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Agschmid

(28,749 posts)
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 04:12 PM Apr 2016

Will there be a contested Democratic Convention?

Last edited Tue Apr 5, 2016, 04:43 PM - Edit history (1)

In the sense that no one reaches the pledged amount they need to be nominated.


13 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
Yes.
6 (46%)
No.
7 (54%)
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hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
3. Not on our side. They can not take the nomination from Hillary because if they do
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 04:16 PM
Apr 2016

it will destroy our party. For Sanders to win he has to be ahead in pledged delegates.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
4. Neither candidate will reach 2,383 through pledged delegates alone.
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 04:19 PM
Apr 2016

She would need 64% of all remaining pledged delegates to reach 2,383 (a majority of all delegates). That is not likely to happen unless Bernie drops out soon.

They will each go into the convention with less than 2,383 pledged delegates. One will have a majority of pledged delegates (more than 2,026). The super delegates will have to fill the gap. That is assuming Bernie doesn't concede before the convention.

In that case, each candidate will make their case, but the pledged leader will almost certainly win the first ballot. Not sure I would call that contested.

MineralMan

(146,325 posts)
8. The candidate with the majority of pledged delegates
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 04:23 PM
Apr 2016

will be the nominee. The superdelegates will vote to ratify the will of the voters. Getting the majority of pledged delegates means that you won the primary election and caucus process. The superdelegates will not override that. Most of them do have to run for election, and all of the House members are running THIS year.

They're not stupid people, or they wouldn't be in office. They're Democrats, too, and most have been active in working for Democratic party principles for a very long time. They're not going to overthrow the candidate with a majority of delegate who were selected by the voters. Not a chance.

Now, there may be a few who do stupid things, but not enough to change the outcome.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
13. No way in heck. Whoever is behind in pledged delegates will concede and endorse the one
Tue Apr 5, 2016, 04:47 PM
Apr 2016

who is ahead around the 2nd week of June.

In the event the person is ahead after the June 7 primaries, there is less than a 0.0% chance the superdelegates will take it away from her and give it to Bernie Sanders.

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