2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSanders campaign no longer planning on winning pledged delegate majority
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-sanders-idUSKCN0X80Y1Defying opinion polls and expert predictions, Democratic hopeful Bernie Sanders aims to seize the party's White House nomination from Hillary Clinton's grasp with a last-ditch come-from-behind triumph in California.
By far the most populous U.S. state, California is the largest prize of the state-by-state nominating contests, and the vote on June 7 is one of the last before Democrats convene in July to select a nominee for the Nov. 8 presidential election.
An aggressive schedule of large rallies is planned along with heavy purchases of TV, radio and online advertising in three languages and a "far, far more expensive" campaign effort than in any other state, Sanders campaign sources disclosed.
"I think they’re still riding rainbow unicorns if they think there’s a path," said Steve Schale, a Florida-based strategist, of Sanders' bid for the White House.
California has been a reliable source of campaign funds for Clinton, and opinion polls show her ahead there by as many as 14 percentage points. The statistical analysis media site FiveThirtyEight gives her a 91 percent chance of winning the state primary.
The Sanders campaign push aims to net as much as a 10-point win in California, helping him deny the front-running Clinton the 2,383 convention delegates she needs to clinch the nomination and give him the momentum to force a contested convention where he can try to win over the "superdelegates," those not decided by a state nominating contest and free to support anyone, the campaign sources said.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-sanders-idUSKCN0X80Y1
The 2,3838 number is key. It means they aren't planning to hold Clinton under a majority of pledged delegates.
Instead, they're hoping to prevent Clinton by winning it by such a massive margin that she doesn't need a single superdelegate to receive the nomination.
And they're going to blow huge amounts of money in one of the safest blue states in the country.
For something that by its own terms is doomed to fail.
Clinton doesn't need 2,383 pledged delegates, she only needs 2026 and she's the nominee, because she has around 500 super delegates supporting her.
This is madness, or a scam being perpetrated by campaign insiders getting rich off of all the campaign spending.
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LexVegas
(6,067 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)morningfog
(18,115 posts)Isn't that was the super delegates are for?
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)they can't win this way.
they know it.
uponit7771
(90,347 posts)... major parts of his campaign, no real answers on how he would deal with congress, bag of imperfect just as full as Hillary's and now fuck DNC rules Imma win dammit attitude.
Is Sanders being paid to stay in!?
tritsofme
(17,380 posts)Why stop now when you can collect a big check until June?
CentralCoaster
(1,163 posts)Enjoy:
CorkySt.Clair
(1,507 posts)Here is the virulent racist DeBlasio with his family:
But you keep on with your wishful thinking, m'kay! 
DanTex
(20,709 posts)CorkySt.Clair
(1,507 posts)I bet DWS had something to do with this!1!11!
How dare they leave Bernie with only 10 minutes!1!1
firebrand80
(2,760 posts)Johnny-come-lately
killbotfactory
(13,566 posts)It's not just about the presidency.
In the general he will rally his supporters to get out and vote the GOP out of office at all levels of government.
From there I hope it turns his movement into a pro-workers and pro-peace faction within the democratic party, to hold everyone's feet to the fire.
The GOP is about to implode, and there a ton of seats up for election.
It's time to take advantage of this, instead of poo-pooing the people rallying behind Sanders and telling them to sit down and shut up.
The odds heavily favor Clinton, and there is no way pro-establishment superdelegates are gonna switch votes, so why do Clinton supporters worry?
CalvinballPro
(1,019 posts)I don't believe that for a second. After he loses, his temper will send him back to Vermont to pout until the next Senate sessions starts. Sadners will finally reveal what a con artists he was the whole time by refusing to campaign for any Democrats in the fall.
killbotfactory
(13,566 posts)Jesus.
Lucinda
(31,170 posts)He doesn't fundraise and barely mentions other Dems running for office.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)rallies in California to help move the country left. California is already there.
killbotfactory
(13,566 posts)the more influence he has over the party platform.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)platform committee will be Hillary's people. If he tries to play hardball, they tell him to pound sand.
killbotfactory
(13,566 posts)CalvinballPro
(1,019 posts)The cynic in me, though, is leading to the scam. Too much money being funneled into the account of the man who decides whether or not to reduce or increase campaign spending for me to believe anything else.
Surya Gayatri
(15,445 posts)imagine2015
(2,054 posts)They are free to vote for her or Bernie at the convention.
A few hundred of her super delegates at the 2008 convention flipped and voted for Obama.
They will flip again as the super delegates observe her campaign collapsing and the polls indicate she'll lose against a Republican presidential candidate.
"the Clinton campaign is collapsing" The Democrats Are Headed for a Contested Convention Too
Check out this article:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511705690
jcgoldie
(11,631 posts)That is not a remotely similar situation.
