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NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:02 PM Apr 2016

Former Clinton Adviser Predicts Bernie Sanders Will Beat Hillary Clinton





Bill Curry, a former counselor to Bill Clinton, predicts that,Hillary Clinton is going to lose: She doesn’t even see the frustrated progressive wave that will nominate Bernie Sanders. He initially looked at how Clinton avoided answering questions about her position on TPP, but then looked at her overall campaign. Besides economics, Curry discussed another major weakness for Clinton: “She’s weakest on the sleeper issue of 2016: public corruption and the general debasement of politics and government.”

I don’t think she can enlist Wall Street oligarchs and recruit an army of dewy-eyed volunteers. Above all, I don’t think she can spout populist rhetoric without any policy specifics to back it up. Clinton insiders also ingratiate themselves to reporters by dishing about her need to seem more authentic. Someone should tell them it’s hard to seem real when you won’t tell people what you really think.

A bigger problem for Clinton may be that we know what she thinks. Her platform is like Obama’s trade deal; she won’t say what’s in it, but we can easily guess. It isn’t populism and it isn’t reform. The TPP? She never met a trade deal she didn’t like. The minimum wage? She and Obama let McDonald’s get the drop on them. The surveillance state? Her handling of her emails told us all we need to know of her views on transparency. More war in Iraq? For 12 years as a senator and secretary of state she was John McCain’s best friend. If she gets to be commander in chief, get ready to rumble.

She’s weakest on the sleeper issue of 2016: public corruption and the general debasement of politics and government. Voter disgust is so deep even consultants who make their real livings off corporate clients tell their political clients to talk about it. In her speech Clinton vowed to “wage and win four fights for you.” The first three were jobs, families and national security. The fourth was “reforming our government and revitalizing our democracy.” She vowed to overturn Citizens United and fight GOP efforts to disenfranchise the young, the poor and people of color, but then drifted off onto technology and cutting waste. Unlike nearly every Republican announcing for president, she never mentioned ethics or corruption.

Democratic elites don’t want to hear it but Hillary Clinton’s in trouble. It .... <snip>

Link: http://liberalvaluesblog.com/2015/06/22/former-clinton-adviser-predicts-bernie-sanders-will-beat-hillary-clinton/



I'm sure this will probably get howls from the Hillary crowd for linking to a Liberal site on Democratic Underground but, oh well. For those of you that exist outside of the establishment bubble, you may find this article interesting.


