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2016 Postmortem

Zynx

(21,328 posts) Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:44 PM Apr 2016

2

For every invocation of Michigan, I would like remind people of Ohio.

And Florida, for that matter. Even Illinois and Missouri where the polls got the numbers pretty much right as well. Michigan was a massive polling fuck up, but it does seem to have been a one-off aside from caucus states, which are notorious due to their irrepressible silliness.

Odds are that the NY polls, averaged together, are about right.

6 replies

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For every invocation of Michigan, I would like remind people of Ohio. (Original Post) Zynx Apr 2016 OP

....and in Michigan Clinton Won Registered Democrats by Double Digits Stallion Apr 2016 #1

Don't forget the great white Hawaii hellofromreddit Apr 2016 #3

It was a caucus state. Caucuses can be radically different than the electorate at large. Zynx Apr 2016 #5

And for every invocation of Ohio, I would like sadoldgirl Apr 2016 #2

Minnesota was a caucus and expected. Zynx Apr 2016 #4

I'm sure the polls are close demwing Apr 2016 #6

Stallion

(6,474 posts)

1. ....and in Michigan Clinton Won Registered Democrats by Double Digits

Reply to Zynx (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:45 PM

Apr 2016

nm

hellofromreddit

(1,182 posts)

3. Don't forget the great white Hawaii

Reply to Stallion (Reply #1)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:47 PM

Apr 2016

Adjacent to Vermont.

Zynx

(21,328 posts)

5. It was a caucus state. Caucuses can be radically different than the electorate at large.

Reply to hellofromreddit (Reply #3)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 09:12 PM

Apr 2016

sadoldgirl

(3,431 posts)

2. And for every invocation of Ohio, I would like

Reply to Zynx (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 08:47 PM

Apr 2016

to remind you of Minnesota.

Zynx

(21,328 posts)

4. Minnesota was a caucus and expected.

Reply to sadoldgirl (Reply #2)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 09:12 PM

Apr 2016

demwing

(16,916 posts)

6. I'm sure the polls are close

Reply to Zynx (Original post)

Mon Apr 18, 2016, 09:19 PM

Apr 2016

I'm doubly sure that turnout will not look like the polls

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