However, Rmoney putting on Brown Face might have actually struck a chord with Latino Voters who might now feel that Rmoney could related to them even if for just one town hall meeting.

George Bush was the most African American and Latino friendly GOP president in my lifetime. His own nieces and nephews are half Latino. And he could barely make inroads into the African American community. However, he did make inroads into the Latino community.

The MOE on these two numbers is about 10 % ( a little less for African American, a little more for Hispanics).

Their likely voter model has 11% African American and 12% Hispanic. The former seems a bit low and the latter seems a bit high but if they are voting at their historical percentages, ninety percent Democratic for African Americans, and 65% for Latinos Obama woudl be tied or narrowly ahead in that poll.

No way does Obama does Obama not get >90% of the African American vote and 65% of the Latino vote.

Latino Decisions Week 9 tracking poll: Obama up 71-20 among Latinos (up from last week)

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251162807


And since this is a national tracking poll, that includes the Cubans in Florida. So in places like North Carolina, Colorado, New Mexico, Arizona, and Nevada the margin is likely greater. Keep in mind also that G.W. Bush got 40% in 2004 and barely won the EV. Obama starts with a larger EV base than Romney or Bush so it is hard to see how Romney prevails in some of the battleground states where there is a large Latino vote. And he has to if he loses Ohio, which he probably will.