111 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Former Clinton Adviser Predicts Bernie Sanders Will Beat Hillary Clinton (Original Post) NorthCarolina Apr 2016 OP
LOL! onehandle Apr 2016 #1
He's behind by 250 delegates d_legendary1 Apr 2016 #2
Super-Delegates are part of the corrupt culture that Clinton represents. rhett o rick Apr 2016 #3
She's going to win with votes and regular delegates. onehandle Apr 2016 #4
I doubt that very much, if she runs against Ryan or Kasich. sadoldgirl Apr 2016 #11
That sounds delusional to me. Avalon Sparks Apr 2016 #30
she has 2 and a half million votes MFM008 Apr 2016 #102
Trump has more votes then Cruz Avalon Sparks Apr 2016 #109
Not my party. n/t cui bono Apr 2016 #86
Found something interesting online d_legendary1 Apr 2016 #6
The fact that most of the Super-Delegates automatically sided with rhett o rick Apr 2016 #16
*****Y E P***** MrMickeysMom Apr 2016 #52
Yeah, this is the sickest part. northernsouthern Apr 2016 #78
Well, speaking of the press... MrMickeysMom Apr 2016 #84
Because they turned news into an entertainment and profit center ChairmanAgnostic Apr 2016 #101
Everyone wants to be a winner, and vote for the winner. Major Hogwash Apr 2016 #57
Didn't Tad Devine create the Superdelegates regime? LuvLoogie Apr 2016 #13
Clinton has the popular vote as well. NCTraveler Apr 2016 #68
That number doesn't include super delegates. Adrahil Apr 2016 #89
Gloat while you can because you picked to side with the Big Money and they do have an advantage, but rhett o rick Apr 2016 #97
I'm not ignoring the struggling. Adrahil Apr 2016 #98
If you aren't ignoring those among us struggling then you must believe that rhett o rick Apr 2016 #99
I'm voting for him because he's on the right side of history XemaSab Apr 2016 #104
He's behind 216. morningfog Apr 2016 #14
WA PD haven't been added - I think its more like 204 nt floppyboo Apr 2016 #55
212 not 250 jfern Apr 2016 #59
Like your signature says... DemocracyDirect Apr 2016 #77
She had more than a 250 delegate lead before the first vote was cast in Iowa. B Calm Apr 2016 #108
And I'll bet you don't reply like that at the bar. Mystery solved. DisgustipatedinCA Apr 2016 #85
Damn, was hoping for Dick Morris nt firebrand80 Apr 2016 #5
Might as well be a Morris column, it's just as unbelievable. Beacool Apr 2016 #35
It's interesting to see what people were thinking 10 months ago Dem2 Apr 2016 #7
Man, I can smell the flop sweat coming from Clinton campaign from a mile away... GeorgiaPeanuts Apr 2016 #8
"She doesn’t even see the frustrated progressive wave that will nominate Bernie Sanders." Fumesucker Apr 2016 #9
Ohh, a cartoon! Dem2 Apr 2016 #17
anti semitic . look at the yellow star which is fucked up JI7 Apr 2016 #20
I didn't notice Dem2 Apr 2016 #22
I'm glad you realize the problem with it and that it wasn't intentional JI7 Apr 2016 #25
Thanks. Dem2 Apr 2016 #40
OMG! You KILLED! pdsimdars Apr 2016 #91
Did Curry get his PolySci degre from the Dick Morris School of Clintonista Disgruntleds? Tarc Apr 2016 #10
That article was written 10 months ago. Bernie JanetLovesObama Apr 2016 #12
"Why is he going to Rome when he "doesn't have time to do his taxes"???????" CentralCoaster Apr 2016 #15
And I think the IRS said they already has his tax returns pdsimdars Apr 2016 #92
What stinks to high heaven is the Clinton Foundation's connection to the rhett o rick Apr 2016 #21
Cha-ching! pdsimdars Apr 2016 #93
Pure desperation. libtodeath Apr 2016 #34
I "almost" feel sorry for you for posting that.... Oh well... desmiller Apr 2016 #81
She doesn’t even see the frustrated progressive wave that will nominate Bernie Sanders. LiberalFighter Apr 2016 #18
From your name I am guessing you think of yourself as "liberal". rhett o rick Apr 2016 #26
Maybe s/he fights liberals, is how I read it. FlatBaroque Apr 2016 #37
But of course. I should have got that. Thanks. nm rhett o rick Apr 2016 #43
And you are an expert? LiberalFighter Apr 2016 #49
By George, I think you nailed it. Good eye. pdsimdars Apr 2016 #95
