2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPPP: Obama up 5 in VA!
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-lead-in-virginia-up-to-5-points.htmlA new Public Policy Polling survey in Virginia, conducted on behalf of Health Care for America Now, finds Barack Obama expanding his lead in the aftermath of his debate victory Monday night. He now has 51% to 46% for Mitt Romney, up from a 49/47 advantage last weekend.
Key findings from the survey include:
-Obamas seen a 7 point net improvement in his favorability rating among Virginia voters from a -3 spread last week (48/51) to now +4 at 51/47. Romneys numbers have headed in the other direction. Hes dropped 7 points from a +2 spread on our last poll (49/47) to now -5 at 46/51.
-Voters trust Obama more than Romney on several major issues in the election. Those include who voters think will stand up for the middle class (52/44) and who they think will do more to protect Medicare (50/46).
-Obama leads 57/41 with women, 88/8 with African Americans, and 53/42 with young voters. Romney has a 50/45 advantage with men, a 57/41 one with whites, and a 57/41 edge with seniors. Obamas moved from being slightly behind with independents last week at 45/44 to now slightly ahead at 47/45.
kansasobama
(609 posts)Is it left leaning? I am on an edge today....
Zen Democrat
(5,901 posts)O-Mentum!
left leaning + does not call cell phones + respectable
TexasCPA
(527 posts)Slightly left leaning.
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)have given Obama higher margins than PPP has lately. And the 'most accurate' thing is getting old. How do we know how accurate they are when the election is still going?
DCBob
(24,689 posts)The key state polls are all going Obama's way lately.. you should be elated.
BeyondGeography
(39,382 posts)I believe they had him +2 in their last poll. I think the most relevant thing here is the trend; just about every poll has improving numbers for the President.
mgcgulfcoast
(1,127 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)And Barack Obama & Bill Clinton will be appearing in Virginia next week together.
Hopefully that will close the deal.
helpisontheway
(5,008 posts)BraKez2
(279 posts)Springsteen was in Charlottesville Tuesday
Twelve String
(38 posts)If this holds and Ohio comes in for Obama like most think it will, then we are looking really good less than two weeks out.
blazeKing
(329 posts)VirginiaTarheel
(823 posts)Jersey Devil
(9,875 posts)I don't think this is just part of a surge for Obama based on the last debate. I think it is the undecideds breaking for him based on many months of campaigning, the last 2 debates and the slap in the face and "wake the fuck up" message to all women voters courtesy of Mourdock.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)His path to victory is narrowing by the day... its nearly gone already.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,714 posts)They won't because this poll was commissioned by a group. IMHO, every Rasmussen, Gravis, and We Ask America poll was indirectly commissioned by the GOP.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)more often now. They include every poll whether by Repubs or Dems. Gives a clearer picture.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,714 posts)They just won't publish a poll that was commissioned by a group.
yellowcanine
(35,701 posts)And I suspect that is why it came now. Romney loses Ohio and Virginia and he is fried dog poop.
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)Lots of military and veterans live in Virginia including ones stationed there. I know that Romney has Rice, but I don't think she has the same reputation Powell does.
yellowcanine
(35,701 posts)Die hard Bush supporters aren't who Romney has to win over. Plus fairly or unfairly, most observers would not put Rice on the same intellectual plane with Powell.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)The last two polls there were Zogby's and The Mellman Group (Dem pollster Mark Mellman, predicted Harry Reid's win in 2010) were Obama ahead by 3 and by 1.
All positive movement. VA can be a possible win.
imgbitepolitic
(179 posts)they ignore many good polls for O.
teabaggersarestupid
(111 posts)but isn't this the first time a pollster has acknowledged a debate bounce for Obama? We were really hopeful of one after the VP debate and especially after the 2nd presidential debate, but it never appeared which made things so frustrating. However, it's possible that after an even better debate performance by Obama in the 3rd debate, people are finally coming to their senses that Romney is a scumbag liar, and the president is, well PRESIDENTIAL.
This is another devastating poll for Romney, even more so than the Time Ohio poll from yesterday. This should make Obama the favorite again in Virginia, which didn't seem likely in the past few weeks.
krawhitham
(4,647 posts)rMoney flowed about 2 weeks too early and has nothing but ebb now
and Obama is flowing to re-election
ncav53
(168 posts)Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)and Gravis from the VA polls Obama has been leading the entire time. We complain about GOP pollsters but don't recognize the extent to which they have weighed down the averages in state polls. Obama has not been behind in VA. All the VA negative talked has been based on these wack ass GOP pollsters and media push. It's insane, but Dems are falling for it anyway. Just play with the polls at Pollster and see.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)They've certainly abandoned any objectivity in the past month.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/