2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumAn analysis of the Superdelegate issue:
In recent weeks there have been three "theories" about how the Superdelegates should be assigned and/or vote at the Convention.
1. Superdelegates vote for their candidate of choice, which is the way they've voted at each and every Convention since their inception.
2. Superdelegates vote for the candidate who got the most votes in their state (winner take all).
3. Superdelegates vote proportionally according to the pledged delegate count in their state.
So, let's look at how the Superdelegates will wind up based on the votes so far (only Superdelegates in states that have voted so far):
1. Candidate of choice - Clinton 268, Sanders 28**
2. Candidate with most votes in the states (i.e., "winner" - Clinton 260, Sanders 138
3. Proportionally according to pledged delegate count - Clinton 207, Sanders 191
So, no matter how the Superdelegates are accounted for, Clinton will have more Superdelegate votes than Sanders and add to her current Pledged Delegate lead.
**One caveat - the reason option 1 doesn't add up to the same as those in options 2 and 3 is that not all Superdelegates have expressed a preference yet.
Android3.14
(5,402 posts)Where does this guy get off?
seabeyond
(110,159 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)...under lock and key until June 14 after the District of Columbia votes?
Dems to Win
(2,161 posts)The superdelegates will vote en masse for the winner of the most pledged delegates, as they did in 2008.
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)who post on a political site don't understand how Superdelegates work