Why should I support someone who mostly just rants about it? LiberalFighter Apr 2016 #48
At least he is on the correct side of this Class War. Clinton represents the corrupt culture rhett o rick Apr 2016 #50
What is the point on being on the correct side of what you want LiberalFighter Apr 2016 #54
john McCain says the exact oppositere veterans' issues n/t eridani Apr 2016 #60
What is the point of being on the wrong side, ever? Marr Apr 2016 #62
Yes, Hillary is so effective. I think she renamed 2 post offices and part of a highway pdsimdars Apr 2016 #96
So who do you support then since you are smearing the most liberal candidate in both major cui bono Apr 2016 #87
10 months ago, the Clinton Establishment was laughing at Bernie, bvar22 Apr 2016 #70
maybe that's why he is"former" JI7 Apr 2016 #19
Bill Clinton gave Bill Curry an appointment as a consolation prize after losing yellowcanine Apr 2016 #23
I'd be more concerned that your source is almost a year old. CalvinballPro Apr 2016 #24
Hey, they do the best that they can.........LOL Trust Buster Apr 2016 #28
It's possible... Mike Nelson Apr 2016 #27
That fact that he won but lost in Wyoming artislife Apr 2016 #29
Hope they change the rules... Mike Nelson Apr 2016 #31
If you're having a hissy fit over Wyoming, then you have a problem with math Tarc Apr 2016 #32
Hissy fit? artislife Apr 2016 #46
Nope--but none of the Clinton supporters who signed surrogate forms will show up eridani Apr 2016 #61
This is the new Camp Sanders meme; subvert the will of the voter Tarc Apr 2016 #69
No...all surrogate forms should be validated. artislife Apr 2016 #72
Delegates who don't show up at the next level don't count, because they don't vote for anyone-- eridani Apr 2016 #74
All 3 mandate that the delegates vote for the candidate who won them Tarc Apr 2016 #76
Nope. Delegates vote for no one if threy don't show up n/t eridani Apr 2016 #79
Please stop lying Tarc Apr 2016 #82
Those aren't the people who will go to the state convention. There is still the ward level eridani Apr 2016 #83
Your Sanders-cheerleading blog was long-ago debunked by Missouri law Tarc Apr 2016 #88
fIf trhe Clinton delegate don't show up at the next level, they have no vote n/t eridani Apr 2016 #100
Again, stop lying Tarc Apr 2016 #105
That depends on who shows up at the next level n/t eridani Apr 2016 #110
It's stupid undemocratic math bkkyosemite Apr 2016 #80
Yep. Zira Apr 2016 #71
Rollover! snooper2 Apr 2016 #33
I wonder what was Curry smoking when he wrote this, considering who's winning. Beacool Apr 2016 #36
"Relevant" or "prophetic"? NorthCarolina Apr 2016 #44
"Prophetic" it ain't. Beacool Apr 2016 #45
K&R amborin Apr 2016 #38
They Haven’t Been Wrong Since 1975 And They Say Our Next President Will Be BERNIE SANDERS! B Calm Apr 2016 #39
Well, they are going to break their winning streak this year. Beacool Apr 2016 #41
LOL B Calm Apr 2016 #42
Bernie keeps talking about Fracking and NY's in the Win column. Octafish Apr 2016 #47
June 22, 2015 krawhitham Apr 2016 #51
That blog post is from June 22, 2015 — Wonder what Curry has to say now..? n/t Henhouse Apr 2016 #53
What??! You mean 82 people rec'd an almost year old post from a blog nobody's ever heard of Number23 Apr 2016 #58
Does that surprise you? Beacool Apr 2016 #64
You see it in the anger, in Bill n Hill ViseGrip Apr 2016 #56
great article. Thanks for the link. eom Betty Karlson Apr 2016 #63
There was no way to predict one year ago... Califonz Apr 2016 #65
One word: Independents eom noiretextatique Apr 2016 #66
Well PATRICK Apr 2016 #67
Message auto-removed Name removed Apr 2016 #73
Maybe things have changed since last JUNE? brooklynite Apr 2016 #75
Nice to see the simple telling of facts and issues. pdsimdars Apr 2016 #90
June 2015! lol DrDan Apr 2016 #94
And she's wrong. RandySF Apr 2016 #103
"She’s weakest on the sleeper issue of 2016: public corruption and the general debasement of DebDoo Apr 2016 #106
President Bernie Sanders is going to surprise Hillary supporters. B Calm Apr 2016 #107
Message auto-removed Name removed Jun 2016 #111

