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kristopher

(29,798 posts)
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 07:59 AM Mar 2016

The 4 Things You Need to Know About Bernie Sanders’ Historic Comeback

The author presents an outstanding support for the significance of these points.

The 4 Things You Need to Know About Bernie Sanders’ Historic Comeback
03/29/2016 09:38 am ET | Updated 21 hours ago
Seth Abramson
Assistant Professor of English at University of New Hampshire; Series Co-Editor, Best American Experimental Writing

<snip>

...everything that’s happening now in the Clinton-Sanders race was predicted, long ago, by either Sanders himself or the hard data of this election season. Moreover, none of what’s happening is a surprise to the politicos on the Clinton side, either; that’s one reason they’re working overtime to control and then shift the narrative from the inevitability of a major Sanders comeback. While it’s still up in the air whether that comeback will be total or near-total, only by manipulating the narrative can the Clinton campaign keep Sanders at bay.

And that’s why understanding that what’s happening now is no more or less than what was readily predictable a year ago is crucial to understanding the current state of the Democratic primary race. This means unpacking not just the Clinton camp’s transparent attempts to skew the media narrative, but also, and more importantly, the hard data behind a comeback that could end up being every bit as historic as Sanders supporters are now suggesting it will be.

So here are the four items every voter needs to have a handle on as we enter the vortex of nonsense the Clinton campaign sent spinning into the election season as soon as Sanders eliminated 22.5% of her delegate lead in just twelve hours of voting in three states.

1. Hillary Clinton’s reversal of her position on super-delegates.

<snip>

2. The certainty that Sanders would fall way behind in the first half of the nominating season, only to come roaring back in its latter half.

<snip>

3. The Clinton camp’s use of the media to spin its chances of clinching the nomination via pledged delegates.

<snip>

4. Sanders’ growing ability to meet or exceed his delegate targets almost everywhere.


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/seth-abramson/the-4-things-you-need-to-know-about-bernie-sanders-historic-comeback_b_9557952.html

Cue Camp Hillary's Immediate Dismissive Execution of the Messenger

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The 4 Things You Need to Know About Bernie Sanders’ Historic Comeback (Original Post) kristopher Mar 2016 OP
'roaring back?' bigtree Mar 2016 #1
You are really an annoying hillary supporter, one of the worst here. Rude! Nt Logical Mar 2016 #5
the bigger they are, the harder they'll fall reddread Mar 2016 #6
He has cut her lead by 100 delegates with just four states. 228 and growing smaller. morningfog Mar 2016 #12
you must know by now bigtree Mar 2016 #15
Point to the wishful thinking. morningfog Mar 2016 #16
lol bigtree Mar 2016 #17
lol, indeed. morningfog Mar 2016 #21
Is he back? Is he ahead? Darb Mar 2016 #2
Hillary has a 6% pledged delegate lead. Avalux Mar 2016 #10
I don't believe that's correct. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2016 #19
No snark, but Uponthegears Mar 2016 #27
Difference is 10% of assigned delegates Ghost Dog Mar 2016 #28
It's #berniemath... SidDithers Mar 2016 #30
He's 228 back. morningfog Mar 2016 #13
So that far behind is "back"? Got it. Darb Mar 2016 #23
hes still way behind and Hillary friendly states are ahead. eom artyteacher Mar 2016 #3
BS. He's winning if you only count the states he's won. Renew Deal Mar 2016 #4
He's winning all the caucuses because............. Darb Mar 2016 #24
it's not a comeback when you're still massively behind geek tragedy Mar 2016 #7
He's in the game now, a 10% win in NY would keep him in the game. morningfog Mar 2016 #14
LOL. "Bernie's Historic Comeback". Is that a sequel to "Weekend at Bernie's"? DanTex Mar 2016 #8
56%... HumanityExperiment Mar 2016 #9
You notice the M$M says its more like 74%, I wonder who they are in the bag for? They litlbilly Mar 2016 #11
Thom Hartmann pdsimdars Mar 2016 #18
Ive been listening to Thom ever since he was in Portland. litlbilly Mar 2016 #20
I can already hear the Narrative when Bernie catches up to Hillary Sky Masterson Mar 2016 #22
The Tea Party and the Repubics, Darb Mar 2016 #25
Assistant Professor of English .... Best American Experimental Writing .... salinsky Mar 2016 #26
What comeback?...nt SidDithers Mar 2016 #29

bigtree

(85,998 posts)
1. 'roaring back?'
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 08:05 AM
Mar 2016

...I like fan fiction as much as the next person, but this is just sophistry.

