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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum10/25 Nat. Vote 51.5% O 48.49% R 281 O 257 R EV table Obama chance of winning 87.02%
DeSart and Holbrook Election Forecast
Rolling October Forecast Update
http://research.uvu.edu/DeSart/forecasting/october.html
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10/25 Nat. Vote 51.5% O 48.49% R 281 O 257 R EV table Obama chance of winning 87.02% (Original Post)
courseofhistory
Oct 2012
OP
Cobalt Violet
(9,905 posts)1. I'm so amazed by Romney's momentum!
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)2. EV figure is roughly correct, national vote is way off.
Romney is ahead in the majority of national polls. That's just reality.
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)3. Like Dick Morris, whenever a Dem uses 'reality'
I know that I can pretty much take whatever it is with a huge grain of salt.
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)5. Some more reality for you
Mutiny In Heaven
(550 posts)6. So was George Bush in 2000.
And by a larger margin than Romney overall.
We shall see what happens, but a Romney win would probably be the most illogical thing I've ever encountered.
Thekaspervote
(32,796 posts)4. I saw that
There are others too!! Sam Wang, of Princeton U, Pollyvote with even high ev totals. Good accurate sources