d_legendary1

(2,586 posts)
2. He's behind by 250 delegates
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:06 PM
Apr 2016

The only ones making a stink about Super Delegates are the straw graspers.

 

rhett o rick

(55,981 posts)
3. Super-Delegates are part of the corrupt culture that Clinton represents.
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:08 PM
Apr 2016

We need to get the corruption of Big Money out of our government.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
4. She's going to win with votes and regular delegates.
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:10 PM
Apr 2016

Hillary doesn't run the DNC, but she will be head of our party starting in January.

Make a suggestion then.

Avalon Sparks

(2,566 posts)
30. That sounds delusional to me.
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:51 PM
Apr 2016

No matter what mess the Repibs are in, there is one thing above all others that appears to unite them.

A raw hatred of the Clintons.

Two Clintons in power will make their heads explode.

Have you listened to talk radio, checked out repub message boards, or even general coo nets on articles about the election from various news sites?

They are ecstatic at the thought of Hillary winning the primary. The can't wait to vote agaisnt her.

Any for anyone that just reads DU comments that think the Bernies will vote gor her...

Wrong again, most on DU won't say that, it could result in a ban.

For the general public that comments on other sites, like articles on Facebook, Bernies fb page and general comment like on huff post and cnn.....id say it's about 1 out of 10 Bernies that say they will vote for her.

I think you under estimate as well, how many average folks distrust and do not like the Clintons.

It's my opinion her supporters on DU might be a bit isolated.

MFM008

(19,818 posts)
102. she has 2 and a half million votes
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 03:27 AM
Apr 2016

more than Sanders and ahead in delegates and super delegates.
How is that isolated?
She is not a fringe candidate.
She is the front runner.

d_legendary1

(2,586 posts)
6. Found something interesting online
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:12 PM
Apr 2016

Have they ever contradicted the pledged delegate total?

No. Since they were established beginning in the 1984 presidential cycle as a way to give party leaders more say in the process, superdelegates have never changed the outcome of the primary season. "The superdelgates are politicians, and politicians generally try to agree with voters and follow the will of the voters," said Elaine Kamarck of the Brookings Institution, who was on the 1980s commission creating the superdelegates. But Kamarck - who happens to be a superdelegate supporting Clinton - says they view that voter will with more of a national than state-by-state focus.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/how-do-superdelegates-work-here-s-what-you-need-know-n554136

Yup. Should Sanders overtake HRC I wonder how many have the balls to overturn the nation's desire to see positive change.

 

rhett o rick

(55,981 posts)
16. The fact that most of the Super-Delegates automatically sided with
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:24 PM
Apr 2016

the Establishment candidate is by itself an influence on voters. And if it's true that Super-Delegates have yet to vote against the people's choice, why have them. The purpose as stated in you quote is "to give party leaders more say in the process." That's not democratic. The hell with the "Party Leaders".

 

northernsouthern

(1,511 posts)
78. Yeah, this is the sickest part.
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 11:32 PM
Apr 2016

They started it rigged, refused to change, when ever someone complained they would say will we have not voted yet, it does not count yet, we will support the winner, but then they still stay pledged and let the press run with the narrative.

MrMickeysMom

(20,453 posts)
84. Well, speaking of the press...
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 12:17 AM
Apr 2016

We have GOT to stop the incestuous relationship with what used to be the news industry, but has been managed as the entertainment and ratings industry.

THAT'S SICK, and it's a double whammy that the press is given a cookie and runs with it like little delivery boys and girls.

Mad as hell about that, too.

Major Hogwash

(17,656 posts)
57. Everyone wants to be a winner, and vote for the winner.
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 12:23 AM
Apr 2016

They want to be on the winning team.
That was the problem with all of those Super Delegates saying they backed Hillary before the first vote was even cast in this primary.

Perception is reality.

Nevertheless, Hillary's campaign is almost a mirror-image of Bernie's campaign . . where he is on the left on all of the issues, she is on the right of nearly all of those issues.

Since the Super Delegates view the race from a national viewpoint, rather than from a state viewpoint, I have no doubt that they will shift their support to Bernie at the convention.
And he is going to the convention.
You can count on that.




