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babylonsister

(171,102 posts)
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 10:32 AM Feb 2012

"... Snowe's announcement is a brutal setback for Republican plans to retake the Senate majority..."



Snowe's stunning surprise
By Steve Benen
-
Wed Feb 29, 2012 8:53 AM EST


When prominent members of Congress are considering retirement, there's nearly always some kind of hint in advance of the announcement. Maybe they stop raising money; perhaps they're slow to put a campaign organization together; maybe key staffers are seen moving to new jobs elsewhere; something.

But with Sen. Olympia Snowe (R) of Maine, all of the evidence pointed in the other direction. Not only were there no hints about a pending departure, the Republican senator gave every indication of seeking another term, even moving considerably to the right.

It's what made Snowe's retirement announcement late yesterday such a stunning surprise.

"As I enter a new chapter, I see a vital need for the political center in order for our democracy to flourish and to find solutions that unite rather than divide us. It is time for change in the way we govern, and I believe there are unique opportunities to build support for that change from outside the United States Senate. I intend to help give voice to my fellow citizens who believe, as I do, that we must return to an era of civility in government driven by a common purpose to fulfill the promise that is unique to America."


There are a few angles to a story like this. First, in terms of the electoral consequences, Snowe's announcement is a brutal setback for Republican plans to retake the Senate majority next year. As Steve Kornacki explained, "With Snowe in it, Democrats had virtually no chance of winning the Maine Senate race this year. Now they are likely to do so, given the state's partisan bent."

Second, I can't help but wonder how much Snowe regrets her shift to the right, taking positions she never would have adopted earlier in her career.

more...

http://maddowblog.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/29/10539052-snowes-stunning-surprise
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"... Snowe's announcement is a brutal setback for Republican plans to retake the Senate majority..." (Original Post) babylonsister Feb 2012 OP
What dems will run for it? WI_DEM Feb 2012 #1
Several good prospects Hawaii Hiker Feb 2012 #4
I'm hoping for Chellie Pingree; she rocks. eShirl Feb 2012 #9
"common purpose"? Proud Liberal Dem Feb 2012 #2
This sounds bit like a republican Evan Bayh Cosmocat Feb 2012 #5
This may be my response for the day.... NRaleighLiberal Feb 2012 #3
She knows she can't win both the primary and general localroger Feb 2012 #6
She can't get away with dissembling anymore JNelson6563 Feb 2012 #7
I'm surprised she didn't just switch Stuckinthebush Feb 2012 #8
Rumor has it she's joining Americans Elect. AtomicKitten Feb 2012 #12
As a Mainer, I'll be writing about this later today... MarianJack Feb 2012 #10
Certainly a good development for Democrats, but "brutal setback" seems a little strong. yellowcanine Feb 2012 #11
Bob Kerrey is also going to run for the Senate in Nebraska. Alexander Feb 2012 #13

Hawaii Hiker

(3,166 posts)
4. Several good prospects
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 11:11 AM
Feb 2012

www.electoral-vote.com

"In a huge blow to Republicans' hopes at capturing the Senate, moderate Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-ME) announced her retirement yesterday, putting this otherwise safe Republican seat in play. Despite the fact that Gov. Paul LePage is a Republican, Maine is fundamentally a very blue state and in an open race, the Democrats have an excellent chance of picking up this seat. In fact, in the wink of an eye, it suddenly became the Democrats' best shot at a pickup, overriding even Massachusetts, where Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) is locked in a titanic battle with consumer advocate Elizabeth Warren.

Since this news came completely out of the blue (basically, Snowe, who is extremely wealthy, said the Senate is so dysfunctional that she doesn't want to be part of it any more), nobody has announced his or her candidacy yet. Nevertheless, Maine's two representatives, Chellie Pingree and Michael Michaud, both Democrats, are surely thinking hard about it. Pingree is probably the more ambitious of the two and is likely to make the run. She comes from a political family, with her daughter, Hannah, having served as speaker of the Maine house of representatives until forced out by term limits".

eShirl

(18,505 posts)
9. I'm hoping for Chellie Pingree; she rocks.
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 12:24 PM
Feb 2012
http://pingree.house.gov/


http://pingree.house.gov/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=27&Itemid=18
"After being term-limited from the Maine Senate in 2000, Pingree challenged incumbent U.S. Senator Susan Collins in 2002. As one of the few outspoken opponents of the Iraq War running for U.S. Senate, Chellie mounted a strong, but ultimately unsuccessful campaign.

"From 2003 to 2007, Chellie served as the National President and CEO of Common Cause, a non-partisan citizen activist group with nearly 300,000 members and 35 state chapters. Common Cause's mission is to help citizens make their voices heard in the political process and to hold their elected leaders accountable to the public interest. Under Chellie's leadership, Common Cause increased its membership and diversified its agenda to include limiting media concentration and consolidation, promoting Net Neutrality, and election reform, while continuing to pursue its traditional goals of campaign finance reform and oversight of government ethics and accountability.

"In 2008 Chellie was elected to Congress from Maine’s 1st Congressional District—the first woman elected to Congress from that District. It also marks the first time in American history that women make up the majority of a state’s Congressional Delegation."

Proud Liberal Dem

(24,445 posts)
2. "common purpose"?
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 10:45 AM
Feb 2012

Where was her drive for so-called "common purpose" when she decided to join her fellow Republicans in their rampant obstructionism over anything and everything in the Senate since 2009 (excluding her vote for the Stimulus)?



localroger

(3,634 posts)
6. She knows she can't win both the primary and general
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 11:53 AM
Feb 2012

The center she's occupied has disappeared, like an island nation swallowed by global warming. She can't win the primary unless she drifts so far to the right that Maine's sizeable Left will abandon her. That's basically the coded message in her speech; she is telling her party's leaders that they have squeezed her out.

JNelson6563

(28,151 posts)
7. She can't get away with dissembling anymore
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 12:10 PM
Feb 2012

and, in fact, hasn't been able to do so for a while. That's why there is the list of her increasingly right-leaning actions (at least that's my guess). As you say, essentially, she'd have to continue on that track to win her party over for the election but will have lost any support from the left she maybe could count on before.

And I also suspect, there may be something to the view that she's just too turned off by the dysfunctional mess the R's have made it and she wants no more part in it.

I guess we'll just have to wait for the tell all book.

Julie

MarianJack

(10,237 posts)
10. As a Mainer, I'll be writing about this later today...
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 12:25 PM
Feb 2012

...after I've thought this through. I have 2 thoughts initially. One is that something scared her out of this race. My guess is that it was something in her own party. As much as I hate to say it, if she got past her primary, she'd have won in Noember.

My other thought is that she is doing what arlen specter did in PA 2 years ago, which is giving her home of the teabaggers party a great big middle finger with the likelyhood that the Democratic primary will be tantamount to election.

Offhand, I suspect that Mike Michaud may be more interested in being Governor than in this race. I do, however, have no evidence to back that up.

PEACE!

yellowcanine

(35,701 posts)
11. Certainly a good development for Democrats, but "brutal setback" seems a little strong.
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 01:07 PM
Feb 2012

Democrats still have way too many seats to defend in comparison to Republicans. That makes one seat not as important in the grand scheme of things. That said, the sorry state of the Republican Presidential Primary race certainly is helping improve Democratic prospects for holding onto the Senate and making gains in the House.

 

Alexander

(15,318 posts)
13. Bob Kerrey is also going to run for the Senate in Nebraska.
Wed Feb 29, 2012, 04:20 PM
Feb 2012

So there are two Senate seats in a matter of days that suddenly look more favorable for the Democrats.

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