I fucking love it!

I live in a reality-based world.

Last edited Sun Apr 3, 2016, 03:03 PM - Edit history (1)

By the way, that's the same reason it rained today. Oh, and the millionaires and billionaires made me miss the subway. Those millionaires and billionaires are the cause of every problem (unless we can blame Hillary for it, then it's her fault).

the one percent made me do it.

What does that say about November?

He can't afford a 20 point blowout with that many delegates at stake.

How did he do in November 2008?

Winning states isn't what gets the nomination. It's all the delegate count. That's the only thing worth watching at this point.

Hillary's still ahead by 228 pledged delegates. Zeroing that out does not appear to be in the cards for Sanders in April, to be quite frank. In fact, I suspect that Clinton's lead will increase by the end of the month.

we are not finishing 8 years of shrub.

Try again.

This is starting to look like Illinois and Missouri. And from the practical side of it, anything short of a 20 point win is a loss.

There isn't going to be a big leap in delegates for either candidate. Delegates will be pretty evenly allocated.

In that sense, there's not going to be big news from Wisconsin that changes anything about the delegate count in any major way.

Sanders faces a very difficult challenge, and Wisconsin is not likely to cut into Clinton's delegate lead much, if at all.

On to NY and then PA, MD and CT. A close win in Wisconsin doesn't help Bernie much, if he can get a win at all.

We'll see on Wednesday morning, but it's not going to change the picture much.

I'll check in on Wednesday on that prediction.

This will be quite a disappointment for Sanders considering that Wisconsin is home to the super liberal Dane County.

A catastrophic collapse.

Let's don't count chickens yet folks!

for every delegate.


Cory Bookers, Cecil Richards, Bill C. Al Frankin--and Hillary herself--all this weekend--

Math is not hard. Sanders' target going forward is 56/44, which is a 12 point win. Every state he wins by more than that lowers that target going forward.

Same day registration in Wisconsin too will make a difference... It's going to be nuts.

Following 538: Sanders needs 48/86 delegates, Clinton needs 38/86.

It's true that he often over-performs against polls, but it'll still be a squeaker.

I for one will be glued to the TV/interwebs, probably in this order:

Can you imagine what a WI caucus would be like?