 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
68. Clinton has the popular vote as well.
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 06:48 AM
Apr 2016

The people are speaking and Clinton is their choice on the democrats side.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
89. That number doesn't include super delegates.
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 08:41 AM
Apr 2016

Clinton is winning because more people voted for her. I know Sandernistas don't like to hear that, but there ya go.

 

rhett o rick

(55,981 posts)
97. Gloat while you can because you picked to side with the Big Money and they do have an advantage, but
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 11:55 AM
Apr 2016

you can't ignore those among us struggling. Your support of the statu quo guarantees that the numbers of lost jobs, numbers in poverty will continue to increase. I know you don't think Goldman-Sachs gives a crap about those struggling.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
98. I'm not ignoring the struggling.
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 04:44 PM
Apr 2016

But those of you who think Bernie is going to be your savior are fooling yourselves. Bernie's plans are simply not going to be estimated...

But.... that's the crux of our argument, really. I think Bernie fans are dazzled by unrealistic promises.

 

rhett o rick

(55,981 posts)
99. If you aren't ignoring those among us struggling then you must believe that
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 08:56 PM
Apr 2016

a President that is beholden to the Wealthy will insist that they, the Wealthy pay their fair share. If you've noticed Clinton doesnt even campaign on making the Wealthy pay their fair share. All of her plans require the 99% to help those among us that are struggling. She is a part of the Wealthy 1% (in fact her and Bill are in the more exclusive 0.1% club) and she has amassed her wealth from gifts from those that expect quid pro quo.

No one expects miracles from a Sanders' presidency. Electing him is just a start. I hope that he might at least stop the bleeding. Clinton won't help the health care problem, the continuous war problem, the NSA/CIA domestic spying problem, the fracking for oil profits problem, the Prison For Profits problem, the Social Security problem. I can't see how 4 years of Clinton won't see less jobs, less college students, less safety nets, etc. She favors Goldman-Sachs and that's what she told them in her speeches.

Bernie's fans are fighting the corrupt culture of Big Money in government that you apparently revere.

 

DemocracyDirect

(708 posts)
77. Like your signature says...
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 11:29 PM
Apr 2016

If you repeat a lie often enough you are a Republican.

He's behind by around 213 delegates, not 250.

 

B Calm

(28,762 posts)
108. She had more than a 250 delegate lead before the first vote was cast in Iowa.
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 10:27 AM
Apr 2016

Stinks to high heaven.

Dem2

(8,168 posts)
7. It's interesting to see what people were thinking 10 months ago
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:12 PM
Apr 2016

I wonder what his more recent articles are saying?

We must smash the Clinton machine: Democratic elites and the media sold out to Hillary this time, but change is coming


Oh dear me, he is pissed!
 

GeorgiaPeanuts

(2,353 posts)
8. Man, I can smell the flop sweat coming from Clinton campaign from a mile away...
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:13 PM
Apr 2016

It is the only explanation for the near constant MSM attacks on Sanders. They always happen when he is posing a threat.

Fumesucker

(45,851 posts)
9. "She doesn’t even see the frustrated progressive wave that will nominate Bernie Sanders."
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:13 PM
Apr 2016

Oh she sees it alright, but her response isn't all that credible.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
10. Did Curry get his PolySci degre from the Dick Morris School of Clintonista Disgruntleds?
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:14 PM
Apr 2016

Last edited Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:58 PM - Edit history (1)

The only reason someone picks now to be on the dark horse candidate is extreme sour grapes.

 

JanetLovesObama

(548 posts)
12. That article was written 10 months ago. Bernie
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:19 PM
Apr 2016

just started being vetted a month ago. His true colors are being shown. And if he ever releases his taxes no telling what we'll see.

Why is he going to Rome when he "doesn't have time to do his taxes"??????? Stinks to high heaven.

