55,636 more than from precincts McCain
won. D
More HERE
NEVADA:
Jon Ralston Twitter
Clark County early vote numbers in - 18,388 Dems. 9,588 Republicans. 55-29%. Similar to '08
but bigger raw vote lead
but bigger raw vote lead
Look at the rest of his tweets and bask in the glow of imminent VICTORY:
The Democrats are crushing the Republicans
That's some pretty damned good news that the polls and media aren't catching.
So quit yer bitchin' and GOTV!!!
52 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
= new reply since forum marked as read
If we GOTV, and I think we will, Obama will win this election!
All that matters is the actual votes, and we're winning. 
I am voting early tomorrow, straight Democratic ticket baby, my first time voting I can not wait!!! 
I am having a hard time who to pick for Judges. I know nothing about them. 
Is there a site that helps point out the Dem Friendly ones? I do not want to be voting for some right wing nut jobs. Thanks for any help you or someone else could provide on this. 
I was so worried about this so this has taken a great weight off my mind. I think I am now prepared when I go vote today! I am so looking forward to voting.
It will be a great feeling to know Obama has another vote in her corner. N.C. is going blue once again!
Hitting the streets in about half an hour 
yup.
That will put a check on Republican dirty tricks, at least in this state.