Experimental Writing Fail.

bigtree

(85,998 posts)
15. you must know by now
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 01:19 PM
Mar 2016

...this is wishful thinking on your part.

None of the anecdotal, empirical, or any other evidence supports the claim that Sanders is 'roaring back.'

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
16. Point to the wishful thinking.
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 01:21 PM
Mar 2016

I gave you empirical numbers. He has cut her lead by 100. And he will cut it by more in upcoming contests.

I have never said he will win the nomination or it is anything but damn difficult. It is also not impossible.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
19. I don't believe that's correct.
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 01:30 PM
Mar 2016
Hillary has a 6% pledged delegate lead.


Pledged delegates

Hillary Clinton - 1266
Bernie Sanders -1038

1266-1038=228

228 divided by 1266 =18%










 

Uponthegears

(1,499 posts)
27. No snark, but
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:56 AM
Mar 2016

Assuming these delegate counts to be accurate, in order to determine percentage lead . . .

Pledged delegates

Hillary Clinton - 1266
Bernie Sanders -1038

1266-1038=228

1266+1038=2304 (the total number of delegates)

228 divided by 2304=.099=9.9%

Not 6%, but not 18% either

 

Ghost Dog

(16,881 posts)
28. Difference is 10% of assigned delegates
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 08:15 AM
Mar 2016

Assigned delegates 1266+1038=2304

Clinton 1266/2304*100 -> 55% of delegates
Sanders 1038/2304*100 -> 45% of delegates

Alternatively 228/2304*100 -> 10% of delegates

SidDithers

(44,228 posts)
30. It's #berniemath...
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 08:26 AM
Mar 2016

which bears only a passing resemblance to the math used by everyone else in the world.

Sid

 

Darb

(2,807 posts)
23. So that far behind is "back"? Got it.
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:40 AM
Mar 2016

No big. Keep on doing whatever it is that you are doing. A close loss, if you can call it close, is still a loss.

 

Darb

(2,807 posts)
24. He's winning all the caucuses because.............
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:43 AM
Mar 2016

they are more enthusiastic, ya know. So they should win because they are enthusiastic. That and Hillary voters know she has it in the bag and don't want to have to go to a ridiculous caucus event in order to cast a simple vote.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
7. it's not a comeback when you're still massively behind
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 10:40 AM
Mar 2016

If he wins New York by 10% then he's back in the game.

 

HumanityExperiment

(1,442 posts)
9. 56%...
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 10:44 AM
Mar 2016

fun to watch HRC supporters avoid this point, 56%...

All Bernie needs to achieve from the remaining primaries is 56% or better and he beats HRC

Simple truth...

 

litlbilly

(2,227 posts)
11. You notice the M$M says its more like 74%, I wonder who they are in the bag for? They
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 11:26 AM
Mar 2016

are using the bougus sd's to pad Hillarys lead, that's how we know they are in deep doodoo right now

 

pdsimdars

(6,007 posts)
18. Thom Hartmann
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 01:26 PM
Mar 2016

If you've listened to Thom, you know how even keeled he is but he was really shocked last weekend when Cokie Roberts used the superdelegates and the 74% numbers on NPR. He was disgusted.

He says he doesn't watch any of the cable any more, but he does watch CNN because he said none of the others have any liberals but CNN must be noticing this because they are starting to have Katrina vanden Heuvel, Van Jones and someone else on more frequently lately.

Sky Masterson

(5,240 posts)
22. I can already hear the Narrative when Bernie catches up to Hillary
Wed Mar 30, 2016, 01:38 PM
Mar 2016

It wont be anything positive about Bernies appeal and accomplishment, it will be like "Why can't Hillary seal the deal".
Because our Press Sucks.

 

Darb

(2,807 posts)
25. The Tea Party and the Repubics,
Thu Mar 31, 2016, 07:45 AM
Mar 2016

they all cry foul at the media too. So with you guys it is not the "liberal" media, it is the "corporate" media? Simple fact is that most people don't watch that shit.

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