 

rhett o rick

(55,981 posts)
21. What stinks to high heaven is the Clinton Foundation's connection to the
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:32 PM
Apr 2016

Panama Papers.

And speaking of releasing, when will Clinton-Sachs release her transcripts? Although Anonymus leaked them. Really not exciting.
Simply, "I Hillary Rodham C. will never support any legislation that would regulate or otherwise bring displeasure to my good friends, the bankers. Please make my check out to Clinton Cash Fund, and have my car brought around."

LiberalFighter

(50,950 posts)
18. She doesn’t even see the frustrated progressive wave that will nominate Bernie Sanders.
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:25 PM
Apr 2016

10 months ago that statement was made. If that was true Sanders would have a very commanding lead.

 

rhett o rick

(55,981 posts)
26. From your name I am guessing you think of yourself as "liberal".
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:41 PM
Apr 2016

Last edited Mon May 2, 2016, 07:13 PM - Edit history (1)

Liberals don't support:

The corruption of Big Money in government via Citizens United.
Job killing "Free Trade" agreements
Fracking for oil company profits over people's water quality.
Unregulated domestic spying and no oversight for the NSA/CIA Security State.
Drone killing of terrorist "suspects" in foreign lands (100 innocents killed for each suspect)
Prisons for Profits
American Exceptionalism as an excuse for neocon imperialism.
The use of cluster bombs near civilian areas.

Liberals do support:

Strengthening Social Security (e.g., raising the cap)
Helping college students afford college (telling them to get a job doesn't cut it).
Making major corps pay their fair share of taxes
Reducing the defense budget
Taking a hard stand against torture and indefinite detention.
The end of the militarization of our local police forces.
The legalization of marijuana especially for medical use. Denying medical marijuana to those that are suffering is cruel.

LiberalFighter

(50,950 posts)
48. Why should I support someone who mostly just rants about it?
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 08:35 PM
Apr 2016

Sort of like being a Dennis Kucinich, or Rand Paul.

 

rhett o rick

(55,981 posts)
50. At least he is on the correct side of this Class War. Clinton represents the corrupt culture
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 08:39 PM
Apr 2016

that honest Democrats are fighting. Those that revere wealth over humans are not liberals and not Democrats.

LiberalFighter

(50,950 posts)
54. What is the point on being on the correct side of what you want
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 09:10 PM
Apr 2016

when he has trouble working with others?

 

Marr

(20,317 posts)
62. What is the point of being on the wrong side, ever?
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 02:41 AM
Apr 2016

Yes, Hillary will 'work with Republicans'. She'll do it to pass pro-Wall Street/anti-labor/pro-war legislation.

Hooray?

 

pdsimdars

(6,007 posts)
96. Yes, Hillary is so effective. I think she renamed 2 post offices and part of a highway
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 09:16 AM
Apr 2016

when she was a Senator, and that is ALL that she did. (besides voting on the wrong side on major issues)

Bernie worked with John McCain (and that would be "across the isle&quot to pass a very important major VA bill for Veterans. And McCain complemented him for it.

Not quite as earth shaking as renaming a post office, but you have to do what little you can.

bvar22

(39,909 posts)
70. 10 months ago, the Clinton Establishment was laughing at Bernie,
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 04:04 PM
Apr 2016

and claiming he might win ONE state.
My, how times have changed, and at that rate of change....well you should be smart enough to figure that out.

The Clinton Establishment was WAY WRONG 10 months ago,
and now they are STILL wrong, but at least smart enough to panic.

yellowcanine

(35,699 posts)
23. Bill Clinton gave Bill Curry an appointment as a consolation prize after losing
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:36 PM
Apr 2016

the governor's race in Connecticut in 1994 to John Rowland. Curry left after the 1996 reelection of Bill Clinton, not a particularly good indication of a valued adviser. Curry ran against Rowland again in 2002 and lost by 12 points, even though Rowland was involved up to his neck in a contract bidding scandal which caused him to resign in 2004 and landed him in Federal prison. Not sure we should put a lot of stock in Curry's national political bona fides based on 2 years in the Bill Clinton administration.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Curry_%28politician%29

 

CalvinballPro

(1,019 posts)
24. I'd be more concerned that your source is almost a year old.
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:36 PM
Apr 2016

Believe me, Bill Curry has written a LOT dumber stuff for Salon since then.

