2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPPPs final Michigan Numbers Santorum 39, Romney 34.
Putting the last two days together it's Santorum 38, Romney 37.
Santorum seems to have ALL the Momentum right now.
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/02/27/santorum_retakes_lead_in_michigan.html
Full poll will be up in around 30 minutes.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Our Monday only numbers of people who didn't already vote in Michigan: Santorum 41, Romney 31, Paul 16, Gingrich 9
https://twitter.com/#!/ppppolls
Romney leads among Republicans in Michigan. It's Democrats putting Santorum over the top. We'll see if they really show up...
beyurslf
(6,755 posts)but I am scared of this. What if he won? President santorum?
grantcart
(53,061 posts)National Security and Establishment conservatives would not vote for him.
Under Bush the S and P 500 was flat.
Under Obama it has gone up 5000 points.
Under Santorum and all of his crazy ass talk of war with Iran he would trigger $ 10 a gallon gas and launch us into a massive war with Iran.
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)newdealtn
(6 posts)I'm pulling for Romney 'cause Santorum is getting scarey. How ironic that the Ayatollah Santorum hates Iran when he would make a Christian Theocracy of the United States. And in his own demented mind he thinks its what the founding fathers wanted. I only ask this much of the church in my state: God deliver us from the Ayatollah Santorum!
DCBob
(24,689 posts)It's always good to be cautious with one night poll numbers, but momentum seems to be swinging in Santorum's direction. Romney led with those interviewed on Sunday, but Santorum has a 39-34 advantage with folks polled on Monday. The best sign that things have gone back toward Santorum might be that with those polled today who hadn't already voted, Santorum's advantage was 41-31.
Much has been made of Democratic efforts to turn out the vote for Santorum and we see evidence that's actually happening. Romney leads with actual Republican voters, 43-38. But Santorum's up 47-10 with Democratic voters, and even though they're only 8% of the likely electorate that's enough to put him over the top. The big question now is whether those folks will actually bother to show up and vote tomorrow.
Even though things seem to be moving back in Santorum's direction, there's one big reason to think that Romney will still come out as the winner tomorrow night. 18% of the electorate has already cast its ballots and with those voters in the bank Romney has a 56-29 advantage. Santorum's likely to win election day voters, but he''s going to have to do it by a wide margin to erase the lead Romney has stored. We see Santorum with a 40-33 advantage among those who have yet to vote.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/02/momentum-back-toward-santorum-in-mi.html
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It looks like its going to be very very close which is still bad news for Romney even if he wins. However a win is a win and he can spin it by saying Democrats messed up the vote. If he loses it could get ugly for the Mitster.