Anything close to that and its all over but the whining!

NY


FL


CA

Actually me too now that I think about it..

IL, AR, MS, TX, FL, and MD (most likely).

Especially in NY on Tuesday.

Just check the rcp averages.

A 200+ delegate deficit is very difficult, nearly impossible, to make up this late in the game.

Sid

Or one could cynically argue that Killer Mike was only brought on and highlighted ahead of southern primaries to try to influence the black vote, and having failed at that, was no longer "necessary" to the Sanders campaign.

I have a good feeling about Tuesday.

Applets and Orangutans.

You don't have the usual demographics, nor usual voting patterns, nor usual turnout patterns.

Makes it very hard for traditional polling methodologies to get a handle on what will actually happen on Primary Day.

At least that is what experience so for this season has shown.

One can always claim 100% accuracy, I suppose, if one simply dismisses one's errors as anomalies. But this approach is not super useful for anticipating future events. I think sometimes accepting the historical limitations of your instruments lets you get a better sense of how little reliable information you actually have!

Figure 90% ID as Democrat and 10% ID as Indies.

It combines a landline sample with an online sample and samples some people twice.

Or was that person lying? Or was that person living in a fantasy? Or was that person using an outlier poll? Or was that person quoting an unreliable source?

From the looks of things, it appears that Bernie will NOT win California ... and that Bernie will NOT be the nominee.

I wonder what they were thinking. Weird.