Mike Nelson

(9,959 posts)
27. It's possible...
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:44 PM
Apr 2016

...if he wins NY by a landslide - say 80% to 20%. Wisconsin and Wyoming were losses, in reality; he needed huge margins in those states and did not get them.

 

artislife

(9,497 posts)
29. That fact that he won but lost in Wyoming
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:49 PM
Apr 2016

and it being exposed will help crash the Democratic party.


Both parties have forgotten that they were about their voters, not their special interests.


Good riddance.

Mike Nelson

(9,959 posts)
31. Hope they change the rules...
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 03:54 PM
Apr 2016

..but this has been the way they do it for years and people tend to forget - until the next election. I has, over the years become more Democratic. Each state has different rules, too, which is a sure sign of inequality. Decades ago, the party elders always picked the nominees at the conventions.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
32. If you're having a hissy fit over Wyoming, then you have a problem with math
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 04:01 PM
Apr 2016

Wyoming only has 14 delegates, each one is worth a certain percentage. Sanders would have to have hit I believe 58% in order to hit the next "tier" and get that 8th delegate.

Math isn't corruption, kids.

eridani

(51,907 posts)
61. Nope--but none of the Clinton supporters who signed surrogate forms will show up
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 02:34 AM
Apr 2016

That means that Sanders will get from 8 to 12 delegates.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
69. This is the new Camp Sanders meme; subvert the will of the voter
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 08:27 AM
Apr 2016

Unfortunately, most state election laws compel the delegate to vote for the person who actually won.

You aren't going to win an election by theft, bro.

 

artislife

(9,497 posts)
72. No...all surrogate forms should be validated.
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 04:49 PM
Apr 2016

I mean if there is a check of the physical person at the primary why not the mailed in forms?

But i get you and your supporters.

And I saw first hand at my caucus when the lead ( a h supporter) whispered to the secretary (a h supporter) that one of the h supporters flipped. We were watching...and as we should have. That one flip changed the delegate count.

Scummy and slimy and dirty tricks have been playing out and I really think this is also the death knell for the Democratic Party.

eridani

(51,907 posts)
74. Delegates who don't show up at the next level don't count, because they don't vote for anyone--
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 11:24 PM
Apr 2016

--at that level. WY will turn out like NV and MO.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
76. All 3 mandate that the delegates vote for the candidate who won them
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 11:26 PM
Apr 2016

Camp Sanders is pretty poor with election fine print.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
82. Please stop lying
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 11:51 PM
Apr 2016

Clinton won 36 of Missouri's pledged delegates, Sanders won 35. Once we'r at the convention, 36 will cast their vote for Hillary, 35 for Sanders (if he is still in it by then).

eridani

(51,907 posts)
83. Those aren't the people who will go to the state convention. There is still the ward level
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 12:12 AM
Apr 2016

On March 15, Hillary Clinton narrowly won the Missouri primary with 49.6% of the vote, compared to Bernie Sanders’ 49.4% share of the vote. Since delegates are allocated proportionally, it was projected that Hillary Clinton would win 36 of the 71 pledged delegates, and Sanders would walk away with the other 35 delegates.

But the delegate selection process is not that simple. The voters in the primary do not directly elect the 71 national convention delegates as one might think. Instead, delegates from each candidate who are selected proportionally attend Mass Meetings on April 7 at the different wards, townships and counties across the state. The purpose of these meetings is to select District-Level delegates who would later elect the 71 pledged delegates to represent the candidates in the Democratic National Convention.

