In the last 20 polls Obama has lead in 18 with Romney leading in 2. In NC it is about 12 to 6 in Romney's favor. If we are counting NC in Romney's corner then WI is in ours. That leaves 17 EV which is either Ohio or Colorado, Iowa, and New Hampshire.

Ryan in Cleveland tomorrow

and:

Another right-wing special interest groups is going on air against us in Ohio.

They’re called the Club for Growth. And this week, they’re spending just over $373,000 on an attack ad against me in the Columbus media market.

Look, we only have 14 days left. There’s not much time left to beat back these attacks on my record. I need all of my grassroots supporters, especially supporters like you who have come through in the past, to help us fight back in the closing days of this campaign.

We need to respond with strength -- and we need to do it fast. Let’s raise $37,000 TODAY to beat back this new $373,000 in attacks. Give $13 or more right now.

Who is this Club for Growth?

Ask Mike Huckabee. The former Governor of Arkansas, who ran for the GOP presidential nomination in 2008, once said this about the organization: “I think they’re a despicable political hit organization that takes people’s money and anonymously attacks candidates, with no integrity...”

Even a Tea Party Republican thinks these guys are despicable. Who am I to argue?

And now they're coming after us. With Ohioans already casting their votes, this attack could be the one that tips the scales. We need to fight back right now to make sure that doesn’t happen.

Donate here:

http://secure.sherrodbrown.com/page/contribute/e121022?source_codes=ngpattr-e121022mainnn0

am wrong but I just don't believe he will.

All the polls from the last 6 months there have a problem with your belief system.

Obama is leading by at least 5 points in Ohio in most polls. Romney has NEVER had a lead here.

Romney and 10 ads supporting Romney on TV and radio for every one supporting Obama.
I mean it gets depressing when you drive down the road and literally 2/3 of the lawns have
Stop the War on Coal/ Fire Obama signs on them you turn on the radio, TV or read a paper and that is all you see. I am telling you the anti-Obama vote is fired up like I have never seen before.

I didn't see my first Obama yard sign until yesterday. Everything is Rmoney/Ryan. Every caller to RI talk radio hates Obama.

I guess that means Rmoney will win RI, right?

I live in Hamilton County. Obama will win Ohio. Many people are fired up after all the crap Husted has been trying to do to stop early voting.

said last night that Obama is over performing in Toledo, Ohio with WHITE MEN, so....

All the evidence suggests he will carry Ohio like he did in 2008, but you just don't believe he will.

He's polling better there before this election than he did before the 2008 election.

But, hey, you just don't believe he will carry Ohio because....well....you just don't believe he will.

of Ohio the last 3 or 4 months so maybe it is not as bad elsewhere. But I have never seen the opposition so fired up before either. You add in all the shenanigans the Repugs are trying to pull it just gives you an uneasy feeling.

so if he's skeptical, then I feel even better. His analysis falls in line w/ previous statements by the campaign.

He's a life-long Democrat.

This "leans right" nonsense started a couple years ago when his predictions upset many here on DU...

... of course he turned out to be 100% correct.

His problem is that Obama is ahead in the others.

If Romney loses Ohio, he's pretty much toast. If he loses Florida, he is toast.

Last edited Tue Oct 23, 2012, 01:27 PM - Edit history (1)

Obama's chances are hanging by a thread - at best.

VA is actually much closer then FL in terms of the averages of all of the polling.

But Romney does have the harder job. He has to get more of the electoral votes in the toss up states. Obama needs OH and WI and hold steady with NV.
But Iowa and NH might be trending toward Obama too. And I need to see more polling on CO and VA.

not help matters for Mitt. 270 ain't gonna happen.