This process made sense more than half a century ago when communications were limited and technology nonexistent.

However, just like in Nevada, many Hillary Clinton delegates didn’t show up to these meetings and Bernie Sanders was able to snatch more District-Level delegates than what he was supposed to have. Reported delegate allocation by the Missouri Democratic Party shows that 681 delegates (51.4%) were allocated to Bernie Sanders and 644 delegates (48.6%) allocated for Hillary Clinton.

http://progressivearmy.com/2016/04/10/bernie-sanders-wins-missouri-after-all/

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
88. Your Sanders-cheerleading blog was long-ago debunked by Missouri law
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 08:34 AM
Apr 2016

Sanders is not getting any more delegates than what he earned by the popular vote. There's nothing else to the story, bro.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
105. Again, stop lying
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 08:20 AM
Apr 2016

There is no possibility of Sanders earning more delegate votes tan he won from the election.

Beacool

(30,250 posts)
36. I wonder what was Curry smoking when he wrote this, considering who's winning.
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 04:15 PM
Apr 2016

Then again, I see that this is dated June 22, 2015.

How is it relevant today?

Beacool

(30,250 posts)
41. Well, they are going to break their winning streak this year.
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 04:25 PM
Apr 2016

A lot has happened since last December.

Octafish

(55,745 posts)
47. Bernie keeps talking about Fracking and NY's in the Win column.
Mon Apr 11, 2016, 06:30 PM
Apr 2016

People are pissed and he sounded ticked about fracking today, naming names like Chevron and Halliburton.

Number23

(24,544 posts)
58. What??! You mean 82 people rec'd an almost year old post from a blog nobody's ever heard of
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 01:34 AM
Apr 2016

just because it predicts a Sanders victory??!

Beacool

(30,250 posts)
64. Does that surprise you?
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 03:02 AM
Apr 2016

Post after post that are not reality based. It's embarrassing how disconnected some people are from what is happening in this election. One thing is to be enthusiastic and hope that one's preferred candidate wins. Another thing totally different is to seem to live in an alternate world where Sanders is ahead, and like some OP stated, "Clinton's campaign is collapsing".


 

Califonz

(465 posts)
65. There was no way to predict one year ago...
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 03:18 AM
Apr 2016

... how few POC would vote for an old Jewish white guy who spent much of his adult life fighting for their interests.

PATRICK

(12,228 posts)
67. Well
Tue Apr 12, 2016, 06:46 AM
Apr 2016

those are ideas. How this is actually playing out is more brutally simple than voter perception mood or even fervor. Simply the organization is churning out the Made Deal like sausage based on past loyalties, favors, fear of all sorts, reacting against the "Revolution" like French aristocrats. I know the complaints about rigging and fraud, but compared to the GOP they are still laughably childlike. In fact the whole power play aspect to substitute both for platform AND charisma is totally embarrassing.

Still, his point could be real if only the media would let the people get a fair picture of Sanders, the alternative. it seems without Sanders there was already a seeming slide away when Biden seemed even a misty distant option. As it is I make the same points which might look smart if we win or you can blame the people being outsmarted, asleep, etc.

The problem though extends to the fall and beyond, something way way beyond magical delegate counts and primary power plays. That actually is another issue, one the party is falling on its sword not to address- as with many other crying to heaven issues.

Response to NorthCarolina (Original post)

 

pdsimdars

(6,007 posts)
90. Nice to see the simple telling of facts and issues.
Wed Apr 13, 2016, 09:00 AM
Apr 2016

Or what the Hillary supporters refer to as "personal, sexist attacks."
But simple facts and reasoning are refreshing to the mind.
Thanks

DebDoo

(319 posts)
106. "She’s weakest on the sleeper issue of 2016: public corruption and the general debasement of
Thu Apr 14, 2016, 10:22 AM
Apr 2016

Politics and government".

Response to NorthCarolina